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> Eurovision Song Contest 2018 ∑ Odds, Top 5 | Cyprus - Israel - Ireland - France - Sweden
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AdamAloud
post Mar 15 2018, 03:42 PM
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A little later than last year but it's once again time for the odds thread! Last year of course Italy were the hot favourites right up until the week of the contest, which shows that the odds means absolutely nothing yet! However let's take at the current list, these are the best prices you can currently get according to Eurovision World!

7/3 Israel
8/1 Estonia
9/1 Czech Republic
17/1 Australia
19/1 Bulgaria
20/1 Belgium
22/1 Netherlands
22/1 Sweden
26/1 Norway
29/1 Spain
---
33/1 France
41/1 Greece
49/1 Belarus
64/1 Finland
66/1 Austria
69/1 Italy
79/1 Germany
84/1 Portugal
94/1 Denmark
100/1 Armenia
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109/1 Azerbaijan
109/1 Ukraine
139/1 Russia
159/1 Cyprus
229/1 Lithuania
259/1 Latvia
329/1 United Kingdom
349/1 Malta
409/1 Serbia
549/1 San Marino
559/1 Macedonia
559/1 Moldova
569/1 Romania
689/1 Hungary
709/1 Montenegro
719/1 Albania
719/1 Poland
719/1 Ireland
739/1 Slovenia
819/1 Croatia
889/1 Georgia
909/1 Switzerland
999/1 Iceland

I'd already put a £10 each way on Sweden when Benjamin won Melodifestivalen at 12/1, annoying that they've already gone out but that's the name of the game!
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Liаm
post Mar 15 2018, 03:56 PM
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I got my £5 each way on Estonia when it was 12/1 or 10/1 icr laugh.gif
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LexC
post Mar 15 2018, 04:02 PM
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Ukraine being as far south as 100/1 is CRAZY good value!
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BillyH
post Mar 18 2018, 01:28 AM
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Am I missing the reason why Finland is plummeting in the odds? I've placed bets on them and Ukraine with a safety bet on Israel.
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ScottyEm
post Mar 18 2018, 06:55 PM
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QUOTE(BillyH @ Mar 18 2018, 01:28 AM) *
Am I missing the reason why Finland is plummeting in the odds? I've placed bets on them and Ukraine with a safety bet on Israel.


It worries me why itís drifted SO MUCH in the odds. If the bookies are basing it on the NF performance, thatís stupid because itís almosr certainly gonna be different in Lisbon. That aside, I have doubts on it qualifying? Feels like a lot can go wrong with it. I hope Iím wrong and sheíll slay the whole bloody thing but, for now, I have her down as not qualifying in that beast of a semi final.


This post has been edited by ScottyEm: Mar 18 2018, 06:55 PM
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Jonjo
post Mar 18 2018, 07:14 PM
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I assume it's just a mix of Israel being the clear favourite and that more countries have confirmed with safer, guaranteed hits?
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LexC
post Mar 18 2018, 07:19 PM
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Plus, I think itís easy to conflate where something is on the odds with where itíll place. So Finland, for example, are pretty unlikely to win but that doesnít mean that theyíre unlikely to get, say, a top 10 or top 15.
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Hayzayy
post Mar 22 2018, 02:57 PM
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What was the odd same time last year? Is there any truth to them?
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Ryan.
post Mar 25 2018, 05:30 PM
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Buzzjack getting that promo! https://www.escxtra.com/2018/03/25/eleven-y...urovision-odds/

But it is interesting how all of last year's top 5 favourites were in the eventual top 6. I can't see them being anywhere near as accurate this year despite how amazing that would be!
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RobBob
post Apr 16 2018, 11:04 PM
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Current odds (following Eurovision In Concert) courtsey of Skybet:

01 ∑ 7/4 ∑ Israel: Netta - Toy
02 ∑ 11/2 ∑ Bulgaria: EQUINOX - Bones
03 ∑ 13/2 ∑ Czech Republic: Mikolas Josef - Lie To Me
04 ∑ 8/1 ∑ Australia: Jessica Mauboy - We Got Love
05 ∑ 9/1 ∑ Estonia: Elina Nechayeva - La forza
06 ∑ 16/1 ∑ Sweden: Benjamin Ingrosso - Dance You Off
07 ∑ 20/1 ∑ France: Madame Monsieur - Mercy
08 ∑ 20/1 ∑ Norway: Alexander Rybak - That's How You Write A Song
09 ∑ 25/1 ∑ Belgium: Sennek - A Matter Of Time
10 ∑ 25/1 ∑ Spain: Alfred & Amaia - Tu cancion

11 ∑ 28/1 ∑ Greece: Yianna Terzi - Oniro Mou
12 ∑ 33/1 ∑ Italy: Ermal Meta & Fabrizio Moro - Non mi avete fatto niente
13 ∑ 40/1 ∑ The Netherlands: Waylon - Outlaw In 'Em
14 ∑ 50/1 ∑ Finland: Saara Aalto - Monsters
15 ∑ 66/1 ∑ Austria: Cesar Sampson - Nobody But You
16 ∑ 66/1 ∑ Belarus: Alekseev - Forever
17 ∑ 66/1 ∑ Cyprus: Eleni Foureira - Fuego
18 ∑ 66/1 ∑ Germany: Michael Schulte - You Let Me Walk Alone
19 ∑ 66/1 ∑ Portugal: Claudia Pascoal - O jardim
20 ∑ 80/1 ∑ Armenia: Sevak Khanagyan - Qami

21 ∑ 80/1 ∑ Ukraine: MELOVIN - Under The Ladder
------

100/1 ∑ Azerbaijan, Lithuania, Moldova, Russia, United Kingdom
150/1 ∑ Latvia
200/1 ∑ FYR Macedonia, Hungary, Ireland, Malta
250/1 ∑ Albania, Croatia, Georgia, Iceland, Montenegro, Poland, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovenia, Switzerland
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RobBob
post Apr 17 2018, 12:56 AM
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Semi Final One - odds to qualify (courtsey of Unibet):

01 ∑ 1/50 ∑ Israel: Netta - Toy
02 ∑ 1/14 ∑ Czech Republic: Mikolas Josef - Lie To Me
03 ∑ 1/9 ∑ Estonia: Elina Nechayeva - La forza
04 ∑ 1/7 ∑ Bulgaria: Equinox - Bones
05 ∑ 1/7 ∑ Greece: Yianna Terzi - Oniro Mou
06 ∑ 1/4 ∑ Belgium: Sennek - A Matter Of Time
07 ∑ 33/100 ∑ Cyprus: Eleni Foureira - Fuego
08 ∑ 2/5 ∑ Armenia: Sevak Khanagyan - Qami
09 ∑ 2/5 ∑ Austria: Cesar Sampson - Nobody But You
10 ∑ 13/20 ∑ Azerbaijan: Aisel - X My Heart
______________________________________________________

11 ∑ 17/20 ∑ Finland: Saara Aalto - Monsters
12 ∑ Evens ∑ Lithuania: Ieva Zasimauskaite - When We're Old
13 ∑ 6/4 ∑ Belarus: ALEKSEEV - Forever
14 ∑ 7/4 ∑ Ireland: Ryan O'Shaughnessy - Together
15 ∑ 5/2 ∑ FYR Macedonia: Eye Cue - Lost and Found
16 ∑ 3/1 ∑ Albania: Eugent Bushpepa - Mall
17 ∑ 3/1 ∑ Switzerland: Zibbz - Stones
18 ∑ 4/1 ∑ Croatia: Franka - Crazy
19 ∑ 10/1 ∑ Iceland: Ari Olafsson - Our Choice


Semi Final Two - odds to qualify (courtesy of Unibet):

01 ∑ 1/20 ∑ Sweden: Benjamin Ingrosso - Dance You Off
02 ∑ 1/14 ∑ Australia: Jessica Mauboy - We Got Love
03 ∑ 1/14 ∑ Ukraine: MELOVIN - Under The Ladder
04 ∑ 1/9 ∑ Norway: Alexander Rybak - That's How You Write A Song
05 ∑ 1/7 ∑ Netherlands: Waylon - Outlaw in 'Em
06 ∑ 33/100 ∑ Poland: Gromee (feat. Lukas Meijer) - Light Me Up
07 ∑ 4/11 ∑ Denmark: Rasmussen - Higher Ground
08 ∑ 11/25 ∑ Moldova: DoReDos - My Lucky Day
09 ∑ 11/20 ∑ Russia: Julia Samoylova - I Won't Break
10 ∑ 13/20 ∑ Latvia: Laura Rizzotto - Funny Girl
___________________________________________________________

11 ∑ 4/5 ∑ Hungary: AWS - ViszlŠt NyŠr
12 ∑ 4/5 ∑ Romania: The Humans - Goodbye
13 ∑ 11/10 ∑ Serbia: Sanja Ilić & Balkanika - Nova Deca
14 ∑ 5/2 ∑ Montenegro: Vanja Radovanovic - Inje
15 ∑ 5/2 ∑ Slovenia: Lea Sirk - Hvala ne
16 ∑ 11/4 ∑ Georgia: Iriao - For You
17 ∑ 11/4 ∑ Malta: Christabelle - Taboo
18 ∑ 10/1 ∑ San Marino: Jessika (feat. Jenifer Brening) - Who We Are
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ScottyEm
post Apr 17 2018, 08:21 AM
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Bookies are tipping Finland to miss out... I must provisionally book a place in the Betty Ford clinic for 9th May.
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RobBob
post May 1 2018, 11:26 AM
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Norway have largely risen to second favourite. This is very unnerving.
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ScottyEm
post May 1 2018, 11:59 AM
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QUOTE(RobBob @ May 1 2018, 12:26 PM) *
Norway have largely risen to second favourite. This is very unnerving.


So bookies have largely forgotten about the 50% jury stake? But yes, my arse twitched a touch also...


This post has been edited by ScottyEm: May 1 2018, 12:00 PM
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Liаm
post May 1 2018, 12:03 PM
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Part of me wants to say oh that's just name power, because honestly it is possiby the most embarrassing song I've ever heard in Eurovision, but I can't shake the feeling that it will do well :/ I just can't, it genuinely sounds like something that San Marino would send in 2007 and get 2 points in the semi. We shouldn't always give the bookies so much stock but I still can't help but be worried by it laugh.gif
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AdamAloud
post May 1 2018, 12:20 PM
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Norway will do well, I don't think it's a winner because I don't see juries being particularly kind to it, definitely top 10 though - maybe it'll do a Michal Szpak.
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LexC
post May 1 2018, 12:26 PM
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I think people are getting a bit too enthusiastic based on the good reception he got in MGP (and don't seem to have gone by - he's the returning record breaking champion, it would be news if he DIDN'T get a huge reception with whatever he turned up with!).
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Jason
post May 1 2018, 02:50 PM
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HA laughing at Rybak haters. I knew it would be great, it's a catchy song. tongue.gif
By the way, Israel to win and Bulgaria to flop please. yahoo.gif
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gooddelta
post May 1 2018, 02:58 PM
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Well if it does win at least Rybak will have one of the best and worst ever winners to his name and I'll be holding out for a Marie N masterpiece in 2019 to redress the balance.

But hopefully the juries will come through, or the public won't be as into it as the odds suggest, it really is a tacky, cringeworthy and just generally dire song. It's catchy but I'm hoping that can only take it so far...


This post has been edited by gooddelta: May 1 2018, 02:59 PM
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Lukuzz
post May 1 2018, 03:12 PM
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Canít cope with the thought of Saara not even getting to the final. Surely with the UK voting she will make it?
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