I wouldn't say there's that much excitement for it to be a feelgood effect. I don't think there was a noticeable boost for the government after the Royal Wedding or George being born.

 

 

Okay then. Just a thought I had. :)

Not a Royalist I see Suedy. Well it's a bit like when England do well in the World Cup or Euros. Very rare I know but they say there's a "feelgood factor" and that tends to favour the encumbent.

There is no evidence for that either.

If anything, it gives the rags a day or two less to shriek about how Miliband would sell our children off because they're too busy being hysterical about a baby instead.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/general-el...ion-result.html

 

Basically, as you've said, it will not really have an effect on the polls.

Tonight's polls

 

Opinium: 1% Tory lead

Survation: 3% Labour lead

ComRes: Tied

YouGov: 1% Tory lead

Scottish YouGov: 24% SNP lead

 

Interestingly, Electoral Calculus says that the Survation results would produce a Labour/LibDem coalition with a majority of 1 (no-one seems to be discussing that as a possibility for some reason).

A coalition would probably be too much fuss if it wasn't going to produce a solid majority. Confidence and supply is more likely, since the two parties' manifestos are fairly compatible.

A coalition would probably be too much fuss if it wasn't going to produce a solid majority. Confidence and supply is more likely, since the two parties' manifestos are fairly compatible.

If a Lab / Lib Dem coalition would produce a majority of one, a confidence and supply arrangement would probably be the best bet with a presumption that the SNP would either abstain or support Labour on most issues. That result looks to be about the best Labour could hope for.

Some things I've seen on twitter tonight that shed light on some Tory scumbags

 

a) The 17 year old creator of #Milifandom and her family were reportedly being harassed by Sun journalists despite her not revealing her location at any point

 

b) senior Tories have reportedly said that Cameron intends to stay on as PM if he gets the most seats/votes even if he falls short of a majority (which will be hilarious watching the Tories trying and failing to get a Queens Speech/Budget through).

Apparently, Labour MPs are now expecting Miliband to stay as leader even if Labour lose, according to the Times.

Nope. That'll be 'senior Labour sources' - i.e., his inner circle. If they're going to straight-facedly try to set 'getting more votes than Gordon Brown' as a bar of legitimacy, well, good luck to them. Even better luck to whoever's responsible for drafting a reply to Len when he knocks the next day and says he'll be withdrawing all Unite funding unless Ed steps down for a leadership election for Andy.

Okay this election has JUMPED THE SHARK http://www.moopy.org.uk/forums/images/smilies/grin.gif http://www.moopy.org.uk/forums/images/smilies/grin.gif http://www.moopy.org.uk/forums/images/smilies/grin.gif

 

Ed Miliband to set his promises in stone

Tall limestone structure is intended to underline party leader’s commitment to keep Labour’s election pledges to voters

 

Ed Miliband has commissioned a giant stone inscription bearing Labour’s six election pledges that is set to be installed in the Downing Street Rose Garden if he becomes prime minister.

 

The 8ft 6in-high limestone structure is intended to underline his commitment to keep his promises by having them literally “carved in stone” and visible from the offices inside No 10.

 

The Rose Garden was the scene of David Cameron and Nick Clegg’s famous press conference when they announced their coalition vows after the 2010 general election delivered a hung parliament.

 

Miliband said that the stone would symbolise his commitment to keep his pledges and rebuild trust in British politics.

 

“Nick Clegg and David Cameron have helped erode trust in all political leaders by the way they broke promises on issues like tuition fees and immigration after the last election. If I am prime minister, I will keep our stone in a place where we can see it every day as a reminder of our duty to keep Labour’s promises. ”

 

The issue of trust in politicians –or lack of it – was highlighted in last week’s final television debate when the audience pummelled Cameron, Miliband and Clegg with questions about why they broke promises and failed to answer questions.

 

The Labour leader’s pledges include commitments to deliver higher living standards for working families, a stronger NHS, controls on immigration and a country where the next generation can do better than the last.

 

The stone will be unveiled on Sunday. Labour sources said it would either be placed in the Rose Garden or at Labour’s central London headquarters if the party wins on Thursday. What happens to it if Labour loses is less clear.

 

“This stone is a symbol of our commitment to keep our promises,” Miliband told the Observer.

 

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/m...omises-in-stone

Okay this election has JUMPED THE SHARK http://www.moopy.org.uk/forums/images/smilies/grin.gif http://www.moopy.org.uk/forums/images/smilies/grin.gif http://www.moopy.org.uk/forums/images/smilies/grin.gif

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/m...omises-in-stone

Are you sure that isn't from the Daily Mash?

I'M GENUINELY NOT

 

This is how you know a campaign has gone too long. I want to know what Axelrod's on because I would gladly pay £40/gram for that *.*

Apparently, Labour MPs are now expecting Miliband to stay as leader even if Labour lose, according to the Times.

 

I hope not. Labour needs a better leader than Ed Miliband.

It would be a difficult situation to manage for Miliband if the Tories try and form a government, simply because now everyone is expecting them to fail unless they can miraculously jump up to ~300 seats. I think he'd be well within his rights to at least stay until the Queen's Speech.

It would be a difficult situation to manage for Miliband if the Tories try and form a government, simply because now everyone is expecting them to fail unless they can miraculously jump up to ~300 seats. I think he'd be well within his rights to at least stay until the Queen's Speech.

One of the reasons the coalition got away with so much (blaming Labour for every penny of the deficit, Gove's education changes) in their first few months was that Labour were preoccupied with a leadership contest.

I think I may be out on the campaign trail here in town tomorrow and possibly manning a polling station for a bit on the day itself!!

 

Got a chunk of badges from the SNP office earlier too ^_^

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2...-of-nationalism

 

One of the best articles I've read in a while on Scotland.

Good article also conveniently explaining how Murdoch can support a leftist party in Scotland and a rightist partying England. He really is trying to influence the election fir his own sickening self interest. More fool both the snp and Tories fir falling for it if they do

Nope. That'll be 'senior Labour sources' - i.e., his inner circle. If they're going to straight-facedly try to set 'getting more votes than Gordon Brown' as a bar of legitimacy, well, good luck to them. Even better luck to whoever's responsible for drafting a reply to Len when he knocks the next day and says he'll be withdrawing all Unite funding unless Ed steps down for a leadership election for Andy.

 

But the question still remains whether there's anyone who'd be a shoo-in to be better than Ed. I'm having doubts about Burnham even tbh (is he going to have the backbone to not give in whenever the press start wailing about something?). Or Chuka Umunna who would send Labour's Northern heartlands the same way as Scotland quicker than you can say "trash and c-list wannabes".

Edited May 3, 201510 yr by Danny