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> UK Christmas Number 1, 2018
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Tangela
post Oct 22 2018, 04:22 PM
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Not seen a topic for this yet and couldn’t find one so let’s kick it off! Who / what will be this year’s Christmas number 1?

Maybe it’ll be George Ezra with "Hold My Girl" - a sensible first thought?

Maybe it’ll be "Feed The Birds (Tuppence A Bag)" from the new Mary Poppins soundtrack?

Maybe there’ll be a random campaign to get "No Way No Way" by Vanilla to the top spot?

The John Lewis advert?

A Christmas classic?

A NEW or new-ish Christmas song - such as "Ho Ho Ho" by Sia or "Mr Right" by Leona Lewis?

Who knows! But have a guess!


This post has been edited by Hans: Oct 22 2018, 04:30 PM
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GhoulOdyssey
post Oct 22 2018, 04:24 PM
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I think it'll be between George Ezra, Westlife, or perhaps something else that is released in the next month.

Mary Poppins Returns isn't out until December 19th, so I think that will be too late.
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Brightest Blue
post Oct 22 2018, 04:26 PM
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Ellie Goulding
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gavindeejay
post Oct 22 2018, 04:28 PM
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I hope it's George Ezra. It'll be an amazing way to finish off an amazing year!
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The Wailing Wap
post Oct 22 2018, 04:28 PM
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No Way No Way
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Sour Candy
post Oct 22 2018, 04:30 PM
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All I Want for Christmas Is You will easily do it even with the ACR. It'll get at least 900k streams daily for a week.
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GhoulOdyssey
post Oct 22 2018, 04:33 PM
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Apparently Take That are doing a song for M&S' Christmas ad, so that could be a possibility.
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Grim Bréaper
post Oct 22 2018, 04:34 PM
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How would Mariah 'easily' get #1 with ACR this time when she couldn't manage it on SCR last year? She's not going to suddenly do more than twice as well this year.
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Bjork
post Oct 22 2018, 04:34 PM
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kelly Clarkson - never enough
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Tedward
post Oct 22 2018, 04:39 PM
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George could potentially do it but I think its getting pushed too early

Reckon we'll have a random one this year
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GhoulOdyssey
post Oct 22 2018, 04:41 PM
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Watch it be The 1975 x
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Doctor Blind
post Oct 22 2018, 04:41 PM
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QUOTE(Theresa Bré @ Oct 22 2018, 05:34 PM) *
How would Mariah 'easily' get #1 with ACR this time when she couldn't manage it on SCR last year? She's not going to suddenly do more than twice as well this year.


Indeed- and the biggest streams are ALWAYS on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day, which count for the chart AFTER the Christmas chart. A fact that has been covered many times on here!
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dan-G
post Oct 22 2018, 04:42 PM
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Jessie J - This Christmas Day

Duh!!

It will subsequently re-enter the chart at #1 every Christmas until the OCC introduce rules excluding Christmas songs entirely to finally give someone else a chance.

Seriously though, probably to early to call. George Ezra could do an Ed Sheeran, or we could get an out of the blue release by a big artist.

Mariah had sales of 35k last Christmas to make #4 (Wham were higher at #3 but moreso due to it being one year since GM's death). If she was on ACR she'd have had about 20k sales, which would have put her at #10. She won't be contending.
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heiheilafly
post Oct 22 2018, 04:57 PM
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how good would it be to have an actual Christmas song at number 1 though this year? would love it x
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dan-G
post Oct 22 2018, 05:02 PM
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just out of interest, and because I can, here's where last year's Christmas songs would have charted in the Christmas chart with these new rules in place (the position they officially charted at in brackets):

#03 Wham - Last Christmas (#3)
#10 Mariah Carey - All I Want For Christmas Is You (#4)
#16 The Pogues feat. Kirsty MacColl - Fairytale Of New York (#7)
#28 Band Aid - Do They Know It's Christmas (#12)
#31 Shakin' Stevens - Merry Christmas Everyone (#15)
#33 Brenda Lee - Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree (#14)
#34 Chris Rea - Driving Home For Christmas (#20)
#35 Elton John - Step Into Christmas (#18)
#37 Wizzard - I Wish It Could Be Christmas Everyday (#23)
#40 Michael Bublé - It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas (#22)
---
#52 Slade - Merry Xmas Everybody (#29)
#53 Sia - Santa's Coming For Us (#65)
#55 Ariana Grande - Santa Tell Me (#32)
#56 Leona Lewis - One More Sleep (#36)
#65 Paul McCartney - Wonderful Christmastime (#38)
#68 Coldplay - Christmas Lights (#42)
#71 Bing Crosby - White Christmas (#41)
#73 Kelly Clarkson - Underneath the Tree (#47)
#75 Boney M. - Mary's Boy Child/Oh My Lord (#46)
#79 Michael Bublé - Holly Jolly Christmas (#48)
#81 Kylie Minogue - Santa Baby (#49)
#84 Pretenders - 2000 Miles (#85)
#85 Justin Bieber - Mistletoe (#51)
#91 Jona Lewie - Stop the Cavalry (#91)
#97 Mud - Lonely This Christmas (#97)
#100 Gwen Stefani - You Make It Feel Like Christmas (#100)


so it looks like we will get at least 10 Christmas songs in the chart this year, possibly more the week following too. ACR isn't exactly killing Christmas, just stopping a few extra songs scraping in.

keep in mind there was a campaign to get Wham! to #1, hence they had a lot of paid-for sales last year. also, the Sia/Gwen songs of course would have remained on SCR (and should be on SCR this year and the next too) - and Pretenders/Jona Lewie/Mud never managed to come off ACR in the first place.
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Dobbo
post Oct 22 2018, 05:44 PM
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Thanks for that list^ interesting to see the expected effects this time round.

Sam Smith will be Xmas #1.
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SevenSeize
post Oct 22 2018, 05:44 PM
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Hard to say, from the tracks around just now i could see Jess Glynne - Thursday having a good shot, and 'Shallow' having enough legs to still be a contender (especially if it gets a big performance here eventually), George Ezra may be up there too but i don't see Hold My Girl being a 'Perfect' level hit

But yeah it could easily be something we haven't heard yet (and the X Factor winner will probably be in the mix again depending on the song)
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coi
post Oct 22 2018, 05:45 PM
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I think it's gonna be some song that hasn't yet been released.
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Doctor Blind
post Oct 22 2018, 05:55 PM
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Both of the previous two year's Christmas #1s were #7 on the final chart of the preceding October...
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girl_from_oz
post Oct 22 2018, 06:01 PM
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That George Ezra song was on Neighbours on Friday so I looked the iTunes Charts but couldn't see it anywhere
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