February 23, 20178 yr Labour reckon they're in a good position on postal votes. Also the hospital is all the local paper seems to have been on about.
February 23, 20178 yr I sense a disturbance in the water. LePenn is coming :/ I will have an aneurysm. A Fillon vs. Le Pen second round would be horrible. Both the candidates are far, far to the right of the preferences of the ~50% of voters who will choose centrist and left candidates in the first round, such as Mélenchon, Hamon and Macron. Both candidates have been rocked by numerous scandals. It seems their supporters don't really care, but that's really not setting off on the right foot in a country which already has such a huge distrust in politicians. And in many ways, Fillon as president would be worse than Le Pen - while he may be less extreme than her, he would be able to properly form a government and be in a better position to implement his programme (which, especially in terms of economics, is very right wing for a country like France).
February 23, 20178 yr Author Labour reckon they're in a good position on postal votes. Also the hospital is all the local paper seems to have been on about. Are postals that solid when we're fighting the Tories rather than UKIP? And I just have a nagging feeling that the constant Tory reminders about Corbyn's anti-nuclear stance will hit home.
February 23, 20178 yr Are postals that solid when we're fighting the Tories rather than UKIP? They were the first sign we were getting killed in 2015.
February 24, 20178 yr Second incorrect prediction likely tomorrow! :D! Christ though, a 2,000 majority.
June 18, 20178 yr For June onwards: - Nicola will make indy ref 2 less of a certainty but still have it as a strong possibility, not ruling out - Kez will continue to act like Labour gaining 2% of the vote in Scotland due to tactical voting and Jeremy Corbyn is due to opposition of Independence - The tories will try and enact a softer Brexit but some of their support will go back to UKIP because of this (with Farage back at the helm)
June 20, 20178 yr I'm surprised that people were predicting UKIP to remain even slightly relevant - maybe it's just hindsight but it seemed obvious to me they'd be completely irrelevant now they won on their single issue and Farage is gone (and the Tories have basically just evolved into UKIP Premium).
June 20, 20178 yr For June onwards: - Nicola will make indy ref 2 less of a certainty but still have it as a strong possibility, not ruling out - Kez will continue to act like Labour gaining 2% of the vote in Scotland due to tactical voting and Jeremy Corbyn is due to opposition of Independence It's not *just* about tactical voting in Scotland though, their share of the vote dropped from 50% to 37% - tactical voting can't account for *that*.
June 20, 20178 yr *Inflation to hit 3% by the end of the year, in-part due to fall in value of pound but also increasing oil prices after recent OPEC deal. Interest rates remain at historically low 0.25% despite calls for them to be increased. My political predictions were all WAY off, but my economical forecast was better than the Bank of England !! Wish I'd gone for GDP figures now as I thought they'd slow to around 1.5% Current inflation CPI: 2.9% Current interest rate: 0.25%
August 30, 20177 yr OK, 8 months in and a quick summary: who had any of the following? A UK general election in which the Tories lose their majority. A US President with clear Russian ties sacking most of his appointees, having accomplished very little, but managing to dump Obama's emergency Hurricane legislation a few months before the biggest floods in godknowshowlong. Then doing exactly what he criticised Obama for doing - playing golf while doing nothing. 4th biggest city under metres of water and citizens not allowed at night, under law. The police being heavily armed. NeoNazi Fascists with arms walking the streets of America being protected by the police, who still insist on shooting small black boys with toy guns. A Police Chief convicted (more or less) of racist behaviour (That has caused the deaths of many) is pardoned by a President selling hats as Texas drowns. North Korea launching missiles over Japan and everywhere while in a game of BIggest Dick with Trump. The EU sticking to it's guns while the UK flails around helplessly whingeing about it while they act like mudskippers out of water too long because they can't actually cope with getting down to sorting details in an orderly fashion. Noel Fielding and Sandi Toksvog on bakeoff.
August 30, 20177 yr OK, 8 months in and a quick summary: who had any of the following? A UK general election in which the Tories lose their majority. A US President with clear Russian ties sacking most of his appointees, having accomplished very little, but managing to dump Obama's emergency Hurricane legislation a few months before the biggest floods in godknowshowlong. Then doing exactly what he criticised Obama for doing - playing golf while doing nothing. 4th biggest city under metres of water and citizens not allowed at night, under law. The police being heavily armed. NeoNazi Fascists with arms walking the streets of America being protected by the police, who still insist on shooting small black boys with toy guns. A Police Chief convicted (more or less) of racist behaviour (That has caused the deaths of many) is pardoned by a President selling hats as Texas drowns. North Korea launching missiles over Japan and everywhere while in a game of BIggest Dick with Trump. The EU sticking to it's guns while the UK flails around helplessly whingeing about it while they act like mudskippers out of water too long because they can't actually cope with getting down to sorting details in an orderly fashion. Noel Fielding and Sandi Toksvog on bakeoff. I had : lefties making mountains out of molehills, and Remainers still complaining about Brexit... :teresa:
August 30, 20177 yr I had : lefties making mountains out of molehills, and Remainers still complaining about Brexit... :teresa: sounds like you're rather happy with all those events then... quelle surprise!
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