Yeh the tories will likely end up on 27-30% by polling day and 180-200 seats!

@1796271724389912800

Lmaooo, so the over 60s, after forcing brexshit and successive Tpry governmwnts on people, especially those too young to vote, want thr young to pick up the slack and fix everything - for free!

 

Ans look, 20% of thr young support it ans 80% don't. BbTory amde it sound like they were split down the middle and made NO mention of how unpopulsr the policy would inevitably be with young people and parents!!

Hearing that there is an MRP out tonight at 9pm that has the Lib Dems as potentially the second biggest party... *.*

Hearing that there is an MRP out tonight at 9pm that has the Lib Dems as potentially the second biggest party... *.*

 

That would be quite a leap.

 

Ed Davey basically just going on a jolly for the election campaign is obviously resonating with the public :lol:

Hearing that there is an MRP out tonight at 9pm that has the Lib Dems as potentially the second biggest party... *.*

 

Maybe in terms of seats but definitely not in terms of vote-share. Just further highlighting our broken electoral system. Labour need to promise electoral reform.

Edited May 31, 20241 yr by DoBelieveTheHype

Maybe in terms of seats but definitely not in terms of vote-share. Just further highlighting our broken electoral system. Labour need to promise electoral reform.

 

Yep the model includes tactical voting. Using the system (First Past the Post) that the Tories have exploited so much over the last few centuries to destroy them is delicious irony.

 

Completely agree- electoral system needs radical changing post-2024.

Same here so many wasted votes with FPTP!

@1796633036395622814

 

It's out- 66 for the Tories. Just 7 seats ahead of Lib Dems.

 

Notable seat losses :

 

- James Cleverly (Home Sec)

- Penny Mordaunt (Leader HoC)

- Kemi Badenoch (Business/Trade Sec)

- Jacob Rees-Mogg (ex Leader HoC)

To lose 3 of the potential new leaders - Mordaunt, Badenoch and Cleverley would be delicious

It seems highly unlikely we're going to get tactical voting on that sort of scale.

It seems highly unlikely we're going to get tactical voting on that sort of scale.

A poll showing how effective tactical voting can be might encourage people to do exactly that. One of the reasons Portillo lost in 1997 is that the Observer published a poll the weekend before the election that showed that Labour could win the seat. That was the headline, but it included a lot of other Tory-held seats which suddenly became very vulnerable.

I can’t see this happening but would be amazing if it did!

@1796633036395622814

 

It's out- 66 for the Tories. Just 7 seats ahead of Lib Dems.

 

Notable seat losses :

 

- James Cleverly (Home Sec)

- Penny Mordaunt (Leader HoC)

- Kemi Badenoch (Business/Trade Sec)

- Jacob Rees-Mogg (ex Leader HoC)

 

Come on LD!!

 

I reackon if the polls don’t change we are a week away from someone installing Boris in to lead the campaign 😂

Think that is overdoing it but it’s probably not too far off

That's amazing *_* Whilst I don't think we'll quite see tactical voting that extreme, I definitely think there is momentum in it with high profile people/celebrities like Carol Vorderman pushing for tactical voting to wipe the conservatives out:

 

 

*_*

Edited May 31, 20241 yr by Envoirment

That's amazing *_* Whilst I don't think we'll quite see tactical voting that extreme, I definitely think there is momentum in it with high profile people/celebrities like Carol Vorderman pushing for tactical voting to wipe the conservatives out:

 

 

*_*

 

I love that interview!

Opinium - which typically has a lower lead for Labour than other polls has Labour +4% and the Tories down 2%. For this pollster the biggest lead since Truss.

 

https://x.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1796977355266597015?

 

Labour - 45%

Conservatives - 25%

Reform - 11%

Lib Dem - 8%

Green - 6%

SNP - 3%

 

Could see Labour over 50% in some of the other polls if they swing as much.

Edited June 1, 20241 yr by DoBelieveTheHype

Glad to see the gap widen :clap: