June 21, 201114 yr Author I know how they work, and how the bookies make them. I just don't know how to apply that knowledge into making my own ones :lol: It's honestly just predictions. I have no mathematical formula to put Hendinia at 3/1 for example, I just 'assume' that it's the second most likely song to win, has a very good shot at doing so, but not such a good shot that it should be a foregone conclusion (i.e. 11/10). It's all just guesswork based on a number of factors - quality, personal opinion, how well a similar artist/genre has done in the contest in the past etc... i have no chance of winning :/ cant i be 79/1 or somthing coz 80/1 is just upsetting You never know, I've been wrong in the past!
June 21, 201114 yr Don't worry you have 1.23% chance. There's still hope :) I joke, of course :lol: Im already planning my winning celebration party :yahoo:
June 22, 201114 yr Care to share? :D Nah. It's a secret running in my family for decades! I was Mini Viva's only existing fan - and I find Britt Love's song REALLLYYYYY dull. It reminds me of a poor Robyn song. And Robyn is poor. Mikey needs to slap YOU instead for that.
June 22, 201114 yr Hopefully we'll get more than the one set of odds this month! This isn't supposed to be a 'gooddelta posts his odds and everyone else oohs and aahs for 3 pages', everyone's entitled to have a go :heehee: Remember that this is merely my personal prediction of how the songs will do, which was completely and utterly wrong last month! I'd love to see what other people think! I would do it...but it's extremely time consuming on my phone and my laptop is just plain slow. So instead I gasp over your wonderfully terrible odds you've given me! :D
June 22, 201114 yr I was expecting to be in with a better chance if I'm honest - See No More puts me strongly in mind of a male version of Battlefield which I know BJ loves. I wasn't expecting to win, I am hoping to be mid-table in the finals though!
June 22, 201114 yr It's honestly just predictions. I have no mathematical formula to put Hendinia at 3/1 for example, I just 'assume' that it's the second most likely song to win, has a very good shot at doing so, but not such a good shot that it should be a foregone conclusion (i.e. 11/10). It's all just guesswork based on a number of factors - quality, personal opinion, how well a similar artist/genre has done in the contest in the past etc... You never know, I've been wrong in the past! Oh good! :D That makes things alot simpler! I'll make some odds once I've listen to all the songs in SF1 ^_^
June 23, 201114 yr Odds to win from leading Caerfyrddia bookmaker, Bwci-Caer: 2/1 FSR Rontvia: Chart Music - All My Life 3/1 Dalisska: The Toxic Avenger feat. Annie - Alien Summer 3/1 Herzebania: Britt Love - Come With Me 4/1 Batidas: Brooke Fraser - Something In The Water 5/1 Aquafina: Alexandra Stan - Get Back Asap 5/1 People's Republic of Jester: Akcent feat. Ruxandra Bar - Feelings On Fire 6/1 Torchwood: Mike Nielsen feat. Ellen - Unnamed Love 7/1 Hendinia: Wynter Gordon - Buy My Love 7/1 Kopečka: Selena Gomez - Whiplash 8/1 FYR Vojvodina-on-the-Wold: Florrie - I Took A Little Something 8/1 Lotopialand: Seeker Lover Keeper - Even Though I'm A Woman 8/1 Numayania: Katzenwaffe Feat. Melie - Bring Me Light 10/1 Caerfyrddia: Ane Brun - Do You Remember? 10/1 Ojnoj: Misty Miller - Remember 12/1 Ashton: Kristine Elezaj - Warpath 12/1 Kylienips: Strange Talk - Eskimo Boy 12/1 UnoShake: Havana Brown - We Run The Night 14/1 Eledan: The Irrepressibles - In This Shirt 15/1 BaNG: Sharam feat. Anousheh Khalili - Fun 18/1 Tinnmark: Selah Sue - Raggamuffin 20/1 JRK-off: Jessica Folcker - Snowflakes 25/1 Utopia: Best Coast - Crazy For You 28/1 Bignia-Zaragovina: Sissel Kyrkjebø & Espen Lind - Where The Lost Ones Go 30/1 Espen: Joy Wellboy - What Baby? 30/1 Lievant: Ultraviolet Sound - Dead On The Dancefloor 33/1 Allecian: Aleesia - Life Of The Party 33/1 Kluminican Republic: Sneaky Sound System - We Love 35/1 FNT Nickodonia: Lights - My Boots 35/1 Greenfroze: Wolf Box - One For The Radio 35/1 Isconia: Pati Yang - Near To God 40/1 Farahtyn: Erika Selin - I'm A Dreamer 40/1 Letland: Capital Cities - Safe and Sound 40/1 Quintessa: Gold Motel - The Cruel One 45/1 Frahliso: Charli XCX - Stay Away 47/1 Yuxhaaq: Mint Royale - The Effect On Me 50/1 Juranabaijan: Black Gold - Breakdown 50/1 Quotosibb: Beverley Knight - One More Try 55/1 Zechonia: Heather Nova - Higher Ground 60/1 Danaelanda: Danny Dove & Ben Preston feat. Susie Ledge - Falling 60/1 Unovia: Joe Jonas - See No More 65/1 Botanikka: Besa - Engjejt te vrasin njelloj 70/1 N-Lazone: Bingo Players - Cry (Just A Little) 70/1 Persephonia: SBTRKT feat. Little Dragon - Wildfire 75/1 Fanadminaj: Justin Black - Little Miss Naked You 80/1 Budtar: Victoria Justice - Best Friends Brother 80/1 New Caprica: Jeffree Star - Beauty Killer
June 24, 201114 yr Odds to win from leading Caerfyrddia bookmaker, Bwci-Caer: 3/1 Dalisska: The Toxic Avenger feat. Annie - Alien Summer Goodness really? :lol:
June 24, 201114 yr Here are the betting odds directly from BETidas... 3/1 UnoShake: Havana Brown - We Run The Night 4/1 FSR Rontvia: Chart Music - All My Life 4/1 Ashton: Kristine Elezaj - Warpath 6/1 Numayania: Katzenwaffe Feat. Melie - Bring Me Light 7/1 Ojnoj: Misty Miller - Remember 10/1 Batidas: Brooke Fraser - Something In The Water 12/1 Kluminican Republic: Sneaky Sound System - We Love 12/1 Hendinia: Wynter Gordon - Buy My Love 12/1 Utopia: Best Coast - Crazy For You 14/1 Espen: Joy Wellboy - What Baby? 14/1 Aquafina: Alexandra Stan - Get Back Asap 14/1 BaNG: Sharam feat. Anousheh Khalili - Fun 15/1 FYR Vojvodina-on-the-Wold: Florrie - I Took A Little Something 15/1 People's Republic of Jester: Akcent feat. Ruxandra Bar - Feelings On Fire 16/1 Zechonia: Heather Nova - Higher Ground 18/1 Kopečka: Selena Gomez - Whiplash 20/1 Danaelanda: Danny Dove & Ben Preston feat. Susie Ledge - Falling 22/1 Torchwood: Mike Nielsen feat. Ellen - Unnamed Love 24/1 Allecian: Aleesia - Life Of The Party 24/1 Herzebania: Britt Love - Come With Me 25/1 Kylienips: Strange Talk - Eskimo Boy 28/1 Bignia-Zaragovina: Sissel Kyrkjebø & Espen Lind - Where The Lost Ones Go 30/1 Letland: Capital Cities - Safe and Sound 32/1 Greenfroze: Wolf Box - One For The Radio 32/1 JRK-off: Jessica Folcker - Snowflakes 34/1 Budtar: Victoria Justice - Best Friends Brother 36/1 Lievant: Ultraviolet Sound - Dead On The Dancefloor 36/1 Persephonia: SBTRKT feat. Little Dragon - Wildfire 38/1 Caerfyrddia: Ane Brun - Do You Remember? 40/1 Frahliso: Charli XCX - Stay Away 40/1 Dalisska: The Toxic Avenger feat. Annie - Alien Summer 42/1 Isconia: Pati Yang - Near To God 44/1 Quotosibb: Beverley Knight - One More Try 46/1 Botanikka: Besa - Engjejt te vrasin njelloj 48/1 Farahtyn: Erika Selin - I'm A Dreamer 50/1 Quintessa: Gold Motel - The Cruel One 52/1 Lotopialand: Seeker Lover Keeper - Even Though I'm A Woman 55/1 N-Lazone: Bingo Players - Cry (Just A Little) 56/1 Tinnmark: Selah Sue - Raggamuffin 60/1 Unovia: Joe Jonas - See No More 60/1 FNT Nickodonia: Lights - My Boots 64/1 Juranabaijan: Black Gold - Breakdown 68/1 Fanadminaj: Justin Black - Little Miss Naked You 70/1 Yuxhaaq: Mint Royale - The Effect On Me 74/1 Eledan: The Irrepressibles - In This Shirt 80/1 New Caprica: Jeffree Star - Beauty Killer
June 24, 201114 yr 12/1 Kluminican Republic: Sneaky Sound System - We Love I think these are like my highest odds ever! :lol: Reminds me that I said I'd post some too!
June 24, 201114 yr I love your odds Hitstastic :wub: I have a better chance of winning in your books as compared to 40/1 and 60/1
June 24, 201114 yr Odds from KlumBet: 6/4 Herzebania: Britt Love - Come With Me 2/1 Hendinia: Wynter Gordon - Buy My Love 5/1 Torchwood: Mike Nielsen feat. Ellen - Unnamed Love 6/1 UnoShake: Havana Brown - We Run The Night 6/1 FSR Rontvia: Chart Music - All My Life 8/1 BaNG: Sharam feat. Anousheh Khalili - Fun 8/1 Batidas: Brooke Fraser - Something In The Water 10/1 Ojnoj: Misty Miller - Remember 10/1 Ashton: Kristine Elezaj - Warpath 12/1 Aquafina: Alexandra Stan - Get Back (ASAP) 12/1 Kopečka: Selena Gomez - Whiplash 15/1 Caerfyrddia: Ane Brun - Do You Remember? 15/1 Utopia: Best Coast - Crazy For You 16/1 Letland: Capital Cities - Safe and Sound 18/1 FYR Vojvodina-on-the-Wold: Florrie - I Took A Little Something 18/1 Greenfroze: Wolf Box - One For The Radio 18/1 People's Republic of Jester: Akcent feat. Ruxandra Bar - Feelings On Fire 21/1 Kylienips: Strange Talk - Eskimo Boy 22/1 JRK-off: Jessica Folcker - Snowflakes 22/1 Numayania: Katzenwaffe Feat. Melie - Bring Me Light 24/1 Dalisska: The Toxic Avenger feat. Annie - Alien Summer 24/1 Kluminican Republic: Sneaky Sound System - We Love 26/1 Budtar: Victoria Justice - Best Friends Brother 27/1 Danaelanda: Danny Dove & Ben Preston feat. Susie Ledge - Falling 29/1 Lievant: Ultraviolet Sound - Dead On The Dancefloor 32/1 FNT Nickodonia: Lights - My Boots 34/1 Isconia: Pati Yang - Near To God 37/1 Frahliso: Charli XCX - Stay Away ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 38/1 Allecian: Aleesia - Life Of The Party 40/1 N-Lazone: Bingo Players - Cry (Just A Little) 40/1 Lotopialand: Seeker Lover Keeper - Even Though I'm A Woman 42/1 Farahtyn: Erika Selin - I'm A Dreamer 44/1 Bignia-Zaragovina: Sissel Kyrkjebø & Espen Lind - Where The Lost Ones Go 44/1 Tinnmark: Selah Sue - Raggamuffin 45/1 Espen: Joy Wellboy - What Baby? 47/1 Quintessa: Gold Motel - The Cruel One 50/1 Zechonia: Heather Nova - Higher Ground 51/1 Eledan: The Irrepressibles - In This Shirt 54/1 Unovia: Joe Jonas - See No More 54/1 Persephonia: SBTRKT feat. Little Dragon - Wildfire 55/1 Quotosibb: Beverley Knight - One More Try 56/1 Botanikka: Besa - Engjejt te vrasin njelloj 60/1 New Caprica: Jeffree Star - Beauty Killer 64/1 Juranabaijan: Black Gold - Breakdown 68/1 Fanadminaj: Justin Black - Little Miss Naked You 70/1 Yuxhaaq: Mint Royale - The Effect On Me Edited June 24, 201114 yr by Klumzee
June 24, 201114 yr My odds are getting worse with everyone who posts. :( I'm now third-least likely to win! Please stop posting your odds people. :lol: I think I'm not likely to win...but tbf, I wouldn't be surprised if I qualify and do pretty well![/confidenceinmyentry...]
June 24, 201114 yr My odds are getting worse with everyone who posts. :( I'm now third-least likely to win! Please stop posting your odds people. :lol: I think I'm not likely to win...but tbf, I wouldn't be surprised if I qualify and do pretty well![/confidenceinmyentry...] Might as well just post really bad odds for Juranabaijan, that way it can only get better. ;) Odds for Juranabaijan to win: 1'000'000/1 Only up from here!
June 24, 201114 yr My odds are getting worse with everyone who posts. :( I'm now third-least likely to win! Please stop posting your odds people. :lol: I think I'm not likely to win...but tbf, I wouldn't be surprised if I qualify and do pretty well![/confidenceinmyentry...] Sorry! I just think your entry will get a bit lost in the crowd :( Also, what was the iTunes single of the week that you tried to confirm, but it was already confirmed? Do you think you'd be doing considerably better if that was your entry?
June 24, 201114 yr Not even gonna attempt odds tbh, I pretty much agree with most of the favourites so far. Then again, look at Le Kid last month :P
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