Seems a bit silly of them not to put 'Writing's on the Wall' on a repack surely? Even Take That put 'Rule the World' on the repacked 'Beautiful World' album! Regardless, I think he'll get #1 album again. Ellie and Little Mix will go top 10 as well.

I'm not as confident about Ellie taking the #1 as I was when I first voted in this.

 

I was thinking Ellie would sell possibly double what Little Mix sold but things are looking different on pre-orders.

 

17 Little Mix Get Weird (Deluxe Edition) (Also 376)

31 Ellie Goulding Delirium (Deluxe) (791)

 

I always find Amazon is a lot better when judging how albums will do.

 

Little Mix - 4/116

Ellie Goulding - 32/63

 

Ellie might clinch it due to the fact she has Graham Norton on Friday which always provides big album boosts, but Little Mix are looking to cause some upset and might get the number 1.

Yeah, despite my confidence earlier in the thread, it is starting to look like LM have a decent chance. Very surprised at that considering their album chart histories but those pre-orders have to mean something ~

Even if she doesn't debut there, Halcyon took a year or so to get to No.1 so maybe the same will happen to Delirium, if there are any strong singles still to come from it...

 

Little Mix's is more likely to enter high, hang around for Xmas and drop away in the new year but I do think it will be close between them and Ellie.

I think Ellie will probably do about 29-30k this week as its pre-order positions are quite similar to where Lana was with 'Honeymoon' (although she has some decent promotion lined up which could push her up further).

 

I was thinking about 35k for Little Mix.

I kind of strangely think there's a chance with a front loaded first week... Little Mix COULD do it. (I'm not a stan :cheer: )

 

I think tbh, I'm just being hopeful that the hugely over rated Ms. Goulding doesn't get another #1 album. <_<

I doubt that Sam Smith's re-issue will come in to the equation; I'm surprised that so many people have voted for it. Surely the highest In the Lonely Hour can hope for is #3, the same with Ed's re-issue the week following.

 

For me, this is a clear battle between Little Mix and Ellie Goulding. A month ago when this topic was created I, like most others, would've voted for Ellie, and even in her prediction thread I was sure that she'd be #1. However, it will be a lot closer than I originally thought, and I voted for Little Mix because the signs are now pointed towards them outselling her.

 

I'm not a massive fan of Little Mix, but I do think that they are due a #1 album after previously charting higher with their lead singles. I cannot stand Ellie Goulding and Sam Smith, so this will be approved by me.

I fear Little Mix will beat Ellie Goulding

Ellie Goulding.

I also think this is going to be a close one, I hope Little Mix will have enough to get that no.1 as I feel they deserve it. They're X Factor performance last Sunday was miles better than Ellie's. Not to forget that the girls also have a spot on Alan Carr lined up this weekend!

I also think this is going to be a close one, I hope Little Mix will have enough to get that no.1 as I feel they deserve it. They're X Factor performance last Sunday was miles better than Ellie's. Not to forget that the girls also have a spot on Alan Carr lined up this weekend!

 

That's next weekend. Bieber is performing WDYM? (again) on Carr this weekend.

Well I think Ellie but Elvis could surprise us all and continue to sell a lot!

That's next weekend. Bieber is performing WDYM? (again) on Carr this weekend.

And EG is on Graham Norton this weekend so she may have an advantage over LM

Havn't both Ellie and LM debuted similar in first week last time? Both around 30k? I think both could debut with higher sales this time. My gut says Ellie has a leg up on digital preorders

 

I think this LM album will stick around through christmas with the different tv events coming up,etc. They could potentially sell more than the last album.

 

Ellie wil rerelease in a year no matter what. Lol

Edited November 4, 20159 yr by Letsjust29

That's next weekend. Bieber is performing WDYM? (again) on Carr this weekend.

 

Why is he not performing Sorry? :lol: I hope that he changes this at last minute.

 

As for the sales, Little Mix have usually opened up with higher first week sales than Ellie anyway, haven't they? Their lower positions have came from the fact that they have always released at a competitive time in the year, whereas Ellie so far hasn't. I think that people are underestimating Little Mix's opening amount, and Ellie's first week tally might be a little low in people's minds too, but she certainly won't hit a large amount.

 

If there's one thing that people are overestimating about Ellie, it's her supposed superstar status. She just had an album that sold very well over time, gaining a second wind because of a re-release, and Halycon Days or whatever its title is hit #1 because of a sale in the new year. That album didn't sell very well upon its initial release, and neither did Lights. There's no reason why this one won't do the same, although if the album had been released during Love Me Like You Do's reign, it probably would've opened up with a higher sale than it will do, even with it being released during the fourth quarter.

They both sold around 30k first week last time. Not counting Ellie's rerelease

 

I think ellie will also have better streams.

Edited November 5, 20159 yr by Letsjust29

I don't think there's any real chance that Ellie will get the #1. Little Mix have the momentum and the fanbase, Ellie has... a limp lead single and "Wow she is really shit live" backlash.

Little Mix up to 4 on amazon

Little Mix up to 4 on amazon

 

They've been 4 (also 93) all week. Ellie is only 26 (also 85) - Considering the album is released tomorrow, that's rather poor.

 

 

On iTunes:

Little Mix 19 (Deluxe) and 295 (standard)

Ellie 25 (Deluxe) and standard is out of the top 1,500

I don't think that there's really a set standard for which service is better for predicting sales out of iTunes and Amazon. Observing their progressions over the years, both are now much more pivotal than they once were, with digital sales in the album chart playing a fairly large part in an album's overall tally, and Amazon simply just being one of the companies that most people seem to use, but it's still not a big outlet for sales at all. Physical copies bought still remain the cream of the crop for most artists' albums, and will probably continue to do so for a number of years -- decades -- yet, even with the declining market.

 

We can't really tell what Little Mix and Ellie Goulding are going to sell from their iTunes and Amazon positions, although it's interesting to see the large distinction in their positions nonetheless.