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Indie bands with a slow-burning successful debut album usually end up peaking with their 2nd album. I can't see alt-J's new one coming close to the opening sales of 'This Is All Yours'. Will be happy enough with top 5. (It won't help that they led this album with probably their most 'experimental' single to date).
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Album chart should see significant rises for Ariana's last 2 Albums, may be in to Top 10?

Wouldn't be surprised to see Oasis with 3 Albums in Top 40 as well.

I would say both Dangerous Woman & My Everything will make top 10, i havent been HMV for a while, but not sure what the physical stock levels are of Ariana's albums (My Everything i'm guessing a lot lower than Dangerous Woman with it only being a year old) - so my guess would be the sales will be predominantly digital.

 

Will be interesting to see mids tomorrow and Tuesday for sure!

Edited by Karma

Estimated sales from the last 24 hours (based on Digital Sales Data estimates and Spotify figures):

 

'One Last Time' (29.5k)

'Despacito' (15.2k)

 

If Ariana can sustain those kinds of sales all week #1 is possible.

How are things looking for Dua Lipa album debut?

 

If Ariana can sustain those kinds of sales all week #1 is possible.

She won't probably. Effect will wear out soon.

I think Ariana has a very good chance at being no.1 this week. She's up to no.30 on Spotify and thats just Sundays streams, it could rise further after today.

 

She's also outselling Despacito by 70% now on itunes, given that the former shifted nearly 60k of downloads last week, if it sustains those levels I think it could well sell 100k of downloads, with streaming added it could push it ahead. I really hope she does manage to get there, absolutely amazing and beautiful concert that she put together.

I think Ariana has a very good chance at being no.1 this week. She's up to no.30 on Spotify and thats just Sundays streams, it could rise further after today.

 

She's also outselling Despacito by 70% now on itunes, given that the former shifted nearly 60k of downloads last week, if it sustains those levels I think it could well sell 100k of downloads, with streaming added it could push it ahead. I really hope she does manage to get there, absolutely amazing and beautiful concert that she put together.

I calculate Ariana is selling 200% more than Despacito, meaning if that sold 50-60k last week then Ariana is on for 150-180k this week at current levels.

 

Clearly that uplift hasn't/won't apply for the whole week, but even with a huge tail off it should probably sell at least 100k minimum, which with added streams, putting it in with a real shot of #1 overall.

Edited by Snow Spiider

Yeah but remember Despacito was way ahead over Friday and Saturdays sales..So this will need to be made up too.

 

There's a slim chance but I'm not very hopeful Despacito's streaming is insane, although Ariana could potentially get HUGE streaming numbers today/Tomorrow?!

Edited by Mr. C. Joel

Hopefully Ariana can do it, but unfortunately streaming is what will most likely prevent it happening. I would hope a lot of people will continue purchasing the song and she will have very high "actual" sales. If she can keep improving on streaming her sales advantage may help it get there.

 

 

I looked in my local HMV today and Ari's Dangerous Woman section was nearly empty! There was also only one of YT and ME but they probably didn't have much stock in the first place.
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http://i759.photobucket.com/albums/xx240/MarthaJonesFan/Friday%20Chart%20Predictions%20Monday.png

 

Official Singles/Albums Chart Update Top 100

Source: OCC

Missing Data:

 

Top 100 Singles

 

1 Luis Fonsi & Daddy Yankee feat. Justin Bieber - Despacito (41.5k)

2 Ariana Grande - One Last Time (21.9k)

3 Liam Payne feat. Quavo - Strip That Down (14.8k - 24 sales ahead)

4 DJ Khaled feat. Justin Bieber, Quavo, Chance the Rapper & Lil Wayne (14.8k)

5 French Montana feat. Swae Lee - Unforgettable (13.6k)

 

6-10

6 Jonas Blue feat. William Singe - Mama

9 Rita Ora - Your Song

 

11-20

12 Niall Horan - Slow Hands

14 Maggie Lindemann - Pretty Girl

15 Miley Cyrus - Malibu

17 Disciples - On My Mind

18 Liam Gallagher - Wall of Glass *

 

21-30

21 The Chainsmokers & Coldplay - Something Just Like This

22 Camila Cabello - Crying in the Club *

26 Fifth Harmony feat. Gucci Mane - Down *

29 5 After Midnight - Up In Here *

 

31-40

40 Foo Fighters - Run *

 

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 

Top 100 Albums

 

1 Roger Waters - Is This the Life We Really Want? (14.0k) *

2 All Time Low - Last Young Renegade (12.0k) *

3 The Beatles - Sgt Pepper's Lonely Hearts Club (11.7k)

4 alt-J - RELAXER (11.5k) *

5 Ed Sheeran - ÷

 

6-10

6 Dua Lipa - Dua Lipa *

8 U2 - The Joshua Tree ^

9 Hank Marvin - Without a Word *

10 Halsey - hopeless fountain kingdom *

 

11-20

11 Mostack - High Street Kid *

13 Kiss - Kissworld: The Best of Kiss *

14 Saint Etienne - Home Counties *

16 Ariana Grande - Dangerous Woman

18 Oasis - Time Flies: 1994-2009

19 RLPO - Pop Goes Classical *

 

21-30

25 Thea Gilmore - The Counterweight *

28 Dan Auerbach - Waiting on a Song *

29 Ariana Grande - My Everything

 

31-40

31 Oasis - What's the Story Morning Glory

 

Click on the above relevant links.

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