February 27, 20223 yr I'm completely lost for words at the unhinged and barbaric decision by Putin to invade and attack a sovereign state - I had just assumed that he'd stop at redrawing the Ukraine/Russia border to incorporate the Donetsk (so-called DPR) and Luhansk (so-called LPR) rebel held regions and then maintain pressure to prevent NATO/EU membership. It turns out that the US intelligence ended up being pretty legit and that the Kremlin were unsurprisingly lying. Putin looks isolated, he looks somewhat unhinged and rattled, and I think we seriously need to think about de-escalation and a 'way out' of this crisis for him before after being backed into a corner he starts to act irrationally. Unlike Putin who looks weak, Zelenskyy - who incidentally was in a TV show about accidentally being voted in as President just 3 years ago - has been incredibly impressive to watch. His stoic resolve and courage in choosing to stay and fight with his fellow citizens in Kyiv since the Russian invasion and attacks on the country he serves as leader began have been so inspiring. You can't imagine a leader like Johnson doing the same, he'd probably hide in the nearest fridge.. Far from going the way Putin thought it might, it has actually strengthened NATO and the rest of the world (China abstained rather than voting against a UN motion condeming Russia last week) and the strategy is far from going the way he thought it would - the Ukranians aren't going down without a fight. I think he's overplayed his hand, and the gamble is rapidly going south. Incidentally, although I was quite sceptical about the sanctions - it appears that they have now stepped up and will bite from tomorrow. My worry is for the Russian people, and how they may also end up victims of Putin's war.. with propaganda of the hurt inflicted upon them used to strengthen support for it. @1498025868144230402 Solidarity with the Ukranian people- let's hope there is progress made at the talks tomorrow.
February 27, 20223 yr India is NOT a Russian ally. It would side with the USA. It has MASSIVE tensions with China, too. Russia is relying on ONE ally - China. Although now we have seen the giant ego of Putin at play, I wonder how he would like to play second-fiddle to a stronger country...
February 27, 20223 yr India is NOT a Russian ally. It would side with the USA. It has MASSIVE tensions with China, too. Russia is relying on ONE ally - China. Although now we have seen the giant ego of Putin at play, I wonder how he would like to play second-fiddle to a stronger country... Not so sure about India, they abstained on the UN vote didn't they? I think they would stay out of it to be fair, but I think Modi has quite close relations with Putin.
February 27, 20223 yr If Putin nukes anywhere it will be Ukraine, if he nukes anywhere else he has just instigated World War 3. Except, I am not even sure the two allies who he is banking on (China/India) would support him if he did that. He's clearly a big fan of the Cold War era, but I do think Putin would actually use a nuclear bomb as a last resort, but can't see him using one on a NATO state. Either way, I think he's shocked at how the West has rallied against him. Doubt it will be Ukraine since Russia will be on the receiving end of the fallout and they definitely will not be happy about this and the people living there will not accept this fate. Besides it is just right next to Russia and Belarus so I reckon they just mobilise more forces there if they so desire to annex Ukraine? Consider the environmental impacts and social impacts if they do that and how their own army will react when they themselves are highly affected. I'm a lot more worried that the nuke threats are targeted towards the countries that have imposed harsh sanctions on Russia and provided weapons to Ukraine. I really hope this will not happen but my best guess would be Dublin in Ireland as they are not in NATO and the environmental impacts would hit the most important countries the hardest following the prevailing winds. Either way, deployment of nukes is surely going to mark the start of WWIII so I think this possibility is still off the table.
February 27, 20223 yr Not so sure about India, they abstained on the UN vote didn't they? I think they would stay out of it to be fair, but I think Modi has quite close relations with Putin. They are trying to not rock the boat. However, they are an American ally, not a Russian ally, and have major grievances with China. Just last year birder skirmishes with China had China force India off a number of strategic positions in the Himalayas.
February 27, 20223 yr @https://twitter.com/maxseddon/status/1498023555975450626? Holy f***.... https://twitter.com/maxseddon/status/1498023555975450626? And the US has 1,000+. Starting a nuclear war is a lose-lose situation for everyone globally - including Russia's allies. Especially if a nuclear winter does occur. I don't see Russia pulling the trigger on using a nuke. The situation is rather scary though. I hope the invasion of Ukraine leads to a more united NATO/EU/Europe and to the ascension of a number of countries to the EU/NATO. As well as causing a shift in the political situation in Belarus whilst ending the reign of Putin. Edited February 27, 20223 yr by Envoirment
February 27, 20223 yr I very much doubt nuclear war is about to break out, far more likely - and something we cannot rule out (but still a very small chance) - is a coup against Putin from within the Kremlin. He's badly miscalculated - not only Ukraine's resolve and strength - but how much the rest of the world is united against any unprovoked and unjustified military aggression.
February 27, 20223 yr I very much doubt nuclear war is about to break out, far more likely - and something we cannot rule out (but still a very small chance) - is a coup against Putin from within the Kremlin. He's badly miscalculated - not only Ukraine's resolve and strength - but how much the rest of the world is united against any unprovoked and unjustified military aggression. That I agree as well, and nuking Ukraine would further justify the coup with all the hardships that will follow imo.
February 27, 20223 yr Author @1497928772926029827 And now onto the usual 'British MPs saying stupid things' segment of this show.
February 27, 20223 yr @1497928772926029827 And now onto the usual 'British MPs saying stupid things' segment of this show. It's mainly Tories though tbf, and they DO love a bit of the 'ole xenophobia. Sadly, so do much of the British public. :( I see Priti Fucking Useless of the Go Home Office yesterday putting up the Ukrainian flag and saying that we stand with the Ukrainian people - but we won't waive visas unless you're coming here to pick apples, despite going on and on in summer '21 about virtue signalling and empty gestures. Putin quite literally is isolated- just look at the size of his table!
February 27, 20223 yr Piers Morgan, writing in The Sun, has said the answer to this is the US taking out the Russian forces in Ukraine but Biden is too weak to do it. A strong US President would. He should launch US air strikes where it hurts and knock all Putin's forces out in and around Ukraine. What will he do then? He won't use nukes as that guarantee Russia's destruction too. America could end this swiftly within hours. On and order the CIA to kill Putin. I agree. Hit them hard and fast. Where's Dubya when you need him! Edited February 27, 20223 yr by cider man
February 27, 20223 yr Isn't tje stuff with Putin being so far away from everyone that he is shit scared of catching covid? I'm sure I've read that before. Piers Morgan, writing in The Sun, has said the answer to this is the US taking out the Russian forces in Ukraine but Biden is too weak to do it. A strong US President would. He should launch US air strikes where it hurts and knock all Putin's forces out in and around Ukraine. What will he do then? He won't use nukes as that guarantee Russia's destruction too. America could end this swiftly within hours. On and order the CIA to kill Putin. Oh yeah great one from Piers, let's start WWIII in the process. If Putin goes, it's got to be from within the Kremlin at this stage.
February 27, 20223 yr Isn't tje stuff with Putin being so far away from everyone that he is shit scared of catching covid? I'm sure I've read that before. Oh yeah great one from Piers, let's start WWIII in the process. If Putin goes, it's got to be from within the Kremlin at this stage. Why would it start WWIII? Putin is a tyrant and a bully so it needs someone to stand up to him. Don't think Biden's the man though. :(
February 27, 20223 yr ^Yeah, he's paranoid about catching Covid but it is meme-tastic. Hey Siri, play Chandelier by Sia. 🤣
February 27, 20223 yr I’ve heard that too de Putin and Covid but he’s been seen to meet other leaders side by side so think that’s just western media trying to make a c**t of him. I do worry with all the weapons being handed out Willy nilly in Ukraine what that could cause. I mean there’s already word that the wrong type of person is using the weapons to rob people and attacking ethnic Russian speakers as they are now looked at as the enemy, could be bad for Ukrainian society. I guess though in these tough times it was the only thing they felt they could do.
February 27, 20223 yr Not so sure about India, they abstained on the UN vote didn't they? I think they would stay out of it to be fair, but I think Modi has quite close relations with Putin. India is not Russia's ally but they do have good relationship with Russia to counter China and Pakistan. Russia is also their main suppliers of military hardware.
Create an account or sign in to comment