October 20, 20231 yr So Rishi Sunak's 'Destroy the Environment and Trans people' policy emphasis going well then isn't it... Reading a few of the "pollsters" it seems the "anyone but the Tories" voting is really strong, which bodes well for a general election and how people vote. Might even be likely a few people who voted Conservative in 2019 will vote Reform in a General Election. I suspect the polls will begin to narrow over the next 12 months, but don't think that's going to be a cause for concern.. really looks like Labour are in a strong position here, which I suspect is what the likes of Truss/Patel etc. see and are probably plotting which single issue to make the 2029 general election about.
October 20, 20231 yr Author Reading a few of the "pollsters" it seems the "anyone but the Tories" voting is really strong, which bodes well for a general election and how people vote. Might even be likely a few people who voted Conservative in 2019 will vote Reform in a General Election. I suspect the polls will begin to narrow over the next 12 months, but don't think that's going to be a cause for concern.. really looks like Labour are in a strong position here, which I suspect is what the likes of Truss/Patel etc. see and are probably plotting which single issue to make the 2029 general election about. The Tories will campaign to abandon the "woke nonsense" that left-handed people should have the same rights as right-handed people.
December 19, 20231 yr Peter Bone - a repellent hard right sexist ultra Brexiter with no redeeming qualities whatsoever, Tory MP for Wellingborough has had the whip withdrawn by his party following the publication of a report from the independent expert panel yesterday saying he should be suspended from the Commons for six weeks for bullying and sexual misconduct. So yet ANOTHER by election on the cards. A huge majority of 18540 at the last General Election but should be easily beatable considering the unpopularity of the Government and possibly Tactical voting. Guess we'll see the result of the Bedfordshire election on Thursday as whether this works out effectively in ditching the Tory. Peter Bone recalled - By-Election expected in February 2024: @1737207073258066326
December 19, 20231 yr Author So, farewell then Peter Boner(head). You shouted a lot but achieved nothing worthwhile.
January 5, 20241 yr Author Yet another unwanted by-election. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-67895246
January 5, 20241 yr This is/was my MP - my first ever by-election! Annoyingly, this will be 2 elections for me then this year, the second with a boundary change as Kingswood is disappearing as a constituency at the next general election (and I will fall under Rees-Moggs current expanded constituency. Interesting times!
January 7, 20241 yr Author The person selected by the Tories to defend Peter Bone’s seat is his partner. Note that his partner isn’t the Mrs Bone he used to refer to so regularly. He dumped her.
January 8, 20241 yr Aaaaaand another one: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/polit...e-b2475069.html
February 5, 20241 yr The Rochdale by-election is set for February 29th, the full list of candidates is below. Whilst in normal circumstances this would be a straight Labour win, there are a number of curveballs that could tip the scales a different way. George Galloway is running for the Workers Party (even though he seems to be only worker standing for the party, although the Derby North badman is also a member). He tends to show up at by-elections in areas where he thinks he can drum up the Muslim vote (Batley & Spen, Bradford West) . I'm presuming he's going full in on an anti-Israel campaign. Also standing is Simon Danczuk, who was the MP here between 2010 and 2017. Interestingly, he is standing for Reform UK. Those of us with a long memory and far too much interest in politics will recall that back when there were rumours of defections to Ukip, he was the sole Labour MP who was tipped to flip over, and after many years in the wilderness he's now joined their successor party. When he stood as an independent in 2017 after being kicked out of Labour he won 1.8% of the vote, so whilst I don't expect him to win, he could end up being a spoiler in a potential 3-way between Labour, Conservative and Galloway. Labour - Azhar Ali no description - Mark Coleman Reform UK - Simon Danczuk Liberal Democrats - Iain Donaldson Conservative - Paul Ellison Workers Party - George Galloway no description - Michael Howarth Independent - William Howarth Green - Guy Otten Monster Raving Loony - Ravin Subortna Independent - David Sully There are also two Tory defences on February 15th, both of which Labour will hope to make gains in.
February 5, 20241 yr I remember he won in both Tower Halmets and then Bradford West. Who knows if he can do so again? He like Chris Williamson has some really bad positions (pro-Putin, sexist and in his case pro Brexit) but I do admire him for being pro Palestine when most MPs can hardly muster up the courage. Simon Danczuk is a bit of a creep all around and doubt that Reform UK will do that well to be honest. I'm predicting a Labour win with Galloway running them close.
February 12, 20241 yr So, so far in the Rochdale by-election - - Labour's candidate has been forced to apologise for spreading anti-Semitic conspiracy theories, yet Labour are still standing behind him following an apology. I have seen some people commenting that Diane Abbot had the whip suspended for less offensive remarks, however I will leave the judging to others. - The Green's candidate, who is a Humanist activist, will no longer be campaigning after anti-Muslim tweets from 10 years ago resurfaced. - George Galloway has been endorsed by far-right ex-BNP member Nick Griffin. It's a real poo-nami. Suddenly the 50-1 odds on the Tories in this seat is looking like a decent shout.
February 12, 20241 yr ...and literally after I typed that, Labour has now withdrawn support for Azhar Ali in the Rochdale by-election, which means that if he ends up winning, he will sit as an independent MP. He will still be listed on the ballot as the Labour candidate, just like the Green candidate.
February 12, 20241 yr Definitely worse than what Abbott said IMO, what she did was a misguided and badly worded attempt to talk about systemic racism versus this, which effectively amounted to conspiracy theory posting as a main party candidate. I saw quite a lot of speculation that the only reason support wasn't withdrawn from him was that he was originally a Labour right candidate and favoured by the leadership, which is embarassing. Really tough one to work out based on all of that. Given that it's such a strong Labour area I suspect that Ali will win it in the end but it might just end up being anyone's race with Reform having the former MP there, Lib Dems having history in the seat and Galloway doing the thing he normally does - and one might even hope for the Tory candidate in case it gives Sunak and CCHQ enough deluded optimism to head to the polls in May.
February 12, 20241 yr I dont trust a thing thar Netanyahu and Israel say, and FWIW I think there may be some truth to Israel deliberately letting 7/10 happen. He wants a Palestine ruled by Hamas and a justificarion to carry out their ethnic cleansing/territorial expansion. But yes Ali can't be the Labour candidate, especially as Kate Osamor, Abbot and of course Corbyn lost the whip for far far less. Maybe this will go to George Galloway and maybe not a bad thing to have a pro Palestine winner, despite his other failings. Makes a change to.the hideous pro Israeli bias everywhere else. Edited February 12, 20241 yr by Smint
February 13, 20241 yr I dont trust a thing thar Netanyahu and Israel say, and FWIW I think there may be some truth to Israel deliberately letting 7/10 happen. He wants a Palestine ruled by Hamas and a justificarion to carry out their ethnic cleansing/territorial expansion. But yes Ali can't be the Labour candidate, especially as Kate Osamor, Abbot and of course Corbyn lost the whip for far far less. Maybe this will go to George Galloway and maybe not a bad thing to have a pro Palestine winner, despite his other failings. Makes a change to.the hideous pro Israeli bias everywhere else. George Galloway would be absolutely horrendous. He's a horrible man, stirs up cultual and racial hatred everywhere he goes. What exactly will he do for the people of Rochdale?
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