May 9, 20232 yr I reckon they will put Finland 10th/11th and Loreen 12th/13th. It will certainly be interesting if all the favourites go first half. I worry that Ukraine may do even better now, they seem to have been forgotten about but I could still see a show where they come close to winning again. I don't think they will get 400+ in the televotes but can still see them getting 300 or something. Its also interesting that Loreen is almost top 10 on itunes already but Finland is nowhere to be seen yet, could suggest she may do really well in the televote? Tattoo is showing early indications of being the bigger chart hit (obviously its streams are already well ahead of Cha Cha Cha). There does sometimes seem to be a disconnect though between what does best in Eurovision and what charts highest. I agree that Ukraine is being overlooked, I guess the feeling is that the jury score might 'only' be around 100, so if you even add say 300 points on the televote, it's going to quite likely be behind where Finland and Sweden are. I think they're a reasonably safe bet for at least 5th.
May 9, 20232 yr If I was in the first half I would want opening or Closing (or 12th would do if Switzerland are 13th xx) that’s really made this competition interesting! I also think 2nd half with all the female pop will benefit Germany!
May 10, 20232 yr I think if Austria pull first half they will open. Can also low-key see them shoving Finland on first as they love to open with a Semi final closer (just to switch things up). I feel this is going to be very similar to the year Sara, Eleni, Jessica and Netta were all second half and left both Finland and Australia disappointed. Edited May 10, 20232 yr by Cameron
May 11, 20232 yr Really fascinating that all (my) favorites (Fi, SWE, ESP, FRA) are in the 1st half. I would think Norway and Germany will benefit a bit from being in the second half.
May 11, 20232 yr Really fascinating that all (my) favorites (Fi, SWE, ESP, FRA) are in the 1st half. I would think Norway and Germany will benefit a bit from being in the second half. I think Croatia and Israel are the ones who will benefit the most.
May 11, 20232 yr I think they might have Finland opening to ensure a Sweden hosted contest next year, I can already see it
May 11, 20232 yr I think they might have Finland opening to ensure a Sweden hosted contest next year, I can already see it Haven't we had enough of Sweden hosting twice in the last 10 years? They should give a chance to other countries too and not make it being rigged and biased so evident.
May 11, 20232 yr Yeah I don’t see that happening for a number of reasons. I don’t see why EBU wouldn’t want a song as popular as Cha Cha Cha to win, first of all. Second of all, the first song is pretty much always an English language song that gets the party started but isn’t a threat to the win. If Belgium draw first half, I’d say they’ve got the opening slot wrapped up. Finland will be 11-13, I’m certain of it (but I’ve been wrong many times before and probably will be again!)
May 11, 20232 yr Author First Half Spain France Italy Switzerland Finland Portugal Sweden Serbia Albania Cyprus Estonia Austria Poland Second Half Ukraine United Kingdom Germany Croatia Moldova Czechia Israel Norway Belgium Lithuania Australia Armenia Slovenia
May 11, 20232 yr Cyprus or Poland are easy choices for first on then I'd say. the rumoured Joker Out dominance begins to grow in possibility
May 11, 20232 yr Author My annual late night attempt at programming a running order (This is not the official order dolls x) 01 Poland 02 Estonia 03 Portugal 04 Switzerland 05 Serbia 06 Italy 07 Austria 08 Albania 09 France 10 Spain 11 Finland 12 Cyprus 13 Sweden - BREAK - 14 Germany 15 Moldova 16 Croatia 17 Lithuania 18 Israel 19 Ukraine 20 Belgium 21 Slovenia 22 Norway 23 Czechia 24 Australia 25 Armenia 26 United Kingdom
May 11, 20232 yr Author You can JUST ABOUT give the four big tracks in the first half all a decent draw but it's incredibly stacked!
May 11, 20232 yr For the first time ever (I think) I'm gonna do a prediction for the running order (and it's going to be laughably WRONG so mind your damn business plz) 01. Poland 02. Switzerland 03. Portugal 04. Serbia -Green Room- 05. Cyprus 06. France 07. Austria -Green Room- 08. Spain 09. Italy 10. Finland -Green Room- 11. Estonia 12. Albania 13. Sweden -Break- 14. Belgium 15. Armenia 16. Germany -Green Room- 17. Israel 18. Moldova 19. Ukraine -Green Room- 20. Australia 21. Norway 22. Croatia -Green Room- 23. Lithuania 24. Czechia 25. Slovenia 26. United Kingdom
May 11, 20232 yr PREDICTING... 01 Poland 02 Serbia 03 Switzerland 04 Austria 05 Italy 06 Albania 07 France 08 Cyprus -BREAK- 09 Sweden 10 Portugal 11 Estonia 12 Finland 13 Spain 14 Australia 15 Lithuania 16 Norway 17 Czech Republic 18 Belgium -BREAK- 19 Ukraine 20 Croatia 21 Israel 22 Moldova 23 Germany 24 Armenia 25 Slovenia 26 United Kingdom
May 12, 20232 yr Ok the running order is super boring. They could've really shaken things up but now we have all the favourites between 6-20. Edited May 12, 20232 yr by Sour Candy
May 12, 20232 yr i can’t see past a Finland win now (taking the ukraine wildcard out of the equation). unless we are truly sleeping on spain or israel with that running order placement. loreen needed to be performing after him to stand a chance i think
May 12, 20232 yr Surprised the odds on Finland have not changed - a £15 bet getting almost a £60 return, feels like easy money atm!
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