The thought of the tories only actually on 20%

 

I know, it's fantastic isn't it. Let's hope they go even lower. *.*

 

Specifically on polling, I saw YouGov showing that the point at which someone is more likely to vote Conservative rather than Labour as rising to sixty-six (66) years old!

 

@1760575535372013593

Still can’t see it they’ll be on 25-28% at the lowest imo!

They deserve to implode, wspeially after thwy, along witht he entiee British state and even the Labour party neolib shills, sabotaged our Corbyn and oue chance at a better state, with equality and prosperity for all.

I know, it's fantastic isn't it. Let's hope they go even lower. *.*

 

Specifically on polling, I saw YouGov showing that the point at which someone is more likely to vote Conservative rather than Labour as rising to sixty-six (66) years old!

 

@1760575535372013593

 

Amazing *_* The longer they hold out holding the election the worse it'll get I feel as a lot of people will be renewing their mortages with higher interest rates. Not to mention inflation is likely to increase a bit again later this year. Plus the general horrendous governance in general continuing.

 

@1764585117249327228

If we had Corbyn, pre media and British establishment hate campaign and character assassination, swapping his time with Starmer's chronologically, the Tories would be steuggling to get double figures!!! This is Tories on 20% with Starmer not presentign ANYTHING DIFFERENT, just a promise of competence, but with the same Tory policies.

I don’t know how the the reform party can be on only 8% now but the tories only on 20??

@1764585117249327228

 

The latest YouGov poll also had them at 20% as well:

 

@1763511825423831298

 

Overall the polls show a dip in the conservative vote to ~23-25% with Reform gaining quite a bit and now averaging almost 10%.

 

Not sure when the election will be held, but I suspect it may go worse than polls suggest for the conservatives if Reform are able to really push the right messaging and such.

Edited March 4, 20241 yr by Envoirment

It’ll be fascinating to watch!

@1765910523952918586

 

Budget bounce in full swing

That poll, if replicated in a GE, would translate to around 3 seats - a repeat of the 1993 Conservative party wipeout in Canada.

 

@1766050276828422584

I mean if that did happen it would be the biggest moment in the history of British politics but still can’t see it, minds and polls will focus as the GE campaign begins. Like I mean Starmer isn’t really liked much it’s more an alternative to the mess the tories have made in the past decade!

I mean if that did happen it would be the biggest moment in the history of British politics but still can’t see it, minds and polls will focus as the GE campaign begins. Like I mean Starmer isn’t really liked much it’s more an alternative to the mess the tories have made in the past decade!

 

This is the worst they have ever done in opinion polling and the opinion polls are being reflected quite readily in by-election results for the most part.

 

Them prolonging the next election is only going to hurt them further as the budget won't do much to help most people and it'll allow time for reform to really grab a hold of a chunk of the conservative vote.

 

I also think people have become much more aware of the lies from the conservatives and so are less likely to have the wool pulled over them compared to previously as the conservatives have had 14 years in government and they haven't improved most people's lives. Most people are worse off and the NHS waiting lists and such are in such a scary state. Plus add in all the underfunding of other public services, councils etc.... It's rather sad.

 

In regards to Starmer, he may not be held in high regard but the labour party policies are much more likely to help most people (not just in terms of false promises, but actually acting upon them as they have done previous - the fact that the age at which the majority of people that switch from voting labour to conservative has increased is somewhat reflective of this). I'm hoping when election time begins we'll see some quite nice policies from labour. Although the issue is that labour will be in a difficult situation given the state of the country the conservatives have left them with.

 

In terms of the election I really don't know what to expect. I honestly feel like there's a very large chance that the conservatives get all but wiped out with the anger a lot of people have. The key will be Reform and how well they can campaign.

The Exit poll will be interesting this time. As usual I'll be staying up all night to watch the top Tories fall. Wonder if Sunak and Coffey will go. Both have big majorities.

 

The polls indicating them getting less than 50 seats are hilarious as polls tend to tighten during a campaign. They should keep 100 seats at least which would still be disastrous going from a majority of 80 odd.

 

People on on other forums saying Sunak will be replaced if the May locals are bad. Can't see it. Too late now. He'd just trigger the election if they launched a leadership contest.

 

Election can't be Oct as HM The King's out of the country most of the month, if his health bears up. Australia and HOG meeting.

 

Didn't Ress Mogg let slip that it'll most likely be Nov. 14th.

Yeh I can’t see the tories not getting 150 seats and even that’s a low target for the now before a campaign. General Elections are different than by elections I repeat General elections are different than by elections. I also think we’ve seen the peak of the LDs so southern England seats will be weaker and easier for the tories to re take!

The Exit poll will be interesting this time. As usual I'll be staying up all night to watch the top Tories fall. Wonder if Sunak and Coffey will go. Both have big majorities.

 

The polls indicating them getting less than 50 seats are hilarious as polls tend to tighten during a campaign. They should keep 100 seats at least which would still be disastrous going from a majority of 80 odd.

 

People on on other forums saying Sunak will be replaced if the May locals are bad. Can't see it. Too late now. He'd just trigger the election if they launched a leadership contest.

 

Election can't be Oct as HM The King's out of the country most of the month, if his health bears up. Australia and HOG meeting.

 

Didn't Ress Mogg let slip that it'll most likely be Nov. 14th.

 

Surely November is a no go on the basis of security concerns? I reckon it will be September.

@1769773697999450246

He's more competent than Liz Truss too!! But he's highly unlikeable - rich, no connection to anyonr but thr uber rich, weak and weaselly.

Glad to see the racist donor scandal having an effect. Maybe they will actually average below 20% by the time the election comes round. Quite a steep rise in reform which will hopefully continue at the expensive of the conservatives.

The data for polling said 70% of U35 voters were intending Labour with the other main 4 options in single figures including Conservatives on 7%!

 

With the age at which switches are likely getting older, and the difference between the two becoming even more pronounced, the longer the government hold out calling an election, the worse it'll get for them. With people becoming of voting age and deaths, should quite easily have at least another 100,000+ swing in 6 months just through demography.