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P!nk v Olivia 81 members have voted

  1. 1. Who will debut at #1

    • P!nk
      14
    • Olivia
      40
    • Rag & Bo Man
      3
    • Twenty One Pilots
      18
  2. 2. Who do you want to debut at #1

    • P!nk
      28
    • Olivia Rodrigo
      34
    • Twenty One Pilots
      13

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see i can't see olivia managing more than 150k in the USA and I think TOP will manage that

21p won't touch 150k in thr us without bundles. Not even 100k.

None seemsto be out on vinyl?

At least Olivia has cassettes but dont think the others have?

None seemsto be out on vinyl?

At least Olivia has cassettes but dont think the others have?

Twenty One Pilots' is being released on vinyl later in the year, due to Covid production issues. So I'd definitely expect their first week sales to be lower than Trench.

None seemsto be out on vinyl?

At least Olivia has cassettes but dont think the others have?

True. Olivia's coming on August 20th.

if none have vinyl then I wouldn't expect lots

especially for Twenty One Pilots if it's just out as 1 CD, same for Pink

see i can't see olivia managing more than 150k in the USA and I think TOP will manage that

Definitely the other way around.

I really do think Olivia is going to surprise people massively and get #1!

I think it's a really difficult one to judge, it wouldn't surprise me if she did under 10K but at the same time it wouldn't totally surprise me if she did upwards of 30K too

I was never expecting Olivias album to be anything more than a passing top 3 debut so obviously I'm totally underestimating it.
I was never expecting Olivias album to be anything more than a passing top 3 debut so obviously I'm totally underestimating it.

 

I think the fact it has 3 reasonable sized hits on it now should keep it buoyant.

Her team are going all out it seems with bundles now being added as well as being £5.99 on iTunes! This makes me think their pre-orders are v similar and her label are just trying to get on top of it and want to end up ahead.

 

TOP only having one version will massively hinder them, especially as they are big vinyl sellers. So I'm starting to think Olivia will actually win over here too...

 

In the US, TOP's last 2 albums did 147k & 175k. 'Trench' came off the back of 'Blurryface' which helped their sales, but ultimately performed worse in the long run. I can see them clearing over 100k, but I'm not sure by how much and how much of an effect no vinyl will have on them. Olivia is clearing 150k I think (in the US).

 

My revised guess would be:

 

UK:

01. Olivia 30k-35k

02. TOP 30k-33k

03. P!nk 17k-20k

 

US:

01. Olivia 150k-160k

02. TOP 100k-135k

05. P!nk 35k-40k

I honestly can’t see a live album selling that much.

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