Sunday Chart Predictions

Predicting the 14/09 to 20/09 chart

 

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Don't blame it on John Newman, blame it on George Ezra

Proving that an On Air/On Sale release strategy can pay off, Calvin Harris' latest single that features vocals from John Newman, 'Blame', seems to be heading to #1 - which would make it his 11th number one when including all solo, featured and produced work, along with his remix of Florence + the Machine's 'Spectrum' which was used as the single version. However last week's number one 'Prayer in C' by Robin Schulz & LILLYWOOD (note how the names have switched which makes it the 86th artist credit change for it) is hot on its tail, especially as it has been storming on streams. Contenders for Top 10 placings also included the instrumental track 'Walking With Elephants' by Ten Walls and Chris Brown's latest single 'New Flame' which features Usher and Rick Ross. After just missing out on a Top 40 re-entry last week after being covered on X Factor, A Great Big World & Christina Aguilera's 'Say Something' now has another chance of re-entering as it was again performed by a contestant on X Factor. 5 Seconds of Summer's 'Amnesia' and George Ezra's 'Blame It On Me' should both have big climbs this week.

 

In the albums, frontman of rock band Led Zeppelin, Robert Plant is looking to be the favourite to reach #1 out of the new entries as he releases his tenth studio album Lullaby and... The Ceaseless Roar. Last week's Top 3 of Sam Smith, Royal Blood and Ed Sheeran could also be likely contenders for the #1 spot too. Hoping for a place in the Top 10 are albums by Interpol, Ryan Adams, Deacon Blue and Banks, with Jhené Aiko, The Kooks, Death from Above 1979 and Phillip Phillips also aiming to chart.

 

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Please note new changes to the Sunday Chart Predictions thread topic:

 

Tuesday/Thursday - There will be no mids from MW for Tuesday and Thursday, however they may come from other sources - this is not always guaranteed. You can still post your own predictions for the week to generate chat to the topic.

 

Wednesday - Radio 1 Chart Top 40 mid update will be posted with links to Radio 1 and any other chart info from MW and OCC from 3:30pm to 4pm

 

Friday - Final Mid update from MW from 11am onwards.

 

To keep everyone in the loop of all chart action please refer to the iTunes thread topic.

Tuesday Update Top 40 Only

 

Singles

 

1 Calvin Harris feat. John Newman - Blame (26.8k) *

2 Ten Walls - Walking With Elephants (20.5k) *

3 5 Seconds Of Summer - Amnesia (19.6k)

4 Lilly Wood and Robin Schulz - Prayer In C (18.5k)

5 Chris Brown feat. Usher and Rick Ross - New Flame (14.4k) *

 

6-10

10 A Great Big World and Christina Aguilera - Say Something ^

 

11-20

11 Mr Probz - Waves

 

21-30

21 George Ezra - Blame It On Me

23 John Legend - All Of Me

27 Clean Bandit feat. Jess Glynne - Rather Be

 

31-40

39 Paloma Faith - Only Love Can Hurt Like This ^

40 Train - Angel In Blue Jeans *

 

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 

Albums

 

1 Robert Plant - lullaby and... The Ceaseless Roar (9.3k) *

2 Sam Smith - In The Lonely Hour (8.4k)

3 Ed Sheeran - x (6.9k)

4 Royal Blood - Royal Blood (5.6k)

5 Ryan Adams - Ryan Adams (4.8k) *

 

6-10

6 Interpol - El Pintor *

7 Queen - Live At The Rainbow '74 *

9 The Kooks - Listen *

10 Deacon Blue - A New House *

 

11-20

11 Stiff Little Fingers - No Going Back *

14 Bob Marley & The Wailers - Legend - The Best Of ^

16 BANKS - Goddess *

 

21-30

22 Status Quo - The Frantic Four's Final Fling - Live At The Dublin O2 Arena *

23 Phillip Phillips - The World From The Side Of The Moon *

26 M.A.D - M.A.D *

28 Smokey Robinson - Smokey & Friends *

29 Death From Above 1979 - The Physical World *

 

31-40

31 In Flames - Siren Charms *

34 Paul Carrack - The Best Of *

37 Amplifier - Mystoria *

39 Calvin Harris - 18 Months ^

Wednesday Update Top 40 Only

Source: Radio 1/OCC

 

Top 40 Singles

 

1 Calvin Harris feat. John Newman - Blame *

2 Lilly Wood and Robin Schulz - Prayer In C

3 Ten Walls - Walking With Elephants *

4 5 Seconds Of Summer - Amnesia

5 Taylor Swift - Shake It Off

 

6-10

6 Chris Brown feat. Usher and Rick Ross - New Flame *

 

11-20

11 Mr Probz - Waves

13 A Great Big World and Christina Aguilera - Say Something ^

 

21-30

22 George Ezra - Blame It On Me

23 John Legend - All Of Me

28 Clean Bandit feat. Jess Glynne - Rather Be

 

31-40

39 Paolo Nutini - Iron Sky *

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio1/chart/updatesingles/print

 

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Top 40 Albums

 

1 Robert Plant - lullaby and... The Ceaseless Roar *

2 Sam Smith - In The Lonely Hour

3 Ed Sheeran - x

4 Royal Blood - Royal Blood

5 Ryan Adams - Ryan Adams *

 

6-10

6 Interpol - El Pintor *

8 Queen - Live At The Rainbow '74 *

9 Bob Marley & The Wailers - Legend - The Best Of ^

10 The Kooks - Listen *

 

11-20

12 Deacon Blue - A New House *

15 Stiff Little Fingers - No Going Back *

17 BANKS - Goddess *

20 Jhené Aiko - Souled Out *

 

21-30

23 Status Quo - The Frantic Four's Final Fling - Live At The Dublin O2 Arena *

26 Smokey Robinson - Smokey & Friends *

27 M.A.D - M.A.D *

30 Phillip Phillips - The World From The Side Of The Moon *

 

31-40

31 Death From Above 1979 - The Physical World *

37 In Flames - Siren Charms *

38 Paul Carrack - The Best Of *

39 Calvin Harris - 18 Months ^

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio1/chart/updatealbums/print

Friday Update Top 40 Only

 

Singles

 

1 Calvin Harris feat. John Newman - Blame (??.?k) *

2 Lilly Wood and Robin Schulz - Prayer In C (??.?k)

3 Ten Walls - Walking With Elephants (??.?k) *

4 5 Seconds Of Summer - Amnesia (??.?k)

5 Taylor Swift - Shake It Off (??.?k)

 

6-10

8 Chris Brown feat. Usher and Rick Ross - New Flame *

 

11-20

15 Mr Probz - Waves

17 Fall Out Boy - Centuries *

 

21-30

22 A Great Big World and Christina Aguilera - Say Something ^

23 George Ezra - Blame It On Me

28 Clean Bandit feat. Jess Glynne - Rather Be

 

31-40

40 Paolo Nutini - Iron Sky *

 

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 

Albums

 

1 Robert Plant - lullaby and... The Ceaseless Roar (??.?k) *

2 Sam Smith - In The Lonely Hour (??.?k)

3 Ed Sheeran - x (??.?k)

4 Royal Blood - Royal Blood (??.?k)

5 George Ezra - Wanted On Voyage (??.?k)

 

6-10

6 Ryan Adams - Ryan Adams *

7 Bob Marley & The Wailers - Legend - The Best Of ^

8 Interpol - El Pintor *

9 Queen - Live At The Rainbow '74 *

 

11-20

12 The Kooks - Listen *

14 Deacon Blue - A New House *

18 BANKS - Goddess *

19 Jhené Aiko - Souled Out *

 

21-30

21 Stiff Little Fingers - No Going Back *

22 Smokey Robinson - Smokey & Friends *

28 Status Quo - The Frantic Four's Final Fling - Live At The Dublin O2 Arena *

30 Pharrell - G I R L

 

31-40

31 Death From Above 1979 - The Physical World *

36 M.A.D - M.A.D *

37 New Model Army - Between Wine & Blood *

39 Paul Carrack - The Best Of *

40 Calvin Harris - 18 Months ^

 

NO SALES INFO

I think it could be close between Lilly and Calvin for number one on the singles. Either way I will be happy with this weeks number one!

 

Hopefully Ten Walls can go top 5 but I'm hoping that streaming wont mean it doesn't chart as high as it should!

Hoping Lily for 1 and Amelia to somehow sneak in the top 40 on first update

Grant Richard5 ‏@djgrantrichards 2m

Seen the midweeks & @calvinharris is edging @tenwallsmusic to No1. Wouldn't it be quality having ???????? at No1 though? Calvin already has loads

 

 

https://twitter.com/djgrantrichards

 

Ten Walls I'm assuming is #2

The Kooks for top 3 minimum in the albums. Robert Plant will likely take the top spot, that said, i had myself convinced The Script were releasing this week, ideally, they will take number 1 next week. I am interested to see how the new Deacon Blue album debuts.

 

Calvin Harris would be my preferred choice for number 1 single and while it deserves to be a minimum top 10 hit i now have just have small hopes of Amelia Lily achieving another top 75 hit.

Edited September 9, 201411 yr by pippa

Along with those albums predicted to chart, I'd add Smokey Robinson and possibly Sharon Corr to that list

Hoping Banks can make some sort of impact on the album chart but not sure about the extent of her presence as of yet. Jhené too but she really won't be making a dent at all unfortunately.

https://twitter.com/djgrantrichards

 

Ten Walls I'm assuming is #2

 

C'mon CALVIN!!!!!!!

I want to Ten Walls to be #1.

I want to Ten Walls to be #1.

 

It would be an amazing #1 for sure. But I think it'll go down as a classic, regardless of what's #1 this week.

Mids are in + sales, see second post above

wtf at 5 Seconds of Summer, how :blink:

That seems ridiculously high for 5SOS seeing as it's not even top 20 on iTunes, was it out on CD this week?

 

A Great Big World top 10 too :o I've clearly not paid enough attention this week.

 

 

wtf at 5 Seconds of Summer, how :blink:

 

It's the song's release week isn't it? It's got an EP and physicals I think.

 

The mid-weeks do look a bit strange though. A Great Big World and Mr. Probz are higher than I'd expect.

Edited September 9, 201411 yr by Eric_Blob

wtf at 5 Seconds of Summer, how :blink:

 

they performed on Strictly Sunday night

lol 5SOS?!

 

The boy bands slay at bringing in multiple - buys.

Edited September 9, 201411 yr by Joe.

What is going on with A Great Big World and Christina Aguilera?

 

Calvin Harris is very much on course for another number 1 hit with the sales margins and i would believe streaming would be in his favour. 5 Seconds of Summer are guaranteed a top 10 hit now, that is looking at it from a conservative point of view where the sales will fall away for them, amnesia must surely have over 30,000 sales built up prior to this week????that will help them achieve overall decent sales for the single. Wonderful that Train are top 40 but i am not fooled into believing they will stay there :cry:

 

 

Like Train, its a lovely start in the album chart for Deacon Blue, i will think in a positive manner that they can achieve a top 20 album. The Kooks, what has gone wrong here??? unlike many other bands of their era they have recently managed 2 top 40 hits which is good considering how bands fail to chart so i fully expected a much higher debut, it is a near certainty that they will miss the top 10 now :cry: Sam Smith could potentially block Robert Plant from number 1.