Westminster voting intention:

 

CON: 43% (+2)

LAB: 33% (-1)

LDEM: 13% (-)

BREX: 4% (-1)

GRN: 3% (+1)

 

via @SavantaComRes, 27 - 28 Nov

Chgs. w/ 26 Nov

I think the NHS thing has done that, wonderful.

 

Got to cling on to whatever small shred of hope in these desperately bad times.

Boris has to do well with Marr tomorrow. GET BREXIT DONE must be said several times and emphasise uncertainty it being dragged out with Labour. Also hope he emphasis strongly how safe the NHS is safe with him.

 

Pity they can't think up a new giveaway.

 

YouGov for Sunday Times

 

Con 43% (-)

Lab 34% (+2)

LDem 13% (-)

Brexit 2% (-2)

Green 3% (+1)

 

Fieldwork Thur-Fri

Changes from Weds YouGov

Are you assuming that *all* polling companies are using the same methodology? :huh:

 

Yes. Otherwise the results would be veeery different.

 

They *are* very different - two polls this morning, one giving the Tories a 6% lead and another a 15% lead...

 

 

Here's the turnout from the last few elections. Risen every election.

 

2001 - 59.4%

2005 - 61.4%

2010 - 65.1 %

2015 - 66.1%

2017 - 68.7%

Do we think it'll be down this time, December, cold, early dark evenings?

 

People can vote at any time between 7am & 10pm, you know. ;)

 

Labour are going all out now over the next 11 days to unseat Boris. I just can't see it happening but Labour are drafting in dozens of activists to visit as many homes as possible to tell people he's a liar and can't be trusted.

 

To which they should reply 'he's not standing in *my* constituency'... <_<

Hope so.

Plus you can never tell on any individual poll which side of the 3% error margin it is... :unsure:

Edited December 1, 20195 yr by vidcapper

Anyone just seen Boris on Marr? They were talking over one another and Marr seemed rattled.

Edited December 1, 20195 yr by common sense

To which they should reply 'he's not standing in *my* constituency'... <_<

 

 

I meant they're going to try and oust him in his constituency. Will fail though I think.

Edited December 1, 20195 yr by common sense

Boris Johnson: “When are you going to let me finish an answer, by the way?”

 

Andrew Marr: “When you give me an answer.”

 

BBC1. 10:14 AM - Dec 1, 2019

Anyone just seen Boris on Marr? They were talking over one another and Marr seemed rattled.

And Johnson just spouted more lies. He claimed that the Commons had blocked his Queen's Speech. Not true, The vote on the Queen's Speech is one of very few he actually won. If he didn't remember that, he is even more incompetent than I thought. Otherwise, he was lying again. Typically, he wasn't challenged on that lie any more than he has been challenged on the lie that the Commons blocked his deal.

 

Sadly, some people would still believe him if he claimed to be a saucepan.

@1201290446032572417

 

The last few Survation polls have shown the Tory lead on labour steadily decrease from 14% to 11% now to 9% over the last couple weeks.

Edited December 2, 20195 yr by Envoirment

@1201290446032572417

 

The last few Survation polls have shown the Tory lead on labour steadily decrease from 14% to 11% now to 9% over the last couple weeks.

 

Not looking good for the Lib Dems really.

 

Considering everyone was trying to push this as not two party politics, but something different

FPTP will cause any election to start trending towards two-party politics. One reason of hoping for a Labour minority is that it's the only reasonably possible result under which PR might be introduced, and therefore disabling the unfortunate need for tactical voting.

 

These poll trends are causing me to have hope, and that'll be what kills us. Though I am not really paying the ones with larger Conservative leads the due cause they should have, there's still plenty of those.

I definitely believe Lib Dems would be doing a lot better if we had some form of PR but I suspect many (including me) are voting Labour to target the Tories.

 

However, I am surprised that they aren’t taking more of the Tory remain vote as most of the criticisms from the Lib Dems are still aimed at their time in the coalition.

@1201290446032572417

 

The last few Survation polls have shown the Tory lead on labour steadily decrease from 14% to 11% now to 9% over the last couple weeks.

 

But they are running out of time to close up...

We don't need to catch up. We just need Lib Dems to retain sufficient strength to take some south east seats, SNP to take the Scottish ones and the Tory vote to collapse there, and for Lab to take some of the marginals. That's it.

 

Our democracy has crumbled. It is now just authoritarian state-like media attacking the opposition. We just need a Lab SNP gov before Labour can think of full on majorities again.

But they are running out of time to close up...

 

~10 days which is enough time to get the polling lead down by another 4-5% perhaps. Although current polls don't take into account the terror attack or the most recent televised debate. We also have the Boris vs Corbyn debate on Friday. But there's also the polling error, which if it swings in labour's favour would essentially tie Labour/Conservatives.

 

Edit: Also forgot about Trump's visit and the potential impact of that, particularly if he puts his nose where it's not welcome. He said he won't get involved, but what he says and actually does aren't always the same thing.

Edited December 2, 20195 yr by Envoirment

Plus they are not including the 1.5 million or so under 35 newly registered voters and are downplaying how many will vote v older voters... Plus that remain Tory alliance doesn't look so strong. If they can't bring themselves ro vote for Bojo on the day...

I anticipate a Tory majority and refuse to let myself get too excited about the prospect of something else however much I may want Boris out of no.10

Edited December 2, 20195 yr by mald487

That's because you have realised how badly the tories have damaged our democracy. Bojo should never ever be anywhere neaar a majority. Ever. If we had a level playing field he'd get, what, 20% maybe?