Sunday Chart Predictions

Predicting the 21/12 to 27/12 chart

 

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Does Ben have that something you need to go all night?

It's Christmas Chart Week and following the announcement that Ben Haenow was the winner of the 11th series of X Factor, his cover of OneRepublic's 'Something I Need' is favourite to reach the famous Christmas #1. The race seems incredibly quiet in comparison to previous years, with charity single 'All Together Now' by The Peace Collective and Facebook campaign song 'Number of the Beast' by Iron Maiden not performing as well on iTunes as expected. Also, considering the amount of physicals shifted last week, it doesn't seem likely that Band Aid 30 will sell enough to beat Ben Haenow and return to #1. Mark Ronson and Bruno Mars' 'Uptown Funk' should only fall to #2 this week with further big sales whilst Olly Murs/Demi Lovato's 'Up' and Gorgon City/Jennifer Hudson's 'Go All Night' should accompany them in the Top 10. The former was performed on the X Factor final, along with Sam Smith's 'Stay With Me', One Direction's 'Where Do Broken Hearts Go?' and Ed Sheeran's 'Photograph' which all look set to climb/enter the Top 40.

 

In the albums, Ed Sheeran should remain at #1 with possibly over 200k sales - which would be a record high for 2014 replacing, well, himself. Last week's Top 10 should stay relatively the same with even bigger sales, with the highest new entry probably coming from Nicki Minaj's third album The Pinkprint followed by 5 Seconds of Summer's live album LIVESOS and D'Angelo & The Vanguard's Black Messiah.

 

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Please note new changes to the Sunday Chart Predictions thread topic:

 

Tuesday/Thursday - There will be no mids from MW for Tuesday and Thursday, however they may come from other sources - this is not always guaranteed. You can still post your own predictions for the week to generate chat to the topic.

 

Wednesday - Radio 1 Chart Top 40 mid update will be posted with links to Radio 1 and any other chart info from MW and OCC from 3:30pm to 4pm

 

Friday - Final Mid update from MW from 11am onwards. Sales info is a separate issue will be available from 2pm onwards if available.

 

To keep everyone in the loop of all chart action please refer to the iTunes thread topic.

 

 

 

 

Footnote: Due to office xmas party we might not get updates from MW on Friday morning/afternoon

Tuesday Update Top 40 Only

Missing sales data from Amazon for Monday

Singles

 

1 Ben Haenow (74.7k) *

2 Mark Ronson feat. Bruno Mars (51.4k)

3 Ed Sheeran (19.3k)

4 Olly Murs feat. Demi Lovato (16.6k) *

5 Take That (12.9k)

 

6-10

7 Gorgon City feat. Jennifer Hudson *

9 Meghan Trainor

10 The Pogues feat. Kirsty MacColl

 

11-20

16 Sam Smith [stay With Me]

17 Labrinth

20 Ella Henderson [Ghost]

 

21-30

22 Ed Sheeran [Photograph] *

23 Taylor Swift [shake It Off]

28 Imagine Dragons ^

 

31-40

31 Sia

34 Iron Maiden *

36 Sigma feat. Paloma Faith ^

38 Ed Sheeran [sing]

39 One Direction [Where Do Broken Hearts Go] *

 

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 

 

Albums

 

1 Ed Sheeran (54.6k)

2 Sam Smith (31.5k)

3 Olly Murs (21.8k)

4 Take That (19.8k)

5 George Ezra (19.3k)

 

6-10

7 Michael Buble

9 Ella Henderson

 

11-20

11 Paloma Faith

15 Nicki Minaj *

16 5 Seconds Of Summer *

19 Neil Diamond

20 Queen

 

21-30

25 Luther Vandross

 

31-40

31 Jools Holland

32 Paolo Nutini

34 Ed Sheeran [+] ^

37 Catfish & The Bottlemen ^

40 D'Angelo & The Vanguard *

Wednesday Update Top 40 Only

Source: Radio 1/OCC

 

Top 40 Singles

 

1 Ben Haenow - Something I Need (107k) *

2 Mark Ronson feat. Bruno Mars - Uptown Funk (74k)

3 Ed Sheeran - Thinking Out Loud

4 Olly Murs feat. Demi Lovato - Up *

5 Take That - These Days

 

6-10

8 Gorgon City feat. Jennifer Hudson - Go All Night *

9 Meghan Trainor - All About That Bass

 

11-20

16 Sam Smith - Stay With Me

18 Labrinth - Jealous

20 Hozier - Take Me to Church

 

21-30

23 Ella Henderson - Ghost

27 Sia - Chandelier

 

31-40

32 Ed Sheeran - Photograph ^

33 Imagine Dragons - Demons ^

36 Iron Maiden - The Number of the Beast ^

37 Wealdstone Raider - Got No Fans *

39 Sigma feat. Paloma Faith - Changing ^

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio1/chart/updatesingles/print

 

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Top 40 Albums

 

1 Ed Sheeran - x (88,585)

2 Sam Smith - In The Lonely Hour (53k)

3 Olly Murs - Never Been Better

4 George Ezra - Wanted On Voyage

5 Take That - III

 

6-10

7 Michael Buble - Christmas

8 Taylor Swift - 1989

10 Ella Henderson - Chapter One

 

11-20

12 Paloma Faith - A Perfect Contradiction

17 Nicki Minaj - The Pinkprint *

18 Neil Diamond - Melody Road

20 Queen - Queen Forever

 

21-30

21 5 Seconds of Summer - LIVESOS *

23 Annie Lennox - Nostalgia

26 Luther Vandross - The Greatest Hits

28 Jools Holland - Sirens of Song

30 Paolo Nutini - Caustic Love

 

31-40

35 Royal Blood - Royal Blood

39 Ed Sheeran - + ^

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio1/chart/updatealbums/print

Friday Update Top 40 Only

 

Singles

 

1 Ben Haenow - Something I Need *

2 Mark Ronson feat. Bruno Mars - Uptown Funk

3 Ed Sheeran - Thinking Out Loud

4 Olly Murs feat. Demi Lovato - Up *

5 Wealdstone Raider - Got No Fans *

 

6-10

9 Gorgon City feat. Jennifer Hudson - Go All Night *

10 Meghan Trainor - All About That Bass

 

11-20

15 Sam smith - Like I Can

19 Sam Smith - Stay With Me

 

21-30

21 Mariah Carey - All I Want For Christmas Is You

27 Jessie J, Ariana Grande & Nicki Minaj - Bang Bang

29 Taylor Swift - Shake It Off

 

31-40

31 Sia - Chandelier

33 Ella Henderson - Ghost

35 Ed Sheeran - Photograph ^

37 Iron Maiden - The Number of the Beast ^

 

 

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 

 

Albums

 

1 Ed Sheeran - x

2 Sam Smith - In The Lonely Hour

3 George Ezra - Wanted On Voyage

4 Olly Murs - Never Been Better

5 Take That - III

 

6-10

7 Michael Buble - Christmas

8 Taylor Swift - 1989

10 Barbra Striesand - Partners

 

11-20

14 Paloma Faith - A Perfect Contradiction

15 Dolly Parton - Blue Smoke

17 Neil Diamond - Melody Road

18 Queen - Queen Forever

 

21-30

21 Nicki Minaj - The Pinkprint *

22 Annie Lennox - Nostalgia

24 Jools Holland - Sirens of Song

25 Luther Vandross - The Greatest Hits

27 5 Seconds of Summer - LIVESOS *

28 Paolo Nutini - Caustic Love

 

31-40

34 Royal Blood - Royal Blood

38 John Legend - Love In The Future

 

 

NO SALES INFO

Is that an actual new album from D'Angelo then? I thought there'd have been more fuss about that.

1. X Factor single

2. Uptown Funk

3. Up

Nicki Minaj is currently number 2 on itunes album charts but my guess is Ed Sheeran or Sam Smith will top the album charts

Nicki Minaj is currently number 2 on itunes album charts but my guess is Ed Sheeran or Sam Smith will top the album charts

 

I hope it's Nicki Minaj or Sam Smith. I'm bored of seeing Ed Sheeran at number 1

Unless Nicki's album is planning on being sold to 200k+ this week, it's not going to be #1! :P

I don't see Nicki's album charting very high at all.

Is that an actual new album from D'Angelo then? I thought there'd have been more fuss about that.

 

Yes, he released it with only a couple of days advance notice

Footnote: Due to office xmas party we might not get updates from MW on Friday morning/afternoon

An office xmas party on an internet forum? how even?

 

Gorgon City should be safe for top 10 this week.

I reckon NOW 89 could shift 200,000+ copies this week

An office xmas party on an Internet forum? How even?

No it's MW's office party. So no midweeks on Friday.

Am I right in believing that Up's actual official release in terms of having a digital EP or whatever format it will be released in isn't actually until this Sunday/next week? I think it will climb to #4 this week; obviously Ben and Mark/Bruno will be in the top two but Ed has several versions of TOL charting as well as those ever high streams despite Up being higher on iTunes. These Days should complete the top five.

 

Ed Sheeran #1 in albums easily with way over 200k+ also easily; I actually think some members could be potentially surprised at how much he will sell. Sam #2; as previously stated this week's top ten will pretty much be the same as last week although I wouldn't count Paloma Faith climbing back in out.

 

Nicki will start off higher in midweeks and then erode as the week progresses. It's a shame -- her album is excellent and ten times better than the mess that was Roman Reloaded, but she couldn't have chosen a worse time to release and the album doesn't have a current hit to hype it. Low top twenty at best I think, potentially top thirty. Remember when Britney Jean was at 1 on iTunes last December yet it flopped badly in the end and mislead people into thinking it could chart higher than expected? I foresee a very similar situation here.

Edited December 16, 201411 yr by MrIndependent

I really hope Mark Ronson can hold on at number one but I think its incredibly unlikely. Nicki Minaj won't make album number one. She doesn't have enough widespread appeal. She will fade as the week progresses. I hope Take That can stay top 5 in the singles.

So we are looking at

 

Singles

 

1 Ben Haenow

2 Mark Ronson/Bruno Mars

3 Olly Murs/Demi Levato

4 Ed Sheeran

5 Take That

 

Albums

 

1 Ed Sheeran

2 Sam Smith

3 Olly Murs

4 One Direction

5 George Ezra

Sam Smith's album In The Lonely Hour and single Stay With Me both set to pass 1 million before the end of the year, surely?

Twitter Mint Royale

 

I wonder how many copies Ben Haenow has sold so far.

 

74,663 copies!

 

There's a chance the winners single might be pushed to no. 2 by a record that was only released because it was performed on the Xfactor.

Simon Cowell may have actually knackered his winner's chance of a number 1.

 

It all depends on how much of a first day bump Ben Haenow got, if he tails off Uptown Funk isn't that far behind and selling well.

 

Sheeran sold 54,647 albums yesterday,

Sam Smith's album In The Lonely Hour and single Stay With Me both set to pass 1 million before the end of the year, surely?

 

'In The Lonely Hour' should pass a million sometime this week.

Edited December 16, 201411 yr by Mango Ho Ho