9 hours ago, gasman449 said:

Just had a go at a full top 40, week 14 2024 to week 13 2025. You're pretty much bang on with your sales estimates, just had to change Hot To Go (it would've done a few sales in 2023 so its total wouldn't fit this list).

That’s brilliant , thanks very much for your help!

Yes you’re right, I forgot to remove pre 2024 sales from the totals.

A top 40 looks much better as it takes in more recent releases ……but Mr Brightside has snuck in too I notice 🤣

1 hour ago, Jaz13music said:

A top 40 looks much better as it takes in more recent releases ……but Mr Brightside has snuck in too I notice 🤣

That would be a good challenge - to find a rolling chart where “Mr Brightside” isn’t in the Top 40. I suspect you’d have to go back a few years.

The Scientist showing up as predicted, this would be its first appearance on a year end list as it failed to even make the top 200 in either 2002 or 2003.

As discussed Show Me Love will definitely show up next week and I'm pretty sure MUTT will as well. Say My Name is more of an outside shot.

Pink Skies and BMF are on the chopping block and I'd guess Creep as well.

Additionally I think 505 and Chasing Cars could be in trouble soon, although both CRG and Like Him are falling much harder.

Edited April 23Apr 23 by Maestro

Show Me Love 100% entering with Mutt extremely likely this week. I have CRG and BMF falling out for them.

10 minutes ago, gasman449 said:

Show Me Love 100% entering with Mutt extremely likely this week. I have CRG and BMF falling out for them.

That could be spot on.

35 minutes ago, Julian_ said:

That could be spot on.

Is Pink Skies holding up better than I think then?

Or is CRG just doing much worse?

7 minutes ago, Maestro said:

Is Pink Skies holding up better than I think then?

Or is CRG just doing much worse?

Both I guess. 😊

Last week:

Pink Skies 93-94

CRG 89-96

BMF 90-98

Ah right. I can’t remember exactly where I had Pink Skies but I think it was 96-98 range.

And I had CRG around 90 still so I’ve got both of them wrong

I did think Pink Skies was going to hang on for another couple of weeks, must be doing around 7.5-8k a week after at a glance on Spotify. If a third song should enter this week I would have Prada next to drop out, it's dropped a fair bit on the dance charts

Edited April 25Apr 25 by gasman449

Yeah I have Prada struggling too, but I think Like Him is struggling more.

I only had Pink Skies doing 7k so I guess I’m underestimating there.

“Prada” actually OK for a while: 80-81 last week.

“Like Him” 81-85 so indeed will be in trouble soon.

2 minutes ago, Julian_ said:

“Prada” actually OK for a while: 80-81 last week.

Oh wow that's shockingly high! Must have a lot more premium than free streams. Was also under the impression Like Him was a bit safer but it's been a bit low on the hip hop charts (out for the past 2 weeks) so will definitely need to adjust my sales for those two

Edited April 25Apr 25 by gasman449

Like Him can’t be doing more than 5kish a week at this point

On 23/04/2025 at 20:00, Maestro said:

Pink Skies and BMF are on the chopping block and I'd guess Creep as well.

Additionally I think 505 and Chasing Cars could be in trouble soon, although both CRG and Like Him are falling much harder.

Last week:

Chasing Cars 92-91

505 95-97

Creep 98-99

Week 17:

1	1	Lola Young	Messy	737,000	920,000
2	2	Rosé and Bruno Mars	APT.	699,000	1,050,000
3	3	Gracie Abrams	That's So True	625,000	1,060,000
4	4	Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars	Die With A Smile	577,000	1,210,000
5	5	Alex Warren	Ordinary	534,000
6	6	Chappell Roan	Pink Pony Club	493,000	940,000
7	7	Chrystal	The Days	473,000	640,000
8	8	Billie Eilish	Birds Of A Feather	446,000	1,670,000
9	9	Chappell Roan	Good Luck, Babe!	436,000	1,640,000
10	11	Benson Boone	Beautiful Things	431,000	2,220,000
11	10	Gigi Perez	Sailor Song	426,000	1,020,000
12	12	Sabrina Carpenter	Espresso	398,000	2,150,000
13	13	Sabrina Carpenter	Taste	394,000	1,190,000
14	14	Teddy Swims	Lose Control	390,000	2,220,000
15	15	Kendrick Lamar	Not Like Us	355,000	980,000
16	16	Teddy Swims	Bad Dreams	354,000	590,000
17	17	Teddy Swims	The Door	348,000	1,020,000
18	18	Myles Smith	Nice To Meet You	330,000	440,000
19	20	Tate McRae	Sports Car	325,000
20	19	Shaboozey	A Bar Song (Tipsy)	324,000	1,660,000
21	21	Hozier	Too Sweet	312,000	1,780,000
22	22	Myles Smith	Stargazing	312,000	1,320,000
23	23	Sabrina Carpenter	Please Please Please	311,000	1,450,000
24	24	Lady Gaga	Abracadabra	305,000
25	25	Noah Kahan	Stick Season	299,000	2,820,000
26	26	Sabrina Carpenter	Bed Chem	293,000	680,000
27	28	Sonny Fodera, Jazzy & D.O.D.	Somedays	280,000	750,000
28	27	Kendrick Lamar & Sza	Luther	278,000	370,000
29	29	Gracie Abrams	I Love You, I'm Sorry	271,000	750,000
30	30	Chappell Roan	Hot To Go!	266,000	930,000
31	32	Alex Warren	Carry You Home	265,000	570,000
32	31	The Weeknd and Playboi Carti	Timeless	258,000	480,000
33	33	Sam Fender	People Watching	250,000	360,000
34	34	Doechii	Denial Is A River	249,000	250,000
35	35	Kendrick Lamar & Sza	All The Stars	247,000	2,160,000
36	39	Sabrina Carpenter	Busy Woman	244,000
37	36	Billie Eilish	Wildflower	244,000	760,000
38	37	The Killers	Mr Brightside	242,000	6,310,000
39	38	Bl3ss & CamrinWatsin featuring BbyClose	Kisses	234,000	890,000
40	40	Post Malone featuring Morgan Wallen	I Had Some Help	234,000	1,140,000
41	46	Doechii	Anxiety	222,000
56	59	Drake	Nokia	185,000
57	62	Ravyn Lenae	Love Me Not	185,000
69	71	Tate McRae	Revolving Door	165,000
72	-	WizTheMc & Bees & Honey	Show Me Love	157,000
75	88	Chappell Roan	The Giver	155,000
88	-	Leon Thomas	Mutt	148,000

“CRG” and “BMF” have left.

think you might’ve forgot Show Me Love? Was that the other debut this week?

16 minutes ago, themodereviews said:

think you might’ve forgot Show Me Love? Was that the other debut this week?

Amended

Last week's positions for the top 40 are also incorrect - showing everything as a non-mover

MUTT must have actually been very close to entering last week based on that number.

Say My Name (Remix) should show up next week, think it will probably be the only entry, would guess 505 drops out.

With the debate in the other thread just had a nosey at last years and the biggest song at this point had a quarter of a million sales more isn't that further indication that "sales: are down"