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I had underestimated “How It’s Done” by 10k or so, mainly based on tracking its weekly Audio Streaming positions. I realised when it re-charted that its weekly sales were actually quite healthy relative to that position.

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  • Jaz13music
    Jaz13music

    I was wondering if anyone would be interested in looking at this (or maybe it’s just me)? In the streaming era the EOY chart has appeared heavily biased towards songs released/peaking in the first ha

  • Lmao at the OCC reporting Tyga's 'Taste' at #15 instead of Sabrina and Travis Scott's 'Stargazing' instead of Myles Smith at #20 💀

  • gasman449
    gasman449

    Just had a go at a full top 40, week 14 2024 to week 13 2025. You're pretty much bang on with your sales estimates, just had to change Hot To Go (it would've done a few sales in 2023 so its total woul

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A few shocks this week mainly around the KPop Demon Hunters tracks, assuming Soda Pop is now above Anxiety which must be tanking very hard. No new peak for Your Idol is a surprise and How It's Done is a full 10k ahead of what I had it on (same as Julian)! Think Sparks has missed its chance to enter and Just Keep Watching might take longer to enter than I thought.

Edited by gasman449

So Beautiful Things joins that select group of songs with 2 consecutive 1 million ‘selling’ years. Is it still likely an unprecedented further 3 songs will manage it this year (with Espresso to miss out)? Amazing outcome after it being such a rarity up to now.

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12 minutes ago, Jaz13music said:

So Beautiful Things joins that select group of songs with 2 consecutive 1 million ‘selling’ years. Is it still likely an unprecedented further 3 songs will manage it this year (with Espresso to miss out)? Amazing outcome after it being such a rarity up to now.

Not convinced actually, but “Birds Of A Feather” might just get there. It’s selling 12k per week right now and needs 11k per week average.

I guess we’re assuming the OCC will be illogical and exclude the last week of the year even though 6 days are in 2025. Therefore only 9 weeks to go?

(At least it’s not as bad as Billboard)

This may not be relevant but could ‘Which One’ sneak into the year end charts if it is lucky? What sales is it sitting around rn

It's not even gone silver yet. It's probably around about 180-195k. It's been out for about 4 months too and there are only 2 left.

Not sure what's knocking on the door for next week but I'd have these three in trouble:

Dakota

DENIAL IS A RIVER

A Sky Full of Stars

  • Author
15 hours ago, Maestro said:

Not sure what's knocking on the door for next week but I'd have these three in trouble:

Dakota

DENIAL IS A RIVER

A Sky Full of Stars

They’re all in the current bottom 5, and then there’s a struggling group from 89-92 that will come into play in a few weeks.

There are new entries on the horizon but potentially nothing for next week. Will be interesting to see if “Another Love” can finally make it back in - I reckon it might have been #101 for the last 5 weeks straight!

I have:

Just Keep Watching 370k (but down to 11k per week so no longer outpacing the likes of “Another Love” by that much)

What It Sounds Like 330k (but quite a margin of error on this)

12 To 12 323k

The Fate Of Ophelia 291k

Where Is My Husband! 235k

On 28/10/2025 at 19:04, Julian_ said:

Not convinced actually, but “Birds Of A Feather” might just get there. It’s selling 12k per week right now and needs 11k per week average.

I’m making an early/bold prediction that Golden joins this list next year though!

Do we think Tears is in the hunt too or probably too far away?

  • Author
Just now, Maestro said:

Do we think Tears is in the hunt too or probably too far away?

254k now and about to drop below 20k per week. Bar probably around 450k so will be short I think.

2 minutes ago, Jaz13music said:

I’m making an early/bold prediction that Golden joins this list next year though!

Yeah the issue film tracks have is that they won’t necessarily have airplay beyond the film hype, so once they fall away they can really fall hard. Demon Hunters is defying any regular expectations so far though.

I wouldn’t rule out “Ordinary” either which is looking incredibly sticky.

  • Author
20 minutes ago, RobBot said:

Was trying to make BRITS predictions the other day - is Rein Me In above People Watching yet?

Not yet:

People Watching 512k for 2025 (615k total)

Rein Me In 471k

“Rein Me In” will definitely end up with higher 2025 numbers.

Your “Rein Me In” total is off slightly. We got sales in the Music Week Report: 472,422

Anyone got a sales prediction for Olivia Dean's Dive? Could be a potential wildcard?

 

And do we think Subway and Survive are completely out of the race now? If so it's kinda wild that 2 non-charity number 1's from the middle of the year will miss the year end list. I don't remember the last time that would've happened, especially in the streaming age!

  • Author
8 minutes ago, themodereviews said:

And do we think Subway and Survive are completely out of the race now? If so it's kinda wild that 2 non-charity number 1's from the middle of the year will miss the year end list. I don't remember the last time that would've happened, especially in the streaming age!

Can’t see them making it - they’re on about 310k and 340k respectively. There could be a few 2025 releases going gold before the year is out and still not making it: Chappell alone could end up with 2.

MTV Music UK had a “biggest of the year countdown” the other day and anyone know how accurate this is?

  1. Ordinary

  2. Pink Pony Club

  3. Golden

  4. Messy

  5. Love Me Not

  6. Dior

  7. APT.

  8. Sports Car

  9. Abracadabra

  10. The Fate of Ophelia

  11. Man I Need

  12. Azizam

  13. Blessings

  14. Show Me Love

  15. The Days

  16. Victory Lap

  17. Undressed

  18. Survive

  19. Rein Me On

  20. The Subway

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