June 25, 20241 yr Estimated declaration times are out: https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/li...-b1166603.html# As always a few North East seats in contention to get their first. Most declarations expected between 2am and 6am. If those estimates are anywhere near correct, we will have a pretty good idea of how it has gone fairly early. The predicted first seat to declare, Blyth and Ashington is a red wall seat whose main predecessor seat went Tory last time in a sign f what was to come. If Labour win comfortably, they are well on their way. Basildon and Billericay (predicted to be third to declare) is the supposedly safe Try seat where Richard Holden, national party chair, imposed himself as candidate. When the Tories won Basildon (with the late David Amess as MP) in 1992, that was an early sign that Labour had lost. If Labour win this seat comfortably, they are likely to win a hefty majority nationally. There could be a period around 4am which is absolute carnage for the Tories. It should be noted that predicting declaration times is very difficult and estimates are often very wrong.
June 26, 20241 yr Apparently there is a debate tonight again not sure why they’re still doing these, not sure even I will force myself to watch this one
June 26, 20241 yr Apparently there is a debate tonight again not sure why they’re still doing these, not sure even I will force myself to watch this oneI'll be amazed if there's that many people who are still on the fence.
June 26, 20241 yr Yeh this election was won for Labour in Sept 22, just like the 1997 election was won in Sept 1992!
June 26, 20241 yr Basildon and Billericay (predicted to be third to declare) is the supposedly safe Try seat where Richard Holden, national party chair, imposed himself as candidate. When the Tories won Basildon (with the late David Amess as MP) in 1992, that was an early sign that Labour had lost. If Labour win this seat comfortably, they are likely to win a hefty majority nationally. It's now Labour's 315th target: if they win it by just a single vote then the Tories are unlikely to win even 100 seats.
June 26, 20241 yr It's now Labour's 315th target: if they win it by just a single vote then the Tories are unlikely to win even 100 seats. Wouldn’t that be a shame?
June 26, 20241 yr Just catching up with the Prime Ministerial Debate on the BBC. Sunak interrupting Starmer every time he speaks is extremely irritating. Keir: “is he going to place a bet on how much he interrupts me?”
June 26, 20241 yr Every topic Rishis Pr had him reciting ‘don’t trust Labour with (fill in topic they were talking about)!
June 26, 20241 yr I can't believe the audience actually applauded him at times. He came across aggressive with a massive potato on his shoulder from start to finish.
June 26, 20241 yr Others would paint that as coming out fighting. Remember the many of the electorate are generally idiots when it comes to politics(and not nerds like me) and if Sunak repeats his slogans over and over eventually that will unfort cut through for many people!
June 27, 20241 yr Others would paint that as coming out fighting. Remember the many of the electorate are generally idiots when it comes to politics(and not nerds like me) and if Sunak repeats his slogans over and over eventually that will unfort cut through for many people! Oh yes I learned that from the Brexit vote. :kink:
June 27, 20241 yr Author Greg Hands having an absolute nightmare in X. Apparently all Amanda's in his constituency bear a striking resemblance to each other. Hope he loses his seat.
June 27, 20241 yr Starmer also came across pretty badly about Rwanda in the debate! Edited June 27, 20241 yr by Steve201
June 27, 20241 yr Starmer also came across pretty badly about Rwanda in the debate! That debate was definitely not his finest moment.
June 27, 20241 yr Author Farage's local campaigners have been caught saying incredibly unpleasant things about the PM and asylum seekers that I'm not going to regurgitate on here, this could be even more damning to his campaign than the Russia comments.
June 27, 20241 yr Starmer also came across pretty badly about Rwanda in the debate! Does that mean he wasn’t nasty enough?
June 27, 20241 yr No he didn’t have an answer to what he would do after being repeatedly asked by Sunak and the presenter so he looked like what he was accused of being as having no plan!
June 27, 20241 yr No he didn’t have an answer to what he would do after being repeatedly asked by Sunak and the presenter so he looked like what he was accused of being as having no plan! I think that's because they don't have an immigration plan. Whether we like it or not, the electorate do care about it and this is a topic that is easily manipulated. I think Starmer himself and a Labour government are pro immigration and likely favour safe legal routes in, but this is one angle which they probably need to take a righter wing view on short term, otherwise they will get hammered on it by whoever shouts the loudest out of Reform and the Tories.
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