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Luckily the song's in the semi where it has two guaranteed HUGE fans, I'm sure it can rack up another 15-20 points needed to qualify from the remaining 22 voting countries!

 

Assuming I'm thinking of the same song as you that is :lol:

 

I'm pretty sure which song you mean, and it actually wasn't the one I meant - but only because I'd already discovered it before this week, it's still assured a hefty amount of points from me! :lol:

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Happy with the odds so far! ^_^ Although I do seem to be falling into the habit of sending Scandinavians with guitars. It's a good formula though. :heehee:
The one thing I hate more than know it all busy bodies, is people who say 'oooooh I just hope I qualify' when the song is quite CLEARLY a cert for top5.

Fucking annoying.

 

THIS. (No offence Ryan :P)

 

EXACTLY what I've been dying to say!

 

(again, no offence Ryan, just try and cut it down :P)

 

:lol: No offence taken :D I'm still in the mindset that it's not really that different to Demi and Katie (in a strange way) as it is still pop except being a bit more mainstream, so I'm seriously shocked to have what looks to be a good chance at doing well and getting top 5 as you say - but I'll happily take it!

 

I'll stop going on in future starting now! ;)

 

The one thing I hate more than know it all busy bodies, is people who say 'oooooh I just hope I qualify' when the song is quite CLEARLY a cert for top5.

Fucking annoying.

 

BJSC has always been the home of modesty, Nonsuch, Simondly and Kingdom of Shadow perfected the trait of underplaying their entries, often to the point that you wondered if they were bluffing. I don't find it annoying as such but if you genuinely believe that your entry has a great shot at doing well then I don't believe that there's any shame in admitting it. I often plop my song into the business end of the odds if I believe that it has a chance of going top five!

 

Obviously some months I'll send something with a glass ceiling of crossover appeal just for the sake of variety or introducing something to a select few who like a niche genre (Caro Emerald, Markoolio and Linda, Elsiane) and in those cases I adjust accordingly and put myself mid-table or lower...Aside from a few cases (Headhunted, Not A Love Song) I'm never that far out with my own predictions of my own entries and their eventual finishing positions.

I'm pretty sure which song you mean, and it actually wasn't the one I meant - but only because I'd already discovered it before this week, it's still assured a hefty amount of points from me! :lol:

 

Awkward :lol:

 

But yeah, there are quite a few songs this month that I LOVE but that have had DNQ predictions which I hope don't come to fruition.

BJSC has always been the home of modesty, Nonsuch, Simondly and Kingdom of Shadow perfected the trait of underplaying their entries, often to the point that you wondered if they were bluffing. I don't find it annoying as such but if you genuinely believe that your entry has a great shot at doing well then I don't believe that there's any shame in admitting it.

 

Well, I remember putting 'Riverside' comfortably inside my top 5 nations to win BJSC when I made my debut. I was convinced 'Punk Rock Song' was going to win but deep down inside I wanted Agnes to win purely because I adored the song so much. I still didn't think I'd win but be a top 5 contender. Winning was both brilliant but also a shock. It's difficult to explain how you feel when you win something like this with a song you personally love so much.

 

That's what made me laugh about Peter30 when 'Louder' won the BJSC I hosted, and he said the song didn't deserve to win compared to 'Release Me'. :lol: When someone wins and the first thing they post is "it isn't deserved compared to my last winner" it generates a :D moment.

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Our odds seems to be our best so far ^_^.
Well, I remember putting 'Riverside' comfortably inside my top 5 nations to win BJSC when I made my debut. I was convinced 'Punk Rock Song' was going to win but deep down inside I wanted Agnes to win purely because I adored the song so much. I still didn't think I'd win but be a top 5 contender. Winning was both brilliant but also a shock. It's difficult to explain how you feel when you win something like this with a song you personally love so much.

 

That's what made me laugh about Peter30 when 'Louder' won the BJSC I hosted, and he said the song didn't deserve to win compared to 'Release Me'. :lol: When someone wins and the first thing they say is "it isn't deserved compared to my last winner" it generate many a :D moment.

 

I can appreciate the feeling, it's a sense of pride combined with elation that a lot of people have made a fantastic discovery purely thanks to you. Which is why I could never understand people sending 'cheap' songs, for me BJSC is about discovering great new music and introducing people to great new music, not sending any old song to see how high I can finish. Each to their own but I don't think I'd feel any sense of pride or elation in finishing top three with some new leak by one of the world's biggest stars :lol:

 

Peter's always been brutally honest but I can see where he was coming from. Release Me was a landmark winner, Louder was the most forgettable of 2011. Sometimes other people just end up liking your entry more than you do!

An update from RontBet, with a number of songs having their odds shortened after a flurry of bets;

 

6/4 Ramrynia : Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe :up:

3/1 Syndare : SoSo - Who's gonna love me :up:

4/1 FSR Rontvia : Prance Faris - Flares

4/1 Ashton : Tone Damli - Look back

4/1 Numayania : The Storm - My crown

5/1 Fljótavík : Foxes - Youth

-------------------

10/1 Espen : Moa Lignell - When I held ya :up:

10/1 Batidas : Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer

10/1 Kopečka : Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix)

12/1 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold : Le Kid - Human behaviour :up:

12/1 Caerfyrddia : Marigold - You and I know

12/1 ChrIseland : Donkeyboy - City boy

14/1 Unovia : Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid :up:

14/1 Kluminican Republic : Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night

14/1 Danaelanda : Radio Killer - Don't let the music end

15/1 Mdiče : MNDR - #1 in heaven

15/1 Botanikka : Ria Ritchie - Only one

15/1 Séyetana : Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids

15/1 Allecian : Mercedes and I - Wintersnow

18/1 Persephonia : The Wonder Villains - Zola

18/1 Daehun : moumoon - Sunshine girl

20/1 Juranabaijan : The 2 Bears - Work

22/1 Aquafina : War Of Words - Battleground

22/1 Republic of Sass : DJ Snake feat. Eva Simons - Pressure in the club :up:

22/1 Ojnoj : Christina Grimmie - Advice

25/1 N-Lazone : Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia

25/1 Bignia-Zaragovina : Britt Daley - One and only

25/1 Isconia : Escort - Makeover

25/1 Zechonia : Meg Myers - Monster

25/1 Hendinia : Tatana feat. Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head (If you don't get in my bed)

28/1 Budtar : Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon - Take me away

28/1 Hogan-Burg Republic : Emily Osment - All the way up

30/1 Kylienips : School of Seven Bells - The night

30/1 Scherzland : Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal

30/1 People's Republic of Jester : Twintapes - Pluto

30/1 B.a.N.G : Lydia Caesar - Lottery

35/1 Lievant : Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar!

35/1 Sangria : Moonlight Breakfast - Still

35/1 Farahtyn : Marirose - I want love

35/1 Greenfroze: Belanova - Mariposas

40/1 New Caprica : B.A.P - Warrior

40/1 Armenijan : The Sounds - Tony the Beat

40/1 UnoShake : Skylar Grey - Words

40/1 Tinnmark : Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on

50/1 Dalisska : New Look - The ballad

70/1 Usfland : Jonas Alaska - October

100/1 Elëdan : Pyramids + Horseback - A throne without a king pt. 2

The odds for me started low of course, but they seem better now! I'm feeling optimistic! :D
Opening odds from BETidas.

 

3/1 Syndare : SoSo - Who's gonna love me

7/2 Ramrynia : Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe

4/1 Numayania : The Storm - My crown

4/1 FSR Rontvia : Prance Faris - Flares

9/2 Ashton : Tone Damli - Look back

7/1 Fljótavík : Foxes - Youth

10/1 ChrIseland : Donkeyboy - City boy

12/1 Aquafina : War Of Words - Battleground

12/1 Unovia : Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid

14/1 Batidas : Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer

14/1 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold : Le Kid - Human behaviour

14/1 Mdiče : MNDR - #1 in heaven

15/1 Daehun : moumoon - Sunshine girl

16/1 Isconia : Escort - Makeover

18/1 Kopečka : Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix)

20/1 Dalisska : New Look - The ballad

20/1 N-Lazone : Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia

22/1 Séyetana : Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids

24/1 Caerfyrddia : Marigold - You and I know

24/1 B.a.N.G : Lydia Caesar - Lottery

25/1 Espen : Moa Lignell - When I held ya

26/1 Kluminican Republic : Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night

28/1 Zechonia : Meg Myers - Monster

28/1 Botanikka : Ria Ritchie - Only one

30/1 Kylienips : School of Seven Bells - The night

30/1 Hendinia : Tatana feat. Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head (If you don't get in my bed)

32/1 Ojnoj : Christina Grimmie - Advice

34/1 Budtar : Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon - Take me away

34/1 Tinnmark : Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on

38/1 Farahtyn : Marirose - I want love

38/1 Scherzland : Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal

40/1 Bignia-Zaragovina : Britt Daley - One and only

40/1 Allecian : Mercedes and I - Wintersnow

42/1 Juranabaijan : The 2 Bears - Work

44/1 New Caprica : B.A.P - Warrior

44/1 Republic of Sass : DJ Snake feat. Eva Simons - Pressure in the club

46/1 Sangria : Moonlight Breakfast - Still

46/1 Danaelanda : Radio Killer - Don't let the music end

48/1 Lievant : Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar!

50/1 Armenijan : The Sounds - Tony the Beat

50/1 UnoShake : Skylar Grey - Words

52/1 People's Republic of Jester : Twintapes - Pluto

55/1 Persephonia : The Wonder Villains - Zola

60/1 Usfland : Jonas Alaska - October

75/1 Hogan-Burg Republic : Emily Osment - All the way up

100/1 Elëdan : Pyramids + Horseback - A throne without a king pt. 2

 

Do you think Belanova is THAT bad? :drama:

Wow at RontBet! Down to 6/4 fo Carly! :D

Freeze, if the odds are correct about Tinnmark, you can look farward for a great results for Greenfroze :lol:

 

For your information, The Tinnmark Project 2012 isn't fully developed. We are just running a BETA test :P

Do you think Belanova is THAT bad? :drama:

 

Clearly I do. :kink: :P

 

I shall amend my odds and include your entry. :D

Odds to qualify from Bwci-Fyrddin (in decimal form otherwise I know I'll get confused)

 

Semi Final 1:

 

1.10 Batidas : Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer

1.10 Ashton : Tone Damli - Look back

1.10 ChrIseland : Donkeyboy - City boy

1.15 Numayania : The Storm - My crown

1.15 Botanikka : Ria Ritchie - Only one

1.25 Hendinia : Tatana feat. Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head (If you don't get in my bed)

1.25 N-Lazone : Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia

1.30 Daehun : moumoon - Sunshine girl

1.30 Allecian : Mercedes and I - Wintersnow

1.35 Unovia : Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid

1.40 Hogan-Burg Republic : Emily Osment - All the way up

1.45 Aquafina : War Of Words - Battleground

1.45 Tinnmark : Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on

1.60 Republic of Sass : DJ Snake feat. Eva Simons - Pressure in the club

1.60 Budtar : Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon - Take me away

1.90 B.a.N.G : Lydia Caesar - Lottery

2.10 Juranabaijan : The 2 Bears - Work

2.10 Isconia : Escort - Makeover

2.15 Armenijan : The Sounds - Tony the Beat

3.00 Sangria : Moonlight Breakfast - Still

4.25 Dalisska : New Look - The ballad

5.00 People's Republic of Jester : Twintapes - Pluto

8.00 Elëdan : Pyramids + Horseback - A throne without a king pt. 2

 

Semi Final 2:

 

1.05 Syndare : SoSo - Who's gonna love me

1.05 Ramrynia : Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe

1.05 FSR Rontvia : Prance Faris - Flares

1.10 Fljótavík : Foxes - Youth

1.15 Mdiče : MNDR - #1 in heaven

1.20 Kopečka : Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix)

1.30 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold : Le Kid - Human behaviour

1.35 Séyetana : Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids

1.50 Persephonia : The Wonder Villains - Zola

1.50 Ojnoj : Christina Grimmie - Advice

1.55 Danaelanda : Radio Killer - Don't let the music end

1.60 Scherzland : Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal

1.60 Kluminican Republic : Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night

1.75 Caerfyrddia : Marigold - You and I know

1.80 Zechonia : Meg Myers - Monster

1.85 Espen : Moa Lignell - When I held ya

1.90 Kylienips : School of Seven Bells - The night

2.00 Lievant : Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar!

2.50 Bignia-Zaragovina : Britt Daley - One and only

2.50 Farahtyn : Marirose - I want love

3.10 UnoShake : Skylar Grey - Words

4.90 Usfland : Jonas Alaska - October

7.00 New Caprica : B.A.P - Warrior

 

Odds to Win: (using ratios)

 

2/1 Syndare : SoSo - Who's gonna love me

5/2 Ramrynia : Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe

3/1 FSR Rontvia : Prance Faris - Flares

4/1 Batidas : Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer

5/1 Numayania : The Storm - My crown

11/2 Fljótavík : Foxes - Youth

6/1 Mdiče : MNDR - #1 in heaven

8/1 Séyetana : Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids

10/1 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold : Le Kid - Human behaviour

10/1 Ashton : Tone Damli - Look back

12/1 ChrIseland : Donkeyboy - City boy

14/1 Kopečka : Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix)

14/1 Botanikka : Ria Ritchie - Only one

15/1 N-Lazone : Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia

15/1 Scherzland : Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal

16/1 Daehun : moumoon - Sunshine girl

18/1 Allecian : Mercedes and I - Wintersnow

18/1 Tinnmark : Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on

20/1 Unovia : Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid

22/1 Aquafina : War Of Words - Battleground

25/1 Danaelanda : Radio Killer - Don't let the music end

25/1 Ojnoj : Christina Grimmie - Advice

25/1 Kluminican Republic : Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night

27/1 Hendinia : Tatana feat. Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head (If you don't get in my bed)

30/1 Hogan-Burg Republic : Emily Osment - All the way up

33/1 Caerfyrddia : Marigold - You and I know

35/1 Republic of Sass : DJ Snake feat. Eva Simons - Pressure in the club

35/1 Budtar : Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon - Take me away

37/1 Isconia : Escort - Makeover

40/1 Espen : Moa Lignell - When I held ya

40/1 Juranabaijan : The 2 Bears - Work

40/1 Greenfroze : Belanova - Mariposas

40/1 Lievant : Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar!

45/1 Dalisska : New Look - The ballad

50/1 Kylienips : School of Seven Bells - The night

50/1 Persephonia : The Wonder Villains - Zola

50/1 Sangria : Moonlight Breakfast - Still

55/1 B.a.N.G : Lydia Caesar - Lottery

60/1 Bignia-Zaragovina : Britt Daley - One and only

60/1 Farahtyn : Marirose - I want love

65/1 Zechonia : Meg Myers - Monster

70/1 UnoShake : Skylar Grey - Words

80/1 People's Republic of Jester : Twintapes - Pluto

85/1 Armenijan : The Sounds - Tony the Beat

90/1 Usfland : Jonas Alaska - October

100/1 Elëdan : Pyramids + Horseback - A throne without a king pt. 2

100/1 New Caprica : B.A.P - Warrior

Brilliant odds again for Carly! :D And it seems to be the same ones at the top, but with a couple of others there too such as Seyetana and Batidas :)

I think the decimal form makes it more confusing. Odds can go below 1 if they are more likely to happen than not. It does still make sense though!

 

I'm into single figures now! :D Lovely. :wub:

Loving the odds from Bwci-Fyrddin :D My best odds so far at 4/1 but I still have a gut feeling Numayania and Ashton will perform better in the final (oh dear, I'm posting this as if we've already qualified :drama: )

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