February 9, 201312 yr Oh but odds are different from predictions, don't you know Pavel! Edited February 9, 201312 yr by Oricon
February 9, 201312 yr Yeah, I think there could just be enough support for it to get through (hopefully), it certainly stands out. But NO WAY is it winning.
February 10, 201312 yr BJSC LI SEMI FINALS: AVERAGE ODDS! I have calculated an average of all of the 6 (and a half) sets of odds posted in here for each country. These odds have been rounded to one decimal place, so where countries have the same odds the higher country will actually be more favoured than the other. So, here are the average odds for each of the two semi finals of BJSC LI in Numayania! Remember that these odds are to win the whole contest, and not just to qualify or win the semi final only. Leww's odds have been included, so the countries he did include are divided by 7 and the countries who didn't are divided by 6. AUTOMATIC QUALIFIER AQ| 15/1 Numayania SEMI FINAL 1 01| 5/1 Aeroche 02| 7/1 Bignia-Zaragovina 03| 9/1 Ramrynia 04| 14/1 Skall 05| 16/1 Mdiče 06| 17/1 #00274E 07| 17/1 Fljótavík 08| 20/1 Ingermanlandia 09| 21/1 Kluminican Republic 10| 27/1 Syndare 11| 28/1 Persephonia 12| 31/1 FSR Rontvia 13| 34/1 Kylienips 14| 34/1 Unovia 15| 40/1 Ashton 16| 46/1 Umiiruka 17| 47/1 Ben's Sanctuary 18| 49/1 Utopia 19| 54/1 Sandebörg 20| 54/1 Danaelanda 21| 55/1 Alteria 22| 62/1 Espen 23| 63/1 Mezidinia 24| 73/1 Zechonia 25| 124/1 Kopečka SEMI FINAL 2 01| 9/1 Allecian 02| 9/1 Altyr Muunilinst 03| 11/1 Hendinia 04| 11/1 N DNTN 05| 12/1 Isconia 06| 13/1 Daehun 07| 21/1 Ojnoj 08| 25/1 PRoJ 09| 26/1 Caerfyrddia 10| 27/1 Séyetana 11| 29/1 Aquafina 12| 32/1 Usfland 13| 32/1 Batidas 14| 35/1 Trifoski 15| 36/1 Greenfroze 16| 38/1 Terra Avium 17| 38/1 Juranabaijan 18| 39/1 N-Lazone 19| 40/1 Bellamia 20| 43/1 Tinnmark 21| 57/1 D'yermak'er 22| 65/1 Launica 23| 70/1 Singerpurear 24| 141/1 Palmyra 25| 2245/1 Elёdan So who do you think has been is going to outperform their odds and qualify, or who is going to underperform their odds and fail to qualify?
February 13, 201312 yr Author FINAL ODDS // → 4/1 Aeroche: Kate Boy - Northern Lights ↑ 9/2 N DNTN: Autre Ne Veut - Counting ↑ 5/1 Ramrynia: Krewella - Alive ↑ 7/1 Isconia: The Irrepressibles - Two Men In Love ↑ 7/1 Allecian: Tegan & Sara - I'm Not Your Hero ↓ 9/1 Bignia-Zaragovina: San Cisco - Beach ↓ 9/1 Skall: Elliphant - Down On Life ------------- ↑ 11/1 Mdice: Music for Sleeping Children – Georgia ↑ 14/1 Persephonia: Roses Gabor - Stars ↓ 15/1 Altyr Muunilinst: Miriam Bryant - Push Play ↓ 16/1 Hendinia: The Good Natured - 5-HT ↑ 18/1 Numayania: Petula Clark – Cut Copy Me (Hitstastic Copy And Paste Remix) ↑ 18/1 Trifoski: Curxes - Haunted Gold ↓ 20/1 Daehun: Samantha Jade - What You've Done To Me → 20/1 Syndare: Goldroom; Saint Lou Lou - Sweetness Alive ↑ 20/1 #00274E: The Other Tribe – Skirts ↑ 22/1 Greenfroze: Jillette Johnson – Cameron ↓ 22/1 Fljótavík: Chlöe Howl - Rumour ↓ 22/1 Kluminican Republic: Ace Wilder - Do It! ↑ 23/1 Bellamia: Britt Nicole – Gold → 25/1 Aquafina: Lauren Aqualina - Fools ↓ 28/1 Batidas: GJan – Tattoo ↓ 28/1 Séyetana: Katie Sky - Only You → 28/1 Kylienips: Kodaline - All I Want ↑ 30/1 Terra Avium: Woman E - You Stole That Summer (Bright Light Bright Light remix) ↑ 33/1 N-Lazone: The Bloody Beetroots; Greta Svabo Bech - Chronicles Of A Fallen Love ↑ 35/1 FSR Rontvia: Nádine - I Will Be Strong ↑ 38/1 Danaelanda: Hardwell; Amba Shepherd – Apollo ↑ 42/1 Juranabaijan: Booty Luv - Black Widow ↑ 48/1 Zechonia: Phildel - Storm Song ↓ 66/1 Espen: Sasha Go Hard - Pretty Fly There's plenty who I think will do better than this, like Espen won't come last, and Juranabaijan aswell possibly - but I don't think Sasha Go Hard or Booty Luv stand a chance of winning. I think Mdice could come top 5, but I don't see them winning as such.
February 13, 201312 yr My odds: 4/1 N DNTN: Autre Ne Veut - Counting 5/1 Aeroche: Kate Boy - Northern Lights 6/1 Allecian: Tegan & Sara - I'm Not Your Hero 6/1 Mdice: Music for Sleeping Children – Georgia 8/1 Isconia: The Irrepressibles - Two Men In Love 9/1 Fljótavík: Chlöe Howl - Rumour 9/1 Numayania: Petula Clark – Cut Copy Me (Hitstastic Copy And Paste Remix) ---------- 10/1 Altyr Muunilinst: Miriam Bryant - Push Play 10/1 Ramrynia: Krewella - Alive 12/1 #00274E: The Other Tribe – Skirts 15/1 Bignia-Zaragovina: San Cisco - Beach 15/1 Trifoski: Curxes - Haunted Gold 18/1 Hendinia: The Good Natured - 5-HT 18/1 Syndare: Goldroom; Saint Lou Lou - Sweetness Alive 20/1 Skall: Elliphant - Down On Life 20/1 Persephonia: Roses Gabor - Stars 20/1 Daehun: Samantha Jade - What You've Done To Me 22/1 Séyetana: Katie Sky - Only You 25/1 N-Lazone: The Bloody Beetroots; Greta Svabo Bech - Chronicles Of A Fallen Love 25/1 Aquafina: Lauren Aqualina - Fools 28/1 FSR Rontvia: Nádine - I Will Be Strong 30/1 Greenfroze: Jillette Johnson – Cameron 30/1 Kluminican Republic: Ace Wilder - Do It! 32/1 Terra Avium: Woman E - You Stole That Summer (Bright Light Bright Light remix) 35/1 Zechonia: Phildel - Storm Song 35/1 Bellamia: Britt Nicole – Gold 40/1 Espen: Sasha Go Hard - Pretty Fly 40/1 Juranabaijan: Booty Luv - Black Widow 40/1 Batidas: GJan – Tattoo 40/1 Kylienips: Kodaline - All I Want 40/1 Danaelanda: Hardwell; Amba Shepherd – Apollo It's such a tight final, I can't really give super long odds to anything as most seem like they have the potential to do well. Picking bottom end songs for the predicta is going to be so hard.
February 13, 201312 yr Genuinely can't remember the last time I was as widely tipped to do well! Might be as far back as Ask Embla! EDIT: Oh, well NERVO I guess...:lol: Edited February 13, 201312 yr by LexC
February 13, 201312 yr I have to say I think Kate Boy is being quite over-predicted, I think it'll definitely be top 10, but I don't see it being anywhere near winning.
February 13, 201312 yr I think Phildel is being slightly underpredicted considering she won the Nation Song Contest thingy which isn't a million miles off BJSC. Don't quite see the big appeal of it myself though. Edited February 13, 201312 yr by Bré
February 13, 201312 yr NSC and BJSC couldn't be further apart. Songs have been entered to both before and had polar opposite fortunes.
February 13, 201312 yr But aren't there also a load of songs that have smashed both? (I don't really pay attention to NSC to be fair). Not suggesting Phildel should be near the top of the odds, just that she shouldn't be right near the bottom. Who knows though. Edited February 13, 201312 yr by Bré
February 13, 201312 yr NSC and BJSC couldn't be further apart. Songs have been entered to both before and had polar opposite fortunes. Then again, Krewella won the January edition of NSC this year and previous winners of BJSC have smashed in NSC and vice versa as well.
February 13, 201312 yr I'll just keep quiet about my entry, let it sink down the odds to ~15th and let it do unexpectedly well like the last two contests. :D Hopefully.
February 14, 201312 yr I think Phildel is being slightly underpredicted considering she won the Nation Song Contest thingy which isn't a million miles off BJSC. Don't quite see the big appeal of it myself though. No comment. :kink: :D
February 14, 201312 yr Final odds from FSR Rontvia's Rontbet! 4/1 Aeroche: Kate Boy - Northern Lights 4/1 N DNTN: Autre Ne Veut - Counting 5/1 Ramrynia: Krewella - Alive 8/1 Isconia: The Irrepressibles - Two Men In Love 8/1 Mdice: Music for Sleeping Children – Georgia 8/1 Bignia-Zaragovina: San Cisco - Beach 10/1 Allecian: Tegan & Sara - I'm Not Your Hero 10/1 #00274E: The Other Tribe – Skirts ---------------- 14/1 Altyr Muunilinst: Miriam Bryant - Push Play 14/1 Numayania: Petula Clark – Cut Copy Me (Hitstastic Copy And Paste Remix) 15/1 Fljótavík: Chlöe Howl - Rumour 15/1 Hendinia: The Good Natured - 5-HT 18/1 Greenfroze: Jillette Johnson – Cameron 20/1 Daehun: Samantha Jade - What You've Done To Me 20/1 N-Lazone: The Bloody Beetroots; Greta Svabo Bech - Chronicles Of A Fallen Love 20/1 Skall: Elliphant - Down On Life 20/1 Trifoski: Curxes - Haunted Gold 20/1 Persephonia: Roses Gabor - Stars 22/1 Syndare: Goldroom; Saint Lou Lou - Sweetness Alive 22/1 Kluminican Republic: Ace Wilder - Do It! 25/1 Zechonia: Phildel - Storm Song 25/1 Séyetana: Katie Sky - Only You 25/1 Aquafina: Lauren Aqualina - Fools 30/1 Danaelanda: Hardwell; Amba Shepherd – Apollo 30/1 Espen: Sasha Go Hard - Pretty Fly 30/1 FSR Rontvia: Nádine - I Will Be Strong 35/1 Batidas: GJan – Tattoo 35/1 Terra Avium: Woman E - You Stole That Summer (Bright Light Bright Light remix) 35/1 Bellamia: Britt Nicole – Gold 40/1 Juranabaijan: Booty Luv - Black Widow 40/1 Kylienips: Kodaline - All I Want Potential winners above the line and I have to be honest, I don't care for the majority of them so I hope I'm wrong :lol: The tastes in this contest have gone in the complete opposite direction to my own, still weeping for The Deserters!
February 14, 201312 yr You know you're doing poorly when Zechonia are higher than you in the odds. :D
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