Odds Thread [XV] - BuzzJack Music Forum

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Odds Thread [XV]

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Qassändra View member profile	30th March 2009, 11:23 AM Post #1
DROTTNING! Joined: 15 April 2006 Posts: 63,953 User: 480	w00t. Offer individual odds for both semis on qualification or go the whole hog ;o QUOTE(GUIDE TO ODDS) The number on the left is the amount of times a country might be expected to NOT qualify/win (depending on what odds you're offering) in relation to the number on the right. So, for example: 3/1 = For every three times that a country with these odds doesn't win/qualify, they will win/qualify once. 5/2 = For every five times that a country with these odds doesn't win/qualify, they will win/qualify twice. 2/3 = For every two times that a country with these odds doesn't win/qualify, they will win/qualify three times. Odds that have a larger number on the right than the left indicate that there is a greater chance of the song qualifying/winning than not. For odds that don't have 1 on the right, divide the number on the left by them to get their /1 value - so, for example, 5/2 is actually a clean way of saying 2.5/1, etc. These can also be read as percentages - add the two numbers together and divide 100 by the resulting number. Then multiply the number you get by the number on the right and you will get the percentage chance of qualification/victory. So, for example: 10/3 = 13. 100 divided by 13 = 0.77. Multiplied by three you get 2.31. This song therefore has a 23% chance of victory/qualification. Take note that there are 13 qualifiers from each semi final. It therefore follows that at least 10 or so songs will have odds where they have a greater chance of qualifying than not, unless it is a very close/hard to call semi! SF1 Hitanya: Wittyboy ft. Lauren Mason - PS Fervorosia: Sash! - I Believe Torchwood: BoA ft. Sean Garrett - I Did It For Love United States of Russiatron: Ladyhawke - Back Of The Van Dalisska: Sophia Somajo - I-rony Tinnmark: Tone Damli Aaberge - I Know (Live) Kathaldazia: Jody - Wind It Botanikka: Petros - Predator Skall: Tommy Sparks - She's Got Me Dancing Inner Massivia: Little Boots - Mathematics Angelicland: Jeanette - Undress To The Beat Rivandia: Chew Lips - Solo Lotopialand: Jada - American Cowboy Mdiče: Röyksopp ft. Robyn - The Girl and the Robot United States Of Jack: Paul Oakenfold ft. Brittany Murphy - Faster Kill Pussycat Kylienips: Cyndi Lauper - Rain On Me New Rivermaya: Lady GaGa - LoveGame Frahliso: Kish Mauve - Come On Utopia: Los Campesinos! - Ways To Make It Through The Wall Eledan: Hande Yener - Romeo Ben's Sanctuary: Obél - Just So Scherzland: A.R. Rahman & Pussycat Dolls - Jai Ho! (You Are My Destiny) Land Of Jack: Sabrina Salerno - Erase Rewind People's Republic of Jester: Passion Pit - Sleepyhead SF 2 Lorikeet: The Saturdays - Work Republique d'Ashton: Haffi Haff - Give Me Sexy Greenfroze: W - Ai no Imi wo Oshiete! FSR Farahtyn: Wilson Phillps - Hold On JRK-off: Se7en ft Lil' Kim - Girls Kingdom Of Shadow: Janet Leon - Breakaway Spizil: Within Temptation - Memories Deandria: Au Revoir Simone - Dark Halls Simondly: AStudio - SOS Espen: Veronica Maggio - Stopp Sangria: Sandrine - Where Do We Go MKL: Cassie ft. Akon - Let's Get Crazy Fortunia: Stacie Orrico - So Simple Kopečka: Erik Hassle - Hurtful Britmasu: Mandy Moore - I Could Break Your Heart Any Day of the Week Hendinia: Kim Leoni - Medicine Tapatilandia: Zoé - Love Numayania: Nexx - Paralyzed Cadbury: Yeah Yeah Yeahs - Heads Will Roll BaNG: The Count & Sinden ft. Rye Rye - Hardcore Girls Mykanovia: Empire Of The Sun - Walking On A Dream Dulpaen: Sophie Ellis-Bextor - Everything Falls Into Place Ojnoj: Keri Hilson feat. Kanye West & Ne-Yo - Knock You Down Nonsuch: Natasha Bedingfield - Again All Songs: FSR Rontvia: Emiliana Torrini - Jungle Drum FNT Nickodonia: Mira Craig - I'm The One Quotosibb: Video Villain - Paranoia Hitanya: Wittyboy ft. Lauren Mason - PS Fervorosia: Sash! - I Believe Torchwood: BoA ft. Sean Garrett - I Did It For Love United States of Russiatron: Ladyhawke - Back Of The Van Dalisska: Sophia Somajo - I-rony Tinnmark: Tone Damli Aaberge - I Know (Live) Kathaldazia: Jody - Wind It Botanikka: Petros - Predator Skall: Tommy Sparks - She's Got Me Dancing Inner Massivia: Little Boots - Mathematics Angelicland: Jeanette - Undress To The Beat Rivandia: Chew Lips - Solo Lotopialand: Jada - American Cowboy Mdiče: Röyksopp ft. Robyn - The Girl and the Robot United States Of Jack: Paul Oakenfold ft. Brittany Murphy - Faster Kill Pussycat Kylienips: Cyndi Lauper - Rain On Me New Rivermaya: Lady GaGa - LoveGame Frahliso: Kish Mauve - Come On Utopia: Los Campesinos! - Ways To Make It Through The Wall Eledan: Hande Yener - Romeo Ben's Sanctuary: Obél - Just So Scherzland: A.R. Rahman & Pussycat Dolls - Jai Ho! (You Are My Destiny) Land Of Jack: Sabrina Salerno - Erase Rewind People's Republic of Jester: Passion Pit - Sleepyhead Lorikeet: The Saturdays - Work Republique d'Ashton: Haffi Haff - Give Me Sexy Greenfroze: W - Ai no Imi wo Oshiete! FSR Farahtyn: Wilson Phillps - Hold On JRK-off: Se7en ft Lil' Kim - Girls Kingdom Of Shadow: Janet Leon - Breakaway Spizil: Within Temptation - Memories Deandria: Au Revoir Simone - Dark Halls Simondly: AStudio - SOS Espen: Veronica Maggio - Stopp Sangria: Sandrine - Where Do We Go MKL: Cassie ft. Akon - Let's Get Crazy Fortunia: Stacie Orrico - So Simple Kopečka: Erik Hassle - Hurtful Britmasu: Mandy Moore - I Could Break Your Heart Any Day of the Week Hendinia: Kim Leoni - Medicine Tapatilandia: Zoé - Love Numayania: Nexx - Paralyzed Cadbury: Yeah Yeah Yeahs - Heads Will Roll BaNG: The Count & Sinden ft. Rye Rye - Hardcore Girls Mykanovia: Empire Of The Sun - Walking On A Dream Dulpaen: Sophie Ellis-Bextor - Everything Falls Into Place Ojnoj: Keri Hilson feat. Kanye West & Ne-Yo - Knock You Down Nonsuch: Natasha Bedingfield - Again Get predicting!


JamesP View member profile	30th March 2009, 02:04 PM Post #2
BuzzJack Platinum Member Joined: 2 October 2007 Posts: 18,059 User: 4,443	BoA ftw.


Qassändra View member profile	30th March 2009, 02:12 PM Post #3
DROTTNING! Joined: 15 April 2006 Posts: 63,953 User: 480	This is an odds thread, not a Green Room


Addy! View member profile	30th March 2009, 02:28 PM Post #4
BuzzJack Legend Joined: 21 January 2007 Posts: 23,774 User: 2,666	SF1 3/1 Mdiče: Röyksopp ft. Robyn - The Girl and the Robot 3/1 Kathaldazia: Jody - Wind It 5/1 Dalisska: Sophia Somajo - I-rony 5/1 Angelicland: Jeanette - Undress To The Beat 6/1 Torchwood: BoA ft. Sean Garrett - I Did It For Love 8/1 Inner Massivia: Little Boots - Mathematics 10/1 United States of Russiatron: Ladyhawke - Back Of The Van 12/1 New Rivermaya: Lady GaGa - LoveGame 15/1 Scherzland: A.R. Rahman & Pussycat Dolls - Jai Ho! (You Are My Destiny) 18/1 United States Of Jack: Paul Oakenfold ft. Brittany Murphy - Faster Kill Pussycat 20/1 Kylienips: Cyndi Lauper - Rain On Me 25/1 Eledan: Hande Yener - Romeo 30/1 Botanikka: Petros - Predator 35/1 Skall: Tommy Sparks - She's Got Me Dancing 40/1 Rivandia: Chew Lips - Solo 40/1 Lotopialand: Jada - American Cowboy 45/1 Frahliso: Kish Mauve - Come On 50/1 Tinnmark: Tone Damli Aaberge - I Know (Live) 60/1 Utopia: Los Campesinos! - Ways To Make It Through The Wall 60/1 Land Of Jack: Sabrina Salerno - Erase Rewind 75/1 Ben's Sanctuary: Obél - Just So 80/1 Hitanya: Wittyboy ft. Lauren Mason - PS 100/1 Fervorosia: Sash! - I Believe 200/1 People's Republic of Jester: Passion Pit - Sleepyhead


Qassändra View member profile	30th March 2009, 02:33 PM Post #5
DROTTNING! Joined: 15 April 2006 Posts: 63,953 User: 480	Are those odds to win or qualify?


Addy! View member profile	30th March 2009, 03:00 PM Post #6
BuzzJack Legend Joined: 21 January 2007 Posts: 23,774 User: 2,666	qualify lol


G𝓪𝓻y View member profile	30th March 2009, 03:07 PM Post #7
All Eyes On Me When I Walk In, No Question That This Guys A 10 Joined: 19 March 2006 Posts: 21,807 User: 277	Who's entering Jai Ho!? That's well cheap. .


Qassändra View member profile	30th March 2009, 03:13 PM Post #8
DROTTNING! Joined: 15 April 2006 Posts: 63,953 User: 480	QUOTE(Addy Petros @ Mar 30 2009, 04:00 PM) qualify lol So you don't think any of them have more chance of qualifying than not qualifying then?


Qassändra View member profile	30th March 2009, 03:14 PM Post #9
DROTTNING! Joined: 15 April 2006 Posts: 63,953 User: 480	QUOTE(OrgasmicLust @ Mar 30 2009, 04:07 PM) Who's entering Jai Ho!? That's well cheap. . Scherzland. They've said they don't care


Silas View member profile	30th March 2009, 03:15 PM Post #10
Queen of Soon Joined: 24 May 2007 Posts: 74,082 User: 3,474	QUOTE(OrgasmicLust @ Mar 31 2009, 01:07 AM) Who's entering Jai Ho!? That's well cheap. . No Offence but it says something when USR labels it cheap. Seeing as you have previously been the king of Cheap


Addy! View member profile	30th March 2009, 03:16 PM Post #11
BuzzJack Legend Joined: 21 January 2007 Posts: 23,774 User: 2,666	ok then my odds are about their chances of winning semi 1


_____________ View member profile	30th March 2009, 03:17 PM Post #12
BuzzJack Gold Member Joined: 11 January 2009 Posts: 2,376 User: 8,103	Mykanovia and Rontvia may be contenders FTW. I have a feeling So Simple will be more successful than Trick Me.


Qassändra View member profile	30th March 2009, 03:23 PM Post #13
DROTTNING! Joined: 15 April 2006 Posts: 63,953 User: 480	QUOTE(The Fear @ Mar 30 2009, 04:15 PM) No Offence but it says something when USR labels it cheap. Seeing as you have previously been the king of Cheap Exactly, it does say a lot about how cheap Jai Ho is Hmm, I don't see either Mykanovia or Rontvia winning it - Empire of the Sun is a bit old and mildly cheap by now, its biggest fans will be a bit bored of it. Rontvia's is hard to call but it's rare for pre-qualifiers to come top five...


Silas View member profile	30th March 2009, 03:29 PM Post #14
Queen of Soon Joined: 24 May 2007 Posts: 74,082 User: 3,474	~~Ashton shall take it's first win~~ I think this one is quite close.


RobBot View member profile	30th March 2009, 03:29 PM Post #15
I'm in a vewy bad mood, Bwadley. Joined: 24 September 2008 Posts: 35,876 User: 7,117	All I will say is that I think Little Boots - Mathematics will come Top 15 in the final...Little Boots always does reasonably well...so its a safe bet.


Qassändra View member profile	30th March 2009, 03:30 PM Post #16
DROTTNING! Joined: 15 April 2006 Posts: 63,953 User: 480	I do hope Mathematics does well, but will be annoyed if it beats 11th...


p a v View member profile	30th March 2009, 03:32 PM Post #17
thanks for being a sarcy lil bitch Joined: 25 September 2007 Posts: 79,277 User: 4,397	I was thinking who the F is this 'Tronjan Horse' person! Finally a name change! Will do my odds laterz ;D


Tafty³³³ View member profile	30th March 2009, 03:35 PM Post #18
I found the love, I found the love in me Pronouns: He/Him Joined: 13 December 2007 Posts: 87,450 User: 5,042	'Jai Ho' better not recieve a backlash! It deserves to go through IMO. Who cares if it's "cheap"? At least we aren't absoloutely bombarded with "cheap" entries this time!


RobBot View member profile	30th March 2009, 03:36 PM Post #19
I'm in a vewy bad mood, Bwadley. Joined: 24 September 2008 Posts: 35,876 User: 7,117	QUOTE(Jonjo @ Mar 30 2009, 04:35 PM) 'Jai Ho' better not recieve a backlash! It deserves to go through IMO. Who cares if it's "cheap"? At least we aren't absoloutely bombarded with "cheap" entries this time! Seconded. Exactly my thoughts.


p a v View member profile	30th March 2009, 03:37 PM Post #20
thanks for being a sarcy lil bitch Joined: 25 September 2007 Posts: 79,277 User: 4,397	If i knew the PCD version would be entered I'd have entered Jai Ho myself (the original one OF COURSE)