2 minutes ago, Julian_ said:

Come through OCC wild Thursday overestimates for “Thriller” .

Even a #9 new peak after so many decades would be a story.

I don't confidently know if what I'm saying is correct, but if they're doing the estimates on trends throughout the week wouldn't it negatively impact 'Thriller' more than the others?

1 minute ago, Jessie Where said:

I don't confidently know if what I'm saying is correct, but if they're doing the estimates on trends throughout the week wouldn't it negatively impact 'Thriller' more than the others?

Think its meant tongue in cheek as a joke 😅

49 minutes ago, Jessie Where said:

I don't confidently know if what I'm saying is correct, but if they're doing the estimates on trends throughout the week wouldn't it negatively impact 'Thriller' more than the others?

Based on previous history we know they don’t do this very well when it comes to looking at “trends”.

Has been evident for Christmas songs and Three Lions in the past

1 hour ago, Jessie Where said:

I don't confidently know if what I'm saying is correct, but if they're doing the estimates on trends throughout the week wouldn't it negatively impact 'Thriller' more than the others?

Yeah hard to know - as Maestro says sales for “Three Lions” have spiked up on Thursday in the past after England has been knocked out when nobody’s listening to it anymore, so they don’t seem to do the trend thing that well.

58 minutes ago, Jessie Where said:

I don't confidently know if what I'm saying is correct, but if they're doing the estimates on trends throughout the week wouldn't it negatively impact 'Thriller' more than the others?

For example, this link gives the midweek figures for 'Three Lions' after England's Euro final defeat in 2021:

https://www.buzzjack.com/forums/topic/247246-friday-chart-predictions/#findComment-6911631

Its final sales for the week were 45,360.

The day on day increases were:

Mon-Tue: 13,100

Tue-Wed: 1,763

Wed-Thu: 1,037

Thu-Fri: 5,060

Of course the bulk of the 'sales' were through Spotify which reports a day behind, so the Thu-Fri difference would have included the real Spotify (+ Apple + youtube) data for Wednesday plus the estimated data for Thursday. Given the trends throughout the week, the total sales for those days combined would have been maybe 2k at best, rather than the jump by 5k seen above - so it looks like the huge streams it had early in the week led to its Thursday streaming sales being overestimated by maybe 3k at least.

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