I actually think it could be Arctics Do I Wanna Know, it was doing decently on audio streaming. That or Feel Good Inc has finally made it

5 minutes ago, gasman449 said:

I actually think it could be Arctics Do I Wanna Know, it was doing decently on audio streaming. That or Feel Good Inc has finally made it

They would be new entries (for 2025 YTD purposes).

Week 9:

1	1	Lola Young	Messy	434,000	610,000
2	2	Rosé and Bruno Mars	APT.	412,000	770,000
3	3	Gracie Abrams	That's So True	384,000	820,000
4	4	Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars	Die With A Smile	344,000	980,000
5	5	Chrystal	The Days	270,000	440,000
6	6	Gigi Perez	Sailor Song	259,000	860,000
7	7	Billie Eilish	Birds Of A Feather	252,000	1,480,000
8	8	Chappell Roan	Good Luck, Babe!	249,000	1,460,000
9	9	Sabrina Carpenter	Espresso	218,000	1,970,000
10	12	Benson Boone	Beautiful Things	214,000	2,000,000
11	10	Sabrina Carpenter	Taste	213,000	1,010,000
12	11	Teddy Swims	Lose Control	211,000	2,050,000
13	17	Chappell Roan	Pink Pony Club	194,000	640,000
14	19	Kendrick Lamar	Not Like Us	190,000	810,000
15	13	Teddy Swims	The Door	186,000	850,000
16	14	Teddy Swims	Bad Dreams	181,000	420,000
17	15	Hozier	Too Sweet	177,000	1,640,000
18	16	Shaboozey	A Bar Song (Tipsy)	176,000	1,510,000
19	18	Noah Kahan	Stick Season	170,000	2,690,000
20	21	Sabrina Carpenter	Please Please Please	168,000	1,310,000
21	20	Myles Smith	Stargazing	167,000	1,180,000
22	23	Myles Smith	Nice To Meet You	166,000	280,000
23	24	Gracie Abrams	I Love You, I'm Sorry	163,000	650,000
24	22	The Weeknd and Playboi Carti	Timeless	163,000	390,000
25	26	Sabrina Carpenter	Bed Chem	153,000	540,000
26	31	Kendrick Lamar & Sza	Luther	153,000	250,000
27	25	Jimin	Who	153,000	420,000
28	28	Sonny Fodera, Jazzy & D.O.D.	Somedays	153,000	620,000
29	27	Chappell Roan	Hot To Go!	152,000	810,000
30	29	Billie Eilish	Wildflower	144,000	660,000
31	30	Cynthia Erivo and Ariana Grande	Defying Gravity	139,000	260,000
32	34	Doechii	Denial Is A River	134,000
33	37	Sam Fender	People Watching	132,000
34	32	Bl3ss & CamrinWatsin featuring BbyClose	Kisses	129,000	780,000
35	33	Pawsa and The Adventures Of Stevie V	Dirty Cash (Money Talks)	127,000
36	35	The Killers	Mr Brightside	126,000	6,190,000
37	40	Kendrick Lamar & Sza	All The Stars	126,000	2,040,000
38	36	Post Malone featuring Morgan Wallen	I Had Some Help	126,000	1,040,000
39	45	Lady Gaga	Abracadabra	123,000
40	39	Kendrick Lamar	TV Off	122,000

41	52	Tate McRae	Sports Car	115,000
53	59	Imogen Heap	Headlock	97,000
65	65	Central Cee & Dave	CRG	87,000
67	69	Alex Warren	Burning Down	87,000
72	81	Tate McRae	It's OK I'm OK	85,000	270,000
84	-	Alex Warren	Ordinary	78,000
89	-	Sam Fender	Arm's Length	76,000
92	97	SZA with Kendrick Lamar	30 For 30	76,000

Entered this week:

Ordinary

Arm’s Length

I Remember Everything

Left this week:

Valerie

End Of Beginning

I Always Wanted A Brother

On 01/03/2025 at 19:02, Maestro said:

Having now done my estimations I agree with gasman that Ordinary and Arm's Length are definitely in this week at the expense of I Always Wanted a Brother and End of Beginning (#23 last year, re-entering this week), which seemed to get a one week boost on Spotify before falling back again. I also think Valerie might be in trouble soon.

3 hours ago, Maestro said:

I think it could be 'I Remember Everything' which has had a bit of a resurgence on Spotify.

6 for 6.

Nice to see you can make posts again @Maestro after the issues you reported.

1 minute ago, awardinary said:

Nice to see you can make posts again @Maestro after the issues you reported.

I'm afraid I can still only post on my laptop unfortunately as it's still not working on my phone.

Tbh it's probably just my phone being trash as it's pretty old, hoping to get a new one soon.

'Abracadabra' in the top 40 - hello 2025!

I thought 'Sports Car' might make it too but hadn't reckoned on the threshold for top 40 jumping by 20k in a week - the power of mustaaaaard

As I'm a little late it's worth noting that as of week 10, The Chain has now charted on audio streaming this year (#100 this week). Another Love and The Sound of Silence are still yet to.

Feel like I Remember Everything (#39 last year) could hang around for a bit, think it has quite a good premium ratio.

Unwritten is a guaranteed re-entry next week, I'd guess at the expense of Diet Pepsi.

Beyond that I'm not sure, No One Noticed, Casual and Raving in the Studio haven't quite done enough I don't think, so any other entries are likely to be surprise oldies, I have no idea what else is in trouble at the bottom either (maybe Naive?)

In response to gasman predicting an appearance for Do I Wanna Know?, looking at the independent chart, I don't think its weekly numbers are strong enough currently

9 minutes ago, Maestro said:

In response to gasman predicting an appearance for Do I Wanna Know?, looking at the independent chart, I don't think its weekly numbers are strong enough currently

Ah dang it. No One Noticed and Raving In The Studio are about 8k short of the list, also think we'll just get Unwritten back this week. I have 360 dropping out for it but it's a total gamble once again

Edited March 7Mar 7 by gasman449

8 minutes ago, gasman449 said:

Ah dang it. No One Noticed and Raving In The Studio are about 8k short of the list, also think we'll just get Unwritten back this week. I have 360 dropping out for it but it's a total gamble once again

I think No One Noticed and Raving in the Studio are a bit closer than that, I have them both on ~78k (as of today's chart) and I wouldn't expect the cut off next week to be much higher than 82k.

360 is a very difficult one to estimate because its sales seem to be much better than its Apple & Spotify performances suggest (due to remixes I guess), it caught me out at the end of last year so now I'm quite generous estimating it, but I think it'll be safe for a while, I have at at #83 on 79k as of last week

1 minute ago, Maestro said:

I think No One Noticed and Raving in the Studio are a bit closer than that, I have them both on ~78k (as of today's chart) and I wouldn't expect the cut off next week to be much higher than 82k.

360 is a very difficult one to estimate because its sales seem to be much better than its Apple & Spotify performances suggest (due to remixes I guess), it caught me out at the end of last year so now I'm quite generous estimating it, but I think it'll be safe for a while, I have at at #83 on 79k as of last week

Yh that 8k should've been 5k, made a typo 😬 I currently have the cutoff at 81k (73k when we got Tuesday's update) and I'm probably well overestimating Diet Pepsi too, I have it on 82.5k at 94. Because 360 had a big drop-off on the audio streaming chart after the first week I just assumed it was tanking and gave it low sales when it's probably not the case at all.

9 minutes ago, gasman449 said:

Yh that 8k should've been 5k, made a typo 😬 I currently have the cutoff at 81k (73k when we got Tuesday's update) and I'm probably well overestimating Diet Pepsi too, I have it on 82.5k at 94. Because 360 had a big drop-off on the audio streaming chart after the first week I just assumed it was tanking and gave it low sales when it's probably not the case at all.

Tbf it's very fine margins at the bottom with a lot of songs doing ~8k a week, but that's a couple of thousand higher than I have Diet Pepsi which can make all the difference.

I think 360's sales have been propped up a bit from the freefall that you've estimated by the Grammy's and the Brits, I'm sure it will linger for a while, but I wouldn't expect either it or Apple to hang around until the end of the year.

“Diet Pepsi” is gone for sure - fell 89-99 last week. “360” fell 91-98 last week so gasman’s right on that, though guess it will have rallied now. No other obvious dropouts for this week but “Another Love” looking a bit shaky (94-97). “Naïve” is doing fine (non mover at #87).

3 hours ago, Julian_ said:

“Diet Pepsi” is gone for sure - fell 89-99 last week. “360” fell 91-98 last week so gasman’s right on that, though guess it will have rallied now. No other obvious dropouts for this week but “Another Love” looking a bit shaky (94-97). “Naïve” is doing fine (non mover at #87).

oh wow, I've made a bit of a mess of some of the bottom of the chart in that case - I really imagined that 360 was still doing similar numbers to when it dropped out on Spotify at the end of last year but was still managing 8/8.5k a week.

I don’t envy you doing it without the actual chart - you guys do a great job!

48 minutes ago, Julian_ said:

I don’t envy you doing it without the actual chart - you guys do a great job!

I enjoy the challenge and at least I get the information of what is entering and leaving each week.

Would never have predicted The Chain for example was in without that information

Week 10:

1	1	Lola Young	Messy	480,000	660,000
2	2	Rosé and Bruno Mars	APT.	452,000	810,000
3	3	Gracie Abrams	That's So True	418,000	850,000
4	4	Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars	Die With A Smile	377,000	1,010,000
5	5	Chrystal	The Days	299,000	460,000
6	7	Billie Eilish	Birds Of A Feather	279,000	1,500,000
7	6	Gigi Perez	Sailor Song	279,000	880,000
8	8	Chappell Roan	Good Luck, Babe!	277,000	1,480,000
9	10	Benson Boone	Beautiful Things	241,000	2,030,000
10	9	Sabrina Carpenter	Espresso	241,000	1,990,000
11	11	Sabrina Carpenter	Taste	236,000	1,030,000
12	12	Teddy Swims	Lose Control	236,000	2,070,000
13	13	Chappell Roan	Pink Pony Club	232,000	680,000
14	14	Kendrick Lamar	Not Like Us	221,000	840,000
15	15	Teddy Swims	The Door	207,000	870,000
16	16	Teddy Swims	Bad Dreams	202,000	440,000
17	18	Shaboozey	A Bar Song (Tipsy)	195,000	1,530,000
18	17	Hozier	Too Sweet	194,000	1,660,000
19	22	Myles Smith	Nice To Meet You	188,000	300,000
20	20	Sabrina Carpenter	Please Please Please	187,000	1,330,000
21	21	Myles Smith	Stargazing	187,000	1,200,000
22	19	Noah Kahan	Stick Season	186,000	2,710,000
23	23	Gracie Abrams	I Love You, I'm Sorry	178,000	660,000
24	24	The Weeknd and Playboi Carti	Timeless	176,000	400,000
25	26	Kendrick Lamar & Sza	Luther	175,000	270,000
26	25	Sabrina Carpenter	Bed Chem	171,000	560,000
27	28	Sonny Fodera, Jazzy & D.O.D.	Somedays	170,000	640,000
28	27	Jimin	Who	170,000	440,000
29	29	Chappell Roan	Hot To Go!	167,000	830,000
30	30	Billie Eilish	Wildflower	158,000	670,000
31	32	Doechii	Denial Is A River	153,000
32	33	Sam Fender	People Watching	152,000
33	39	Lady Gaga	Abracadabra	147,000
34	31	Cynthia Erivo and Ariana Grande	Defying Gravity	147,000	270,000
35	37	Kendrick Lamar & Sza	All The Stars	147,000	2,060,000
36	34	Bl3ss & CamrinWatsin featuring BbyClose	Kisses	142,000	800,000
37	41	Tate McRae	Sports Car	142,000
38	36	The Killers	Mr Brightside	141,000	6,200,000
39	35	Pawsa and The Adventures Of Stevie V	Dirty Cash (Money Talks)	140,000
40	38	Post Malone featuring Morgan Wallen	I Had Some Help	139,000	1,050,000
57	84	Alex Warren	Ordinary	106,000
61	67	Alex Warren	Burning Down	99,000
67	72	Tate McRae	It's OK I'm OK	97,000	280,000
79	89	Sam Fender	Arm's Length	90,000
84	86	Disturbed	The Sound Of Silence	87,000	1,700,000

“Unwritten” back replacing “Diet Pepsi” - the 6th week in a row there’s been 1 re-entry.

(Note I made a mistake with last week’s position for “Headlock”, now fixed.)

Interesting to see a big difference at the top of this chart to the Spotify YTD, where That's So True is still above Messy and as of this week is charting above it daily again:

Gracie got a boost due to her tour I’m sure Messy will go back ahead soon