August 27, 20204 yr I think Katy is the favourite here sooo :lol: she has the biggest fanbase obviously so she's bound to have a good chance at least would be quite astonishing if Disclosure pulled off another #1 without releasing any pop/commercial singles overall prediction - Katy #1 with new entries from Metallica, Disclosure, Gregory and Nines not far off
August 27, 20204 yr Disclosure didn't exactly light the singles chart on fire last era either (they had 'Omen' do moderately well but the other singles all missed the top 40) - the fact their last 2 singles this era still made the top 100 with very limited support seems like a good sign that their relevance has held up pretty well despite the long gap since the last album imo, I think they are being a bit underestimated, I could definitely see them beating Katy. Gregory Porter I'm not sure though, I'd probably say he is the favourite for #1 here.
August 27, 20204 yr Metallica's "S&M2" is a bit of a wildcard also I think, can't really predict sales for something like that
August 27, 20204 yr Katy’s got bundles which she didn’t have for Witness, had lots of promo and very good PR atm. I think she’ll be #2 behind Gregory
August 27, 20204 yr Gregory can definitely do 25k so surely he'll be a number 1. Katy is hard to predict. I think she can do 14-16k in first week but probably not more. And i'm afraid that she'll have a Brightest Blue type of chart run after that... Disclosure will do 13-17k. Certain top 3 maybe even number 2. Dua I can't see beeing a big contender but she should do 6-7k. The Killers will have 7-8k. They can stay in top 5 but it'll be very close with Taylor, Pop Smoke and maybe some other new releases so i'm not 100% sure.
August 27, 20204 yr Didn't realise that Nines' new album was out this week too but yeah that should be a top 5 contender as well (his previous albums both did over 10k first week, the last one doing over 13k). Busy week all around.
August 27, 20204 yr Gregory Porter will take Number 1 comfortably. Katy Perry should take Number 2 with 15,000 sales.
August 28, 20204 yr There is also an album from Internet Money out this week which is packed with high profile features - assuming it's eligible to chart I can see that maybe making the top 10/20. (I'm a little confused on what the entity 'Internet Money' even is, I think it is a collective of producers).
August 28, 20204 yr Author Judging by the first update x iTunes albums we all kinda under-predicted the Metallica live album, which is the highest out of all the newies on iTunes at the moment... 2 Metallica 3 Katy Perry 4 Gregory Porter 6 Disclosure 7 PVRIS 8 Nines 33 Club Nostalgia :o
August 28, 20204 yr For reference, PVRIS' last album debuted at #4 in Aug'17 with 9,549 sales. Presume/hope that they'll break 10k with this one so wonder if they'll sneak into the top 5, or if the rest will be too strong.
August 28, 20204 yr New Releases on Apple Music: 1. Nines 7 + 34. Katy Perry 12. Disclosure 22. Dua Lipa 27. Metallica 29. PVRIS 65. Gregory Porter
August 28, 20204 yr An interesting week ahead then. Gregory will have a paid sales advantage id imagine but streaming isn’t really his market. Dua I think could climb. I wonder were Katy is combined maybe #3-4 or something?
August 29, 20204 yr Author New Releases on iTunes: 1. Metallica 2. Gregory Porter 3. Katy Perry 4. Nines 7. Disclosure 8. PVRIS 10. Dua Lipa New Releases on Apple Music: 1. Nines 3+30. Katy Perry 6. Disclosure 13. Dua Lipa 23. PVRIS 25. Metallica 29. Gregory Porter really surprised if Metallica end up at #1... mostly cos this is S&M part 2 and part 1 peaked at #33 in 1999
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