December 20, 2024Dec 20 supporting neo-Nazis is egregious even for him: @1869986946031988780 he's really chafing at the bit to be the most dangerous human alive right now. or the far-right project has set their sights on Germany as the next target, one or the other.
January 6Jan 6 Justin Trudeau has resigned as Canadian PMÂ https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/can...6-25/index.html
January 6Jan 6 Impactful as one of the last major liberal democratic pre-COVID leaders - only Macron left now really, if you don't count Trump returning. Suspect he's trying to do this as a gambit to maybe avoid the Conservatives in Canada winning the next election - like in New Zealand though, not really sure it will work.
January 13Jan 13 @1878551843858493885Â a populist leftist democratic leader with unbelievable approval ratings ~
February 20Feb 20 @1892516943044686067  Hopefully it’s not like France and when Scholz loses he isn’t still the president 6 months later
February 20Feb 20 @1892516943044686067  Hopefully it’s not like France and when Scholz loses he isn’t still the president 6 months later The key question there relates to the FDP. They are on 4.5%, just short of the 5% they need to get seats under PR. They could get as many as around 40 seats, thereby leading to the other partiers winning fewer.
February 20Feb 20 Author Annoyingly RRG is not a viable coalition so we have no choice but to suffer Merz as Chancellor. Thrilled FDP are going to get spanked out of parliament and that BSW will fail to hit the threshold. Less Russian propagandists in parliament the better. Die Linke will survive thanks to the constitutency vote which is awesome as while their a little too pro Russia they help keep the balance needed for social policies  And @Liam Scholz will remain Chancellor until a new government is sworn in after the next coalition government is formed (looks like GroKo is the only viable option as Kiwi is 1 short of a majority under that poll) just as Merkel was still in power for nearly 2 months after the last federal election while the traffic light coalition agreement was negotiated
February 20Feb 20 I had heard that Die Linke managed to shed at least some if not most of the pro-Russian elements to BSW, been good to see their rise in the polls since that. Likewise hoping for those two parties, FDP and BSW, to fail to hit the threshold. There's not any chance Union will do a devil's coalition with AfD is there? My instincts say no but I haven't read too much into the possibility. Not looking forward to the fractious nature of what looks like a West-East split with right-wing parties taking up most of the seats in the Bundestag.
February 20Feb 20 Author Given the absolutely furious reaction to the CDU resolution on immigration only passing with AfD votes and the insane amount of damage control that Merz has been forced to do since, the brandmauer stays In all the debates recently Merz has also said he won’t work with the AfD. I don’t trust him, but I do trust that if he even started coalition discussions with them the public reaction would be huge
February 23Feb 23 Polls open in Germany, I may have to follow these results - and I'll take a GroKo if that's the best realistically on offer. Problem with the AfD and all far-right parties (and of course German electoral history proves this) is that you absolutely cannot let them in because they will do untold horrific damage to the country, but by not letting them in and yet still achieving a significant result, as they are likely to later today, there's not many ways they can fall back down in popularity due to being in opposition.
February 23Feb 23 Author Using the coalition builder on the MDR website, only GroKo and Nazi 2.0 have a majority, so that should at least strengthen the position of the SPD in negotiations to try and hold on to things like dual citizenship reform in the coalition contract
February 23Feb 23 The latest projections which slightly differ from the exit polls  CDU/CSU 210 seats Friedrich Merz 28.8% AfD 147 seats Alice Weidel 20.2% SPD 118 seats Olaf Scholz 16.2% GRÜNE 92 seats Robert Habeck 12.7% Die Linke 62 seats Heidi Reichinnek, Jan van Aken 8.5% FDP 0 seats Christian Lindner 4.9% BSW 0 seats Sahra Wagenknecht 4.8% Others 1 seat
February 23Feb 23 Author BSW are getting a little too close to the 5% hurdle for comfort. But the FDP being telt to get f***ed is the only silver lining to this dreadful result
February 24Feb 24 Author Thank f***. Far too close to comfort. If they’d made it only an unstable Union/SPD/Green coalition would have been possible to get a majority. GroKo is the only possible coalition from this which should give the SPD a stronger hand in negotiations but the majority is slim
March 31Mar 31 Le Pen banned from public office for 5 years over embezzlement claims.The French don't fuck around when it comes to protecting democracy from criminals, nice.
March 31Mar 31 From afar it can seem like a politically motivated prosecution and we saw how that backfired in the states
March 31Mar 31 It's not, as far as I can tell, it's a pretty open and shut case. Not every judicial investigation of a politician will turn partisan, because they have to be accountable to the law just like anyone else, more even, ideally.No solid evidence to prove that trying a politician for crimes 'backfires', as in, attracts support towards the affected politician as they bloviate about politically motivated courts, the election in America swung the way it did for other reasons. Though that doesn't stop the morally bankrupt wannabe dictators of the West trying as Farage, Orban, the Kremlin et al have all come out strongly condemning the ruling, talking about ideology rather than what she's done.Ironic thing was, this comes about as part of French lawmakers tightening up the rules around corruption to ensure that anyone convicted on these types of rulings is ineligible to run for office, Le Pen herself voted in favour, doubtless thinking she could use it against someone of another political stripe. And she would, they all would, if it was that way around. But it's fine, high-ranking politicians should be just like any other job with similar background requirements, teacher, doctor, etc.
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