May 16, 20214 yr Olivia will do best out of those in the long run, but hard to predict the first week
May 16, 20214 yr see i can't see olivia managing more than 150k in the USA and I think TOP will manage that 21p won't touch 150k in thr us without bundles. Not even 100k.
May 16, 20214 yr None seemsto be out on vinyl? At least Olivia has cassettes but dont think the others have?
May 16, 20214 yr None seemsto be out on vinyl? At least Olivia has cassettes but dont think the others have? Twenty One Pilots' is being released on vinyl later in the year, due to Covid production issues. So I'd definitely expect their first week sales to be lower than Trench.
May 16, 20214 yr None seemsto be out on vinyl? At least Olivia has cassettes but dont think the others have? True. Olivia's coming on August 20th.
May 16, 20214 yr if none have vinyl then I wouldn't expect lots especially for Twenty One Pilots if it's just out as 1 CD, same for Pink
May 16, 20214 yr see i can't see olivia managing more than 150k in the USA and I think TOP will manage that Definitely the other way around.
May 17, 20214 yr As Pinks album is only a live album it wont interest as many people as a new studio album would.
May 17, 20214 yr I'm doubtful about Olivia's selling power. She will do amazingly in streaming but that might not take her over 25k without proper sales.
May 17, 20214 yr I really do think Olivia is going to surprise people massively and get #1! I think it's a really difficult one to judge, it wouldn't surprise me if she did under 10K but at the same time it wouldn't totally surprise me if she did upwards of 30K too
May 17, 20214 yr I was never expecting Olivias album to be anything more than a passing top 3 debut so obviously I'm totally underestimating it.
May 17, 20214 yr Going to throw Gary Numan into this mix, his last album did really well, he should do well on physical sales
May 17, 20214 yr I was never expecting Olivias album to be anything more than a passing top 3 debut so obviously I'm totally underestimating it. I think the fact it has 3 reasonable sized hits on it now should keep it buoyant.
May 17, 20214 yr Her team are going all out it seems with bundles now being added as well as being £5.99 on iTunes! This makes me think their pre-orders are v similar and her label are just trying to get on top of it and want to end up ahead. TOP only having one version will massively hinder them, especially as they are big vinyl sellers. So I'm starting to think Olivia will actually win over here too... In the US, TOP's last 2 albums did 147k & 175k. 'Trench' came off the back of 'Blurryface' which helped their sales, but ultimately performed worse in the long run. I can see them clearing over 100k, but I'm not sure by how much and how much of an effect no vinyl will have on them. Olivia is clearing 150k I think (in the US). My revised guess would be: UK: 01. Olivia 30k-35k 02. TOP 30k-33k 03. P!nk 17k-20k US: 01. Olivia 150k-160k 02. TOP 100k-135k 05. P!nk 35k-40k
May 18, 20214 yr Considering Pink Floyd's live album just scraped top ten, Pink is not in a good position in this battle. But who knows about her fanbase.
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