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Think greedy probably needs to maintain its current level for a couple more weeks yet before it can re-enter, I think it was probably only doing around 6k a week before Tate's album dropped.

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  • Jaz13music
    Jaz13music

    I was wondering if anyone would be interested in looking at this (or maybe it’s just me)? In the streaming era the EOY chart has appeared heavily biased towards songs released/peaking in the first ha

  • gasman449
    gasman449

    Just had a go at a full top 40, week 14 2024 to week 13 2025. You're pretty much bang on with your sales estimates, just had to change Hot To Go (it would've done a few sales in 2023 so its total woul

  • Julian_
    Julian_

    Week 9: 1 1 Lola Young Messy 434,000 610,000 2 2 Rosé and Bruno Mars APT. 412,000 770,000 3 3 Gracie Abrams That's So True 384,000 820,000 4 4 Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars Die With A Smile 344,000 980,00

Posted Images

  • Author

Week 12:

1

1

Lola Young

Messy

561,000

740,000

2

2

Rosé and Bruno Mars

APT.

528,000

880,000

3

3

Gracie Abrams

That's So True

485,000

920,000

4

4

Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars

Die With A Smile

443,000

1,080,000

5

5

Chrystal

The Days

349,000

510,000

6

6

Billie Eilish

Birds Of A Feather

327,000

1,550,000

7

8

Chappell Roan

Good Luck, Babe!

326,000

1,530,000

8

7

Gigi Perez

Sailor Song

323,000

920,000

9

9

Chappell Roan

Pink Pony Club

309,000

750,000

10

10

Benson Boone

Beautiful Things

296,000

2,080,000

11

11

Sabrina Carpenter

Espresso

291,000

2,040,000

12

12

Sabrina Carpenter

Taste

285,000

1,080,000

13

13

Teddy Swims

Lose Control

285,000

2,120,000

14

14

Kendrick Lamar

Not Like Us

271,000

890,000

15

15

Teddy Swims

The Door

248,000

920,000

16

16

Teddy Swims

Bad Dreams

247,000

490,000

17

17

Shaboozey

A Bar Song (Tipsy)

233,000

1,570,000

18

19

Myles Smith

Nice To Meet You

232,000

340,000

19

20

Sabrina Carpenter

Please Please Please

229,000

1,370,000

20

18

Hozier

Too Sweet

228,000

1,700,000

21

21

Myles Smith

Stargazing

224,000

1,240,000

22

22

Noah Kahan

Stick Season

219,000

2,740,000

23

24

Sabrina Carpenter

Bed Chem

213,000

600,000

24

25

Kendrick Lamar & Sza

Luther

210,000

310,000

25

23

Gracie Abrams

I Love You, I'm Sorry

209,000

690,000

26

29

Lady Gaga

Abracadabra

202,000

200,000

27

26

The Weeknd and Playboi Carti

Timeless

201,000

430,000

28

27

Sonny Fodera, Jazzy & D.O.D.

Somedays

201,000

670,000

29

28

Chappell Roan

Hot To Go!

198,000

860,000

30

33

Tate McRae

Sports Car

194,000

31

31

Doechii

Denial Is A River

190,000

32

43

Alex Warren

Ordinary

190,000

33

32

Billie Eilish

Wildflower

184,000

700,000

34

34

Sam Fender

People Watching

184,000

290,000

35

35

Kendrick Lamar & Sza

All The Stars

181,000

2,100,000

36

30

Jimin

Who

181,000

450,000

37

38

The Killers

Mr Brightside

169,000

6,230,000

38

37

Bl3ss & CamrinWatsin featuring BbyClose

Kisses

167,000

820,000

39

40

Post Malone featuring Morgan Wallen

I Had Some Help

166,000

1,080,000

40

39

Pawsa and The Adventures Of Stevie V

Dirty Cash (Money Talks)

164,000

51

53

Imogen Heap

Headlock

133,000

220,000

59

62

Sabrina Carpenter

Juno

124,000

360,000

61

83

Sabrina Carpenter

Busy Woman

122,000

71

74

Sam Fender

Arm's Length

113,000

80

82

Disturbed

The Sound Of Silence

106,000

1,720,000

99

-

Paris Paloma

Labour

98,000

450,000

“Creep” and “Labour” entering, replacing “30 For 30” and “Another Love”.

Creep and Labour before Brown Eyed Girl 😮 not too surprising given their performance on the indie chart though. Then again I thought Do I Wanna Know was doing better than both...

Edited by gasman449

On 21/03/2025 at 21:05, Maestro said:

Outside shots for 'labour' and 'Creep', don't think anything that's already dropped out this year is doing well enough for a re-entry.

Had the Chrystal ball out once again.

Agreed with gasman regarding Brown Eyed Girl though, seems to be showing up more regularly on Spotify now so we must only be a couple of weeks away from it appearing imo.

Think Nokia will enter this week unfortunately, with either 360 or Tears For Fears dropping out. Some interesting songs in the audio streaming chart this week, that might spice things up a little!

  • Author
3 hours ago, gasman449 said:

Think Nokia will enter this week unfortunately, with either 360 or Tears For Fears dropping out. Some interesting songs in the audio streaming chart this week, that might spice things up a little!

I have “Nokia” on 106k though so could be borderline.

Was surprised to find out that Creep didn't make the YE when it was released in 1993, turns out in only charted for 6 weeks so not really a surprise.

I agree with Julian that NOKIA hasn't done enough to make it this week (I have it at 104.5k fwiw).

However, next week we should get Anxiety, NOKIA and Revolving door all entering.

I think 360 is out this week either way tbh, think it has to be Brown Eyed Girl replacing it but we'll see.

EDIT: Since Austin's resurgence in the last few weeks, I think we can now say with confidence that every song that made the YE top 10 will also make the top 100 this year for the first time ever.

Edited by Maestro

  • Author

Week 13 with end of quarter bonus info:

1

1

Lola Young

Messy

596,000

780,000

2

2

Rosé and Bruno Mars

APT.

562,000

920,000

3

3

Gracie Abrams

That's So True

515,000

950,000

4

4

Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars

Die With A Smile

472,000

1,100,000

5

5

Chrystal

The Days

373,000

540,000

6

6

Billie Eilish

Birds Of A Feather

350,000

1,570,000

7

7

Chappell Roan

Good Luck, Babe!

348,000

1,550,000

8

8

Gigi Perez

Sailor Song

344,000

940,000

9

9

Chappell Roan

Pink Pony Club

343,000

790,000

10

10

Benson Boone

Beautiful Things

323,000

2,110,000

11

11

Sabrina Carpenter

Espresso

313,000

2,060,000

12

12

Sabrina Carpenter

Taste

307,000

1,100,000

13

13

Teddy Swims

Lose Control

307,000

2,140,000

14

14

Kendrick Lamar

Not Like Us

291,000

910,000

15

15

Teddy Swims

The Door

267,000

940,000

16

16

Teddy Swims

Bad Dreams

266,000

510,000

17

32

Alex Warren

Ordinary

252,000

250,000

18

17

Shaboozey

A Bar Song (Tipsy)

251,000

1,590,000

19

18

Myles Smith

Nice To Meet You

251,000

360,000

20

19

Sabrina Carpenter

Please Please Please

246,000

1,390,000

21

20

Hozier

Too Sweet

245,000

1,710,000

22

21

Myles Smith

Stargazing

242,000

1,250,000

23

22

Noah Kahan

Stick Season

235,000

2,750,000

24

23

Sabrina Carpenter

Bed Chem

231,000

620,000

25

24

Kendrick Lamar & Sza

Luther

225,000

320,000

26

25

Gracie Abrams

I Love You, I'm Sorry

223,000

710,000

27

26

Lady Gaga

Abracadabra

222,000

220,000

28

30

Tate McRae

Sports Car

218,000

220,000

29

28

Sonny Fodera, Jazzy & D.O.D.

Somedays

216,000

690,000

30

27

The Weeknd and Playboi Carti

Timeless

214,000

440,000

31

29

Chappell Roan

Hot To Go!

211,000

870,000

32

31

Doechii

Denial Is A River

203,000

200,000

33

34

Sam Fender

People Watching

199,000

310,000

34

33

Billie Eilish

Wildflower

197,000

710,000

35

35

Kendrick Lamar & Sza

All The Stars

196,000

2,110,000

36

36

Jimin

Who

186,000

460,000

37

37

The Killers

Mr Brightside

183,000

6,250,000

38

38

Bl3ss & CamrinWatsin featuring BbyClose

Kisses

180,000

830,000

39

42

Alex Warren

Carry You Home

180,000

480,000

40

39

Post Malone featuring Morgan Wallen

I Had Some Help

179,000

1,090,000

41

40

Pawsa and The Adventures Of Stevie V

Dirty Cash (Money Talks)

175,000

240,000

42

41

Cynthia Erivo and Ariana Grande

Defying Gravity

171,000

300,000

43

44

Goo Goo Dolls

Iris

168,000

3,980,000

44

43

Kendrick Lamar

TV Off

168,000

260,000

45

45

Dasha

Austin

166,000

1,310,000

46

46

Charli XCX & Billie Eilish

Guess

161,000

660,000

47

47

Benson Boone

Slow It Down

159,000

830,000

48

48

Fleetwood Mac

Dreams

158,000

3,380,000

49

49

Coldplay

Viva La Vida

151,000

3,740,000

50

50

Coldplay

Yellow

147,000

3,350,000

53

51

Imogen Heap

Headlock

144,000

230,000

54

61

Sabrina Carpenter

Busy Woman

144,000

56

60

Alex Warren

Burning Down

138,000

57

55

Tyla

Push 2 Start

138,000

58

59

Sabrina Carpenter

Juno

137,000

380,000

61

57

Central Cee & 21 Savage

GBP

130,000

65

65

Lord Huron

The Night We Met

127,000

1,950,000

66

64

Sam Barber featuring Avery Anna

Indigo

126,000

68

67

Tate McRae

It's OK I'm OK

124,000

310,000

69

66

Tyler, The Creator featuring Lola Young

Like Him

123,000

210,000

70

71

Sam Fender

Arm's Length

122,000

71

70

Chappell Roan

Red Wine Supernova

122,000

550,000

78

74

SZA

BMF

118,000

79

75

Central Cee & Dave

CRG

118,000

81

80

Disturbed

The Sound Of Silence

115,000

1,730,000

88

88

Zach Bryan

Pink Skies

110,000

450,000

91

84

Naughty Boy featuring Sam Smith

La La La

109,000

2,100,000

93

91

Charli XCX

Apple

108,000

520,000

94

94

Gracie Abrams

Close To You

108,000

350,000

95

83

Ariana Grande

Popular

108,000

“Feel Good Inc” has finally entered, replacing “360”

Surely there's a few mistakes in totals , 🫣 ordinary can't be on 2.1 million total sales

Edited by 777666jason

  • Author
4 minutes ago, 777666jason said:

Surely there's a few mistakes in totals , 🫣 ordinary can't be on 2.1 million total sales

Edited that one - think they’re mostly fine

Just now, Julian_ said:

Edited that one - think they’re mostly fine

Sorry didn't want to be that person as you do a fantastic job ,

Was more curious to see how fast it was climbing as I'm sure it be top 10 soon so it stood out

Nice treat to get some of the fallers this week, cheers Julian 👍Was overestimating Popular, La La La and Pink Skies but otherwise I was mostly bang on with positions! Glad to be proven wrong in regards to Nokia

Thanks for the extensive update Julian, I was overestimating Apple.

Popular is definitely out next week, not sure which other two go with it, would guess La La La and Apple, but labour could also drop back out I think.

Close to You must have been pretty close to dropping out before the tour boost the other week (think I had it as low as #99, not sure if that would be correct).

Shame it looks unlikely to have the legs to make it, the only Gracie song I actually like lmao

  • Author
4 minutes ago, Maestro said:

Popular is definitely out next week, not sure which other two go with it, would guess La La La and Apple, but labour could also drop back out I think.

Close to You must have been pretty close to dropping out before the tour boost the other week (think I had it as low as #99, not sure if that would be correct).

Shame it looks unlikely to have the legs to make it, the only Gracie song I actually like lmao

I should have included “Labour” in the update as a recent-ish song: non mover at #99 this week.

“Close To You” was indeed heading out: #97 was its low point.

Think Maestro is right on the 3 new entries this week, can't see anything else entering. Popular is definitely out, I have Gorillaz and TFF falling out alongside it but Labour or La La La could also be on the chopping block.

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