Whose gonna break up the Pineapple trifecta

Glad I was right about Benson getting in this week, Both Sombrs and Tell Me should enter next week. Was overestimating Red Wine Supernova quite a bit but other than that I was only 2 places off for some of the "current" hits, cheers Julian. Out of interest what is at number 68? That song broke my perfect streak 😆

6 minutes ago, gasman449 said:

Out of interest what is at number 68?

“Seventeen Going Under”, which must have a very good premium ratio as it’s easy to underestimate.

I should imagine Ordinary will be number one in the next 3 weeks

5 minutes ago, Chapman said:

I should imagine Ordinary will be number one in the next 3 weeks

Might be pretty close that week actually assuming Lola is still doing 32k a week and if Alex is doing 65k a week. In 4 weeks he will definitely overtake though and be mid-year (mostly likely full year) number one.

“We Can’t Be Friends” now struggling quite a bit so if we lose 3 next week that might leave alongside “GBP” and one of the oldies like “Don’t Stop Me Now”

Thanks for the extended update Julian.

I had suspicions that Seventeen Going Under had a very good ratio so got that one right.

I was actually underestimating Red Wine Supernova (so averaging mine and Gasman's predictions out we might have got it right) and really underestimating Arm's Length.

Was also overestimating we can't be friends if it might be in trouble next week.

Overall I'm finding it much harder to estimate stuff this year compared to last, well done to Gasman for correctly predicting Sorry I'm Here for Someone Else in this week.

Can't see anything else entering beyond back to friends and Tell Me next week, GBP is obviously gone, I would have had Chasing Cars in trouble but I guess I'm underestimating that.

31 minutes ago, Maestro said:

Can't see anything else entering beyond back to friends and Tell Me next week, GBP is obviously gone, I would have had Chasing Cars in trouble but I guess I'm underestimating that.

I get 147k for “Undressed” so that should easily make it too. 95-98 are:

We Can’t Be Friends

Chasing Cars

Don’t Stop Me Now

The Scientist

Feels like any of them could go or not.

I only had Undressed on 138k which I'm gonna put down to me doing some bad mental maths at some point, but yes it will definitely be in next week in that case.

Will concur with Undressed and Tell Me being nailed on entries this week, GBP and We Can't Be Friends to drop out. Still think Back To Friends could go either way but more likely than not it's in this time, Don't Stop Me Now to drop out if it enters

Week 21:

1	1	Lola Young	Messy	867,000	1,050,000
2	2	Rosé and Bruno Mars	APT.	816,000	1,170,000
3	3	Alex Warren	Ordinary	799,000
4	4	Gracie Abrams	That's So True	721,000	1,150,000
5	5	Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars	Die With A Smile	667,000	1,300,000
6	6	Chappell Roan	Pink Pony Club	641,000	1,090,000
7	7	Chrystal	The Days	575,000	740,000
8	8	Billie Eilish	Birds Of A Feather	541,000	1,760,000
9	9	Benson Boone	Beautiful Things	531,000	2,320,000
10	10	Chappell Roan	Good Luck, Babe!	525,000	1,730,000
11	11	Gigi Perez	Sailor Song	499,000	1,100,000
12	12	Sabrina Carpenter	Espresso	475,000	2,230,000
13	13	Sabrina Carpenter	Taste	473,000	1,270,000
14	14	Teddy Swims	Lose Control	472,000	2,310,000
15	15	Teddy Swims	Bad Dreams	441,000	680,000
16	16	Teddy Swims	The Door	428,000	1,100,000
17	17	Tate McRae	Sports Car	422,000
18	19	Myles Smith	Nice To Meet You	413,000	520,000
19	18	Kendrick Lamar	Not Like Us	403,000	1,020,000
20	20	Shaboozey	A Bar Song (Tipsy)	396,000	1,730,000
21	21	Myles Smith	Stargazing	386,000	1,400,000
22	22	Hozier	Too Sweet	379,000	1,850,000
23	23	Lady Gaga	Abracadabra	375,000
24	25	Noah Kahan	Stick Season	360,000	2,880,000
25	24	Sabrina Carpenter	Please Please Please	360,000	1,500,000
26	28	Alex Warren	Carry You Home	349,000	650,000
27	26	Sabrina Carpenter	Bed Chem	343,000	730,000
28	27	Sonny Fodera, Jazzy & D.O.D.	Somedays	343,000	810,000
29	34	Ravyn Lenae	Love Me Not	330,000
30	30	Sabrina Carpenter	Busy Woman	327,000
31	29	Kendrick Lamar & Sza	Luther	325,000	630,000
32	31	Chappell Roan	Hot To Go!	319,000	980,000
33	33	Doechii	Anxiety	316,000
34	32	Gracie Abrams	I Love You, I'm Sorry	316,000	800,000
35	36	The Killers	Mr Brightside	304,000	6,370,000
36	35	The Weeknd and Playboi Carti	Timeless	303,000	530,000
37	38	Kendrick Lamar & Sza	All The Stars	295,000	2,210,000
38	37	Sam Fender	People Watching	295,000	400,000
39	45	WizTheMc & Bees & Honey	Show Me Love	293,000
40	39	Billie Eilish	Wildflower	292,000	810,000
54	57	Tate McRae	Revolving Door	234,000
57	70	Ed Sheeran	Azizam	227,000
65	69	Leon Thomas	Mutt	213,000	230,000
78	81	Morgan Seatree featuring Florence + The Machine	Say My Name (Remix)	192,000
89	100	Benson Boone	Sorry I'm Here For Someone Else	180,000
93	-	Sombr	Undressed	179,000
94	-	Sonny Fodera & Clementine Douglas	Tell Me	178,000

Leaving this week:

We Can’t Be Friends (Wait For Your Love)

GBP

Lola keep fight for that half year dont let him take it before end of june

Cmon Tate smash Teddy's door

Edited May 27May 27 by 777666jason

Messy & Ordinary top 2 seems locked in

Had an inkling Back To Friends would miss out again. If it doesn't show up next week that's when I'll be very surprised!

I’ve just no idea what “Back To Friends” sold before it entered the Top 100, but it can’t have been doing much as it’s shifted 156k since then.

Could the 6.5 year run for “Someone You Loved” be coming to an end? Moved 92-96 this week.

On 13/02/2025 at 16:22, Envoirment said:

"BIRDS OF A FEATHER" looking on track to do a 2nd year above 1 million? Will become only the 5th song to do over 1 million in two consecutive years if it it does I believe (Others being "Perfect", "Bad Habits", "Dance Monkey" & Someone You Loved")?

 

I think it needs to average 18k/week for the rest of the year. It's still doing 25k+ per week and can see the song potentially being boosted by the BRITS and Billie's tour over the summer should boost the song further.

Picking up again on this - it’s a testament to the strength of 2024 but amazingly nearly half way through this year we still have FIVE tracks on course to exceed a million for the 2nd year in a row. That’s something that fewer than 5 tracks have done before ever!

Assuming they continue to do last week’s sales for the rest of the year these are the projections:

Beautiful Things 1.26m

Birds Of A Feather 1.25m

Good Luck, Babe! 1.18m

Lose Control 1.10m

Espresso 1.04m

That’s assuming they don’t decline at all which of course they probably will. They will all likely fall some way short of the above projections but it’s now looking quite likely the Top 3 at least and possibly “Lose Control” will make the million, even if “Espresso” ends up short. Amazing.

Wonder if Stargazing can also manage a million! Doing around 20k a week right now but it'll likely drop off

On 27/05/2025 at 17:43, Julian_ said:

Could the 6.5 year run for “Someone You Loved” be coming to an end? Moved 92-96 this week.

If and when it does drop out, does that only leave 'Cruel Summer' (which had only 1 week in the chart before 2023) of the songs released, or at least first charted, between 2015 and 2022?

Extraordinary if so, as there are now plenty of pre-2015 songs which will take some shifting from these YTDs in years to come, while the last 10 years, aside from the flurry of relatively recent hits in the last couple, looks like it's already becoming something of a vacuum.

8 minutes ago, jimwatts said:

If and when it does drop out, does that only leave 'Cruel Summer' (which had only 1 week in the chart before 2023) of the songs released, or at least first charted, between 2015 and 2022?

Extraordinary if so, as there are now plenty of pre-2015 songs which will take some shifting from these YTDs in years to come, while the last 10 years, aside from the flurry of relatively recent hits in the last couple, looks like it's already becoming something of a vacuum.

Shut Up And Dance, The Night We Met and The Sound Of Silence are still in there (EDIT also Seventeen Going Under, Stick Season, All The Stars and of course Pink Pony Club)

Edited May 29May 29 by gasman449

10 minutes ago, gasman449 said:

Shut Up And Dance, The Night We Met and The Sound Of Silence are still in there

Fair enough: 'Shut Up And Dance' is a 2014 song which first charted 10 years ago next week, 'The Sound Of Silence' will be 10 years old in August and debuted over 9 years ago, and 'The Night We Met' is also 10 years old now and although its chart debut was in 2017, its only week in the Top 75 was in 2023. My general point still stands, I think!