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According to Robert Peston on ITV News last night, postal votes are showing a huge Leave majority, especially in the North.

 

So my prediction. 53% Leave 47% Remain.

 

Turnout 68%.

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The demographics that have postal votes are favourable for Leave to begin with.
Pretty sure it will be leave. We had hoped for a decent result in last election and look what happened. The British Public are absolute morons, mostly racist and completely selfish. I'm so so so embarrassed to be British tbh.
Wouldn't be surprised if England voted Leave and it's Scotland/Ireland that just keep us in.

 

Given the large difference in population size this is actually quite unlikely (and would both require a narrow exit lead from England and sizeable remain lead from the other 3 UK nations), e.g. with a turnout of ~60% a 51-49 lead for exit in England is around 250K and would require a ~5% lead averaged out for remain. Increase that to just 3% and you have a mountain to climb a need an averaged remain vote lead of 16% across the other 3 nations.

 

Sadly it is much more likely that Scotland, N Ireland and Wales are dragged out by England if England votes leave by any significant margin.

Pretty sure it will be leave. We had hoped for a decent result in last election and look what happened. The British Public are absolute morons, mostly racist and completely selfish. I'm so so so embarrassed to be British tbh.

 

No those of us who are voting LEAVE are not racist but realise that we can't go on with half of Europe coming here. As Nigel says, we need controlled immigration like Australia has. We're full and our services like health, housing and education are stretched to their limits. Enough is enough.

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surely that would be an EU import :P

 

Leave 52%

Remain 48%

 

Glad to see I'm not the only Leave predictor. ;)

 

The average so far : 48% Leave, 52% Remain, 67% Turnout

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On a side issue, given that recent polls favour Leave...

 

Do the Remainers here believe that : either the polls are wrong, or that Leavers will get cold feet at the last minute?

I think that either/or a) There'll be a "Gordon Brown moment" that galvinises pride in being both British & European, giving the REMAIN side the win, b) there'll be a big concession made in the next few days to convince those on the LEAVE side to stay, and c) I think many of the people who are currently undecided will end up voting to REMAIN.
No those of us who are voting LEAVE are not racist but realise that we can't go on with half of Europe coming here. As Nigel says, we need controlled immigration like Australia has. We're full and our services like health, housing and education are stretched to their limits. Enough is enough.

Because morons like you have contributed so much 🙄 You may think you're not racist, but pure probably too stupid to realise that you are.

Because morons like you have contributed so much 🙄 You may think you're not racist, but pure probably too stupid to realise that you are.

 

I've always found that calling someone who doesn't agree with my point of view "thick" is just the right tactic to bring them over to my way of thinking.

No those of us who are voting LEAVE are not racist but realise that we can't go on with half of Europe coming here. As Nigel says, we need controlled immigration like Australia has. We're full and our services like health, housing and education are stretched to their limits. Enough is enough.

 

Some are racist, but the EU is not at fault for the countries problems. The NHS cannot meet the demand, that is 100% correct. But any one with an ounce of common sense can see that it's not down to EU nationals. It's because people are living longer. It's highly likely that even if we leave we will have to allow free movement of people, so it's ridiculous to use that as an excuse. Any in any case, the real issue is people are living longer. It's entirely short-term thinking as it is not the root cause.

 

On a side issue, given that recent polls favour Leave...

 

Do the Remainers here believe that : either the polls are wrong, or that Leavers will get cold feet at the last minute?

 

I think people that are Leavers will stay that way. There's more passion from that camp and the polls reflect that. I think it's the undecided camp that will swing things. We already have evidence of our economy deep-diving, it's things like this that show the propaganda from the Remain side is mostly factually correct.

No those of us who are voting LEAVE are not racist but realise that we can't go on with half of Europe coming here. As Nigel says, we need controlled immigration like Australia has. We're full and our services like health, housing and education are stretched to their limits. Enough is enough.

Nowhere near half of Europe is coming here.

On a side issue, given that recent polls favour Leave...

 

Do the Remainers here believe that : either the polls are wrong, or that Leavers will get cold feet at the last minute?

That the polls as they stand are correct but current undecideds will go for the status quo.

I've always found that calling someone who doesn't agree with my point of view "thick" is just the right tactic to bring them over to my way of thinking.

I'm happy to listen to other sides of the argument but when they're as ill mannered and as idiotic as his, then I'm not really bothered.

Leave: 52%

Remain: 48%

Turnout: 65%

 

Really starting to think that Leave will just about push it :( It's going to be basically 50/50 though I'd say as a few have predicted.

No those of us who are voting LEAVE are not racist but realise that we can't go on with half of Europe coming here. As Nigel says, we need controlled immigration like Australia has. We're full and our services like health, housing and education are stretched to their limits. Enough is enough.

 

More immigration comes from OUTSIE THE EU and Leave MPs call immigration levels 'about right' and a points system lets anyone in who completes the requisites. No control over numbers.

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I think that either/or a) There'll be a "Gordon Brown moment" that galvinises pride in being both British & European, giving the REMAIN side the win, b) there'll be a big concession made in the next few days to convince those on the LEAVE side to stay, and c) I think many of the people who are currently undecided will end up voting to REMAIN.

 

Any concession by the EU would be meaningless, as it would need to be ratified by all the other countries - unlikely in the extreme!

 

 

I think people that are Leavers will stay that way. There's more passion from that camp and the polls reflect that. I think it's the undecided camp that will swing things. We already have evidence of our economy deep-diving, it's things like this that show the propaganda from the Remain side is mostly factually correct.

 

If the economy is 'deep-diving' *while* we are a member of the EU, that's surely not a great advertisement for it?

The economy is deepdiving because of the possibility of y'all leaving, which leads to companies not investing in the UK, which has been explained to you multiple times

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