3 by-elections? *_* I hope the public vote accordingly and Labour/Lib dems gain seats!

Now Johnston has been formally found guilty of misleading parliament, this can only add to the level of anger and distrust towards the government and hopefully see a further slide in support and boost for the opposition.

So is there only 3 hero’s who have resigned? Was hoping this would trigger a GE earlier!

 

Most of the ones who have resigned are likely gonna struggle to win their seat in a GE anyway so not maybe as heroic as they make out!

Most of the ones who have resigned are likely gonna struggle to win their seat in a GE anyway so not maybe as heroic as they make out!

 

I don't know about that... Dorries and the other who who resigned had fairly big majorities in their constituencies. I know the Lib Dems toppled a 20k+ majority at one of the by-elections last year, but by-elections can bring about freak results which are then overturned at the next Election.

 

Johnson's seat though only has around a 7k majority at the last GE. So is probably going to be an easy win for Labour.

 

The other potential one in Scotland could be an easy win for Labour as well (if there is a recall petition).

Edited June 11, 20232 yr by ElectroBoy

My thinking is that assuming they're all held on the same day (reasonably likely?) that Tories retain Selby, it's a N Yorkshire seat which doesn't really have any chance of a Lib Dem shock surge, and in actuality this one also going makes it more likely that Mid Beds and Uxbridge fall away to Lib and Lab respectively. So Nigel Adams could have stayed, as could have Dorries, but they're opposed to Sunak so this looks weak for him.

 

assuming this isn't just the deluge of about 10 more and the forecasted start of a National Conservative Party (suggested abbreviation: NatC) - though we'd really be wanting some of Truss' lot and not just Johnson allies for that.

Yes, I assume all three will be held on the same date - presumably next month. As the Selby byelection was not anticipated (unlike the other two), the Tories may mange to hold that one.

2 by-elections to be held 20th July.

 

 

No date for Mid Beds yet as Dorries still hasn't formally resigned.

David Warburton is reported to be resigning as disgraced MP for Somerton and Frome. While he had a large majority in 2019, it was a Lib Dem seat from 1997-2015.

I hope Nadine hands her notice in soon.

 

Meanwhile let's hope David Warburton's seat swings back to the lib dems in a landslide fashion.

Edited June 18, 20232 yr by Envoirment

Be interesting to see what occurs next and if there are any further resignations. The Tories seem to be on full on implosion mode... especially the more vocal Tories who support Boris.

 

Sunak meanwhile is too busy trying to find his spine to comment on, or do anything

Be interesting to see what occurs next and if there are any further resignations. The Tories seem to be on full on implosion mode... especially the more vocal Tories who support Boris.

 

Sunak meanwhile is too busy trying to find his spine to comment on, or do anything

Who will be shocked if he misses tomorrow's vote for a "surprise" visit to Ukraine?

Sunak meanwhile is too busy trying to find his spine to comment on, or do anything

Oh apart from making jokes about trans people during Pride Month.

 

https://www.thepinknews.com/2023/06/18/rish...n-leaked-video/

 

He's so brave and really punches up you see! :rolleyes:

 

Lib Dems already claiming they've overturned a 19000 Tory majority in Somerton and Frome! :banana:

Somerton & Frome:

 

LIB 21,187

CON 10,179

GRE 3,944

REF 1,303

LAB 1,009

 

others

 

Very impressive, the amount of Lib Dem votes is more than the majority they overturned.

 

Selby & Ainsty:

 

LAB 16,456

CON 12,295

GRE 1,838

YORK (IND) 1,503

REF 1,332

LIB 1,188

 

others

 

Also impressive, we have a new Baby of the House and it's the largest majority that Labour have ever overturned in a by-election. Well fought.

 

Uxbridge & Ruislip:

 

CON 13,965

LAB 13,470

GRE 893

REC (L.Fox) 714

LIB 526

 

others

 

and then we have this one. Tory candidate is calling it an anti-ULEZ vote which is unfortunate but I'm sure plenty will start interpreting this one in whichever way they want, ignoring the far more significant overturns in the other two because this one went against expectations slightly.

Agreed Iz on the Uxbridge one. That one was always going to be close, I suppose it saves Sunak's bacon a little bit, but if you look at the percentage swing it was unlucky from Labour, but also proves how hard Labour are going to have to work over the next 12-18 months.

@1682298102974144512

 

Yes please do give us Tory cope, I'd love to see them convince themselves that nothing is wrong so they can sleepwalk into electoral oblivion.

 

Not really enough outer London seats with concerns about ULEZ to win a general election. Perhaps not great for the long term as it means Conservatives might hit on anti-green policies where it hits voters' pockets as a strategy but it's also very niche overall.

 

Agreed Rooney, Labour getting a knock to show they can't be assured of winning every Tory-Labour marginal on current polling is pretty healthy for the long run honestly. And then on the flipside Sunak's trying to insist everything is fine while forecasters are still leading with the headlines that it's the Tories in the worst trouble.

Was hoping for the triple whammy, oh well!

The Lib Dem successes are often underreported - surely the Blue Wall is going to be horrific for Sunak next year. South West, Surrey, Oxfordshire etc....Add in tactical voting.

The Selby vote was great for Labour as that part of the world is Brexit heaven.

 

For Tories to spin this night as a success is a joke!

 

Best news though - complete arsehole extraordinaire Laurence Fox who despite the hype and the fact that he recently posted an AI pic of him being the next Prime Minister got less than 1000 votes in a right wing seat. When will he get the message people can't stand the tosser :lol:

Edited July 21, 20231 yr by Smint

Although the fact that Uxbridge was a Tory hold, presumably because of people's resistance to ULEZ which is there to protect the environment means there will be a full-scale war on Green issues - when the planet is burning.