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I've had 8/10 qualifiers in each of the last 2 years and will match that again this year if I can manage to sneak through this time ~ (on the other hand if I DNQ it'll be my first year with 3+ DNQs since 2013 so let's not let that happen).
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'BB' samples 'Viva Forever'? Is it extremely subtle or am I just deaf? I've never noticed that and I must have listened to that song at least 15 times already!

 

(My sense is that song won't be a win contender but hopefully at least a return to top 10, it is better than 'O' and that came 9th so x)

 

It’s distorted and definitely subtle but I noticed it immediately on first listen. You can just about make out the ‘ever searching’ bit in the high pitched bit, including in the intro. It’s a very clever sample.

 

Can't wait for that 4th consecutive DNQ

 

I think you should q quite easily this time! And should be a top 20 contender in the final.

SEMI 1

 

01 Dobago // Cam - Diane

02 Ultraviolenceland // Sabrina Carpenter - Thumbs

03 Persephonia // Vegyn - Debold

04 Altyr Muunilinst // Winona Oak - Let Me Know

05 Summericia // Marnik & SMACK - Gam Gam

06 Land of DW // Cortney Dixon - Summer's Eyes

07 Skall // How To Dress Well - Repeat Pleasure

08 Aeroche // Shygirl - BB

09 Jupiterdonia // SSION - At Least The Sky Is Blue (feat. Ariel Pink)

10 Fljótavík // The Subs vs. Tsar B - Flesh & Bones

11 Thelonia // Big Gigantic - Where I Wanna Be

12 Holland-Oats // Thelma Plum - Clumsy Love

13 Deandria // Rubio - Fábula

14 Danæviia // CloudNone & Laura Brehm - Changed

15 Daehun // MAMAMOO - HIP

16 Sandénia // Elliot Jones - i'm in love

17 Bøtanikkä // Mo-Do - Eins, Zwei, Polizei

18 Rolloland // After The Fire - Der Kommissar

19 Terra Avium // Efisio Cross - Can I Keep You

20 Suedeonia // SAINT MOTEL - 1997

21 Singerpurear // Army Of Lovers - Crucified

22 Aesthetica // AleXa - Bomb

23 Cadelicia // BRKLYN - Steal Your Heart (feat. Lenachka)

24 Tinnmark // HAYES & Mugisho - Now Or Never

25 Aelandor // Violet Days - Just A Little

26 Hushkanukia // Genelle - Told You So

 

Biggest Contenders (A-Z): Aeroche, Altyr Muunilinst, Danæviia, Dobago, Fljótavík, Ultraviolenceland

Next (A-Z): Deandria, Jupiterdonia

SEMI TWO

 

01 Flynnonda // Loïc Nottet - Candy

02 Wholune // Hey Violet - Clean

03 Lotunia // Tiffany Young - Magnetic Moon

04 Jadakissnia // OTHERLiiNE - Chimes

05 East Rukahavian // LEO - Kultaa

06 FSR Rontvia // Spinifex Gum & Marliya Choir - Sisters

07 Niceland // DJ Outlaw - Bahrain Unite (feat. Flipperachi, May Alqasim, Mohammed Janahi, Rashid Hanthal & The Mystro)

08 United States of Jack // M.O - Ex At The Party

09 République d'Áskorza // Incognet - Back For

10 FARC // shades. - dance when I'm 72.

11 Vülkyria // Capital Cities - Gatekeeper Julie (feat. Jim Svejda)

12 Trifoski // Big Black Delta - Side Of The Road

13 The Actual Republic of Bellamia // Conan Gray - Maniac

14 Cor Lupus // Alok & Zafrir - Vale Vale

15 Oslol // Alyssa Reid - Satisfaction Guaranteed

16 Arcodesia // Sebastien - Escape (feat. Satellite Empire)

17 Harmonica // Voice Of The Beehive - Scary Kisses

18 New Lexico // Lea Rue - Watching You (Gaillard Remix)

19 Espen // Claire Laffut & Yseult - Nudes

20 Greenfroze // Perfume - Everyday

21 Budtar // Hardwell & Mike Williams - I'm Not Sorry

22 Séyetana // YUI - Again

23 Tartford // Alides Hidding - Hollywood Seven

24 Taahino // UPSAHL - Stressed

25 Beaverdonia // GHOSTEMANE - Mercury: Retrograde

26 Scherzland // Kah-Lo - Exit Sign

 

Biggest Contenders (A-Z): Beaverdonia, FARC, Harmonica, New Lexico, Scherzland

Next (A-Z): Budtar, Flynnonda, Greenfroze

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Oops haha. I was so pleased with this entry too, was not expecting to be a no hoper at all. I’ve been hammering it so much though so probably lost all sense of objectivity by the 10th listen but to me the whole album is so beautiful and mesmerising, one of my finds of the year by a long way.

3/1 Fljótavík // The Subs vs. Tsar B - Flesh & Bones

4/1 Ultraviolenceland // Sabrina Carpenter - Thumbs

5/1 FARC // shades. - dance when I'm 72.

6/1 Scherzland // Kah-Lo - Exit Sign

8/1 Dobago // Cam - Diane

8/1 Unovia // LEDGER - Not Dead Yet

---

10/1 Altyr Muunilinst // Winona Oak - Let Me Know

10/1 Danæviia // CloudNone & Laura Brehm - Changed

10/1 Aeroche // Shygirl - BB

12/1 Taahino // UPSAHL - Stressed

15/1 Beaverdonia // GHOSTEMANE - Mercury: Retrograde

15/1 Harmonica // Voice Of The Beehive - Scary Kisses

18/1 New Lexico // Lea Rue - Watching You (Gaillard Remix)

18/1 Ojnoj // SONIKKU - Sweat (feat. LIZ)

20/1 Oslol // Alyssa Reid - Satisfaction Guaranteed

20/1 Bøtanikkä // Mo-Do - Eins, Zwei, Polizei

20/1 Cor Lupus // Alok & Zafrir - Vale Vale

22/1 United States of Jack // M.O - Ex At The Party

22/1 Summericia // Marnik & SMACK - Gam Gam

22/1 Jadakissnia // OTHERLiiNE - Chimes

22/1 The Actual Republic of Bellamia // Conan Gray - Maniac

22/1 Terra Avium // Efisio Cross - Can I Keep You

25/1 Singerpurear // Army Of Lovers - Crucified

25/1 Jupiterdonia // SSION - At Least The Sky Is Blue (feat. Ariel Pink)

30/1 Skall // How To Dress Well - Repeat Pleasure

30/1 République d'Áskorza // Incognet - Back For

33/1 Thelonia // Big Gigantic - Where I Wanna Be

33/1 Suedeonia // SAINT MOTEL - 1997

33/1 Aelandor // Violet Days - Just A Little

33/1 Aesthetica // AleXa - Bomb

35/1 Hushkanukia // Genelle - Told You So

35/1 Lotunia // Tiffany Young - Magnetic Moon

35/1 Wholune // Hey Violet - Clean

35/1 Trifoski // Big Black Delta - Side Of The Road

40/1 Vülkyria // Capital Cities - Gatekeeper Julie (feat. Jim Svejda)

40/1 Rolloland // After The Fire - Der Kommissar

40/1 Espen // Claire Laffut & Yseult - Nudes

45/1 Arcodesia // Sebastien - Escape (feat. Satellite Empire)

45/1 Holland-Oats // Thelma Plum - Clumsy Love

50/1 Land of DW // Cortney Dixon - Summer's Eyes

50/1 Deandria // Rubio - Fábula

55/1 Greenfroze // Perfume - Everyday

60/1 Tinnmark // HAYES & Mugisho - Now Or Never

60/1 Persephonia // Vegyn - Debold

70/1 Séyetana // YUI - Again

70/1 Flynnonda // Loïc Nottet - Candy

75/1 Daehun // MAMAMOO - HIP

77/1 Budtar // Hardwell & Mike Williams - I'm Not Sorry

80/1 Sandénia // Elliot Jones - i'm in love

90/1 FSR Rontvia // Spinifex Gum & Marliya Choir - Sisters

100/1 Cadelicia // BRKLYN - Steal Your Heart (feat. Lenachka)

120/1 East Rukahavian // LEO - Kultaa

150/1 Tartford // Alides Hidding - Hollywood Seven

200/1 Niceland // DJ Outlaw - Bahrain Unite (feat. Flipperachi, May Alqasim, Mohammed Janahi, Rashid Hanthal & The Mystro)

at this point I see either a close shave DNQ or qualifying but flopping in the final and I’ve kinda resigned myself to that :(

Semi-Final 1

 

01 Dobago // Cam - Diane

02 Ultraviolenceland // Sabrina Carpenter - Thumbs

03 Persephonia // Vegyn - Debold

04 Altyr Muunilinst // Winona Oak - Let Me Know

05 Summericia // Marnik and SMACK - Gam Gam

06 Land of DW // Cortney Dixon - Summer's Eyes

07 Skall // How To Dress Well - Repeat Pleasure

08 Aeroche // Shygirl - BB

09 Jupiterdonia // SSION - At Least The Sky Is Blue (feat. Ariel Pink)

10 Fljótavík // The Subs vs. Tsar B - Flesh & Bones

11 Thelonia // Big Gigantic - Where I Wanna Be

12 Holland-Oats // Thelma Plum - Clumsy Love

13 Deandria // Rubio - Fábula

14 Danæviia // CloudNone and Laura Brehm - Changed

15 Daehun // MAMAMOO - HIP

16 Sandénia // Elliot Jones - i'm in love

17 Bøtanikkä // Mo-Do - Eins, Zwei, Polizei

18 Rolloland // After The Fire - Der Kommissar

19 Terra Avium // Efisio Cross - Can I Keep You

20 Suedeonia // SAINT MOTEL - 1997

21 Singerpurear // Army Of Lovers - Crucified

22 Aesthetica // AleXa - Bomb

23 Cadelicia // BRKLYN - Steal Your Heart (feat. Lenachka)

24 Tinnmark // HAYES and Mugisho - Now Or Never

25 Aelandor // Violet Days - Just A Little

26 Hushkanukia // Genelle - Told You So

 

Borderline in: Jupiterdonia, Holland-Oats (would think this was a safe qualifier but if it has a deduction...), Deandria, Rolloland

Borderline out: Persephonia (being pessimistic but I think I actually have an ok chance in this semi), Skall (again with the deduction, I think I'd have said borderline in otherwise), Daehun, Aesthetica

 

Semi-Final 2

 

01 Flynnonda // Loïc Nottet - Candy

02 Wholune // Hey Violet - Clean

03 Lotunia // Tiffany Young - Magnetic Moon

04 Jadakissnia // OTHERLiiNE - Chimes

05 East Rukahavian // LEO - Kultaa

06 FSR Rontvia // Spinifex Gum - Sisters

07 Niceland // DJ Outlaw - Bahrain Unite (feat. Flipperachi, May Alqasim, Mohammed Janahi, Rashid Hanthal and The Mystro)

08 United States of Jack // M.O - Ex At The Party

09 République d'Áskorza // Incognet - Back For

10 FARC // shades. - dance when I'm 72.

11 Vülkyria // Capital Cities - Gatekeeper Julie (feat. Jim Svejda)

12 Trifoski // Big Black Delta - Side Of The Road

13 The Actual Republic of Bellamia // Conan Gray - Maniac

14 Cor Lupus // Alok and Zafrir - Vale Vale

15 Oslol // Alyssa Reid - Satisfaction Guaranteed

16 Arcodesia // Sebastien - Escape (feat. Satellite Empire)

17 Harmonica // Voice Of The Beehive - Scary Kisses

18 New Lexico // Lea Rue - Watching You (Gaillard Remix)

19 Espen // Claire Laffut and Yseult - Nudes

20 Greenfroze // Perfume - Everyday

21 Budtar // Hardwell and Mike Williams - I'm Not Sorry

22 Séyetana // YUI - again

23 Tartford // Alides Hidding - Hollywood Seven

24 Taahino // UPSAHL - Stressed

25 Beaverdonia // GHOSTEMANE - Mercury: Retrograde

26 Scherzland // Kah-Lo - Exit Sign

 

Borderline in: Lotunia, FSR Rontvia, Arcodesia, Beaverdonia (I wanna believe this'll be safe as it went down well on plug.dj but idk xx)

Borderline out: Wholune (because of the deduction again, it might be ok anyway as it's a pretty poppy semi), East Rukahavian, Trifoski, Budtar

SEMI 1

01 Dobago // Cam - Diane

02 Ultraviolenceland // Sabrina Carpenter - Thumbs

03 Persephonia // Vegyn - Debold

04 Altyr Muunilinst // Winona Oak - Let Me Know

05 Summericia // Marnik & SMACK - Gam Gam

06 Land of DW // Cortney Dixon - Summer's Eyes

07 Skall // How To Dress Well - Repeat Pleasure

08 Aeroche // Shygirl - BB

09 Jupiterdonia // SSION - At Least The Sky Is Blue (feat. Ariel Pink)

10 Fljótavík // The Subs vs. Tsar B - Flesh & Bones

11 Thelonia // Big Gigantic - Where I Wanna Be

12 Holland-Oats // Thelma Plum - Clumsy Love

13 Deandria // Rubio - Fábula

14 Danæviia // CloudNone & Laura Brehm - Changed

15 Daehun // MAMAMOO - HIP

16 Sandénia // Elliot Jones - i'm in love

17 Bøtanikkä // Mo-Do - Eins, Zwei, Polizei

18 Rolloland // After The Fire - Der Kommissar

19 Terra Avium // Efisio Cross - Can I Keep You

20 Suedeonia // SAINT MOTEL - 1997

21 Singerpurear // Army Of Lovers - Crucified

22 Aesthetica // AleXa - Bomb

23 Cadelicia // BRKLYN - Steal Your Heart (feat. Lenachka)

24 Tinnmark // HAYES & Mugisho - Now Or Never

25 Aelandor // Violet Days - Just A Little

26 Hushkanukia // Genelle - Told You So

 

Next in line; Sandenia, Land of DW, Jupiterdonia, Cadelicia, Suedeonia

 

preparing for two of the best songs (Skall/Suedeonia) to be out already...

 

SEMI 2

01 Flynnonda // Loïc Nottet - Candy

02 Wholune // Hey Violet - Clean

03 Lotunia // Tiffany Young - Magnetic Moon

04 Jadakissnia // OTHERLiiNE - Chimes

05 East Rukahavian // LEO - Kultaa

06 FSR Rontvia // Spinifex Gum & Marliya Choir - Sisters

07 Niceland // DJ Outlaw - Bahrain Unite (feat. Flipperachi, May Alqasim, Mohammed Janahi, Rashid Hanthal & The Mystro)

08 United States of Jack // M.O - Ex At The Party

09 République d'Áskorza // Incognet - Back For

10 FARC // shades. - dance when I'm 72.

11 Vülkyria // Capital Cities - Gatekeeper Julie (feat. Jim Svejda)

12 Trifoski // Big Black Delta - Side Of The Road

13 The Actual Republic of Bellamia // Conan Gray - Maniac

14 Cor Lupus // Alok & Zafrir - Vale Vale

15 Oslol // Alyssa Reid - Satisfaction Guaranteed

16 Arcodesia // Sebastien - Escape (feat. Satellite Empire)

17 Harmonica // Voice Of The Beehive - Scary Kisses

18 New Lexico // Lea Rue - Watching You (Gaillard Remix)

19 Espen // Claire Laffut & Yseult - Nudes

20 Greenfroze // Perfume - Everyday

21 Budtar // Hardwell & Mike Williams - I'm Not Sorry

22 Séyetana // YUI - Again

23 Tartford // Alides Hidding - Hollywood Seven

24 Taahino // UPSAHL - Stressed

25 Beaverdonia // GHOSTEMANE - Mercury: Retrograde

26 Scherzland // Kah-Lo - Exit Sign

 

Next in line; Espen, Vulkyria, Seyetana, East Ruk

 

SEMI 2

01 Flynnonda // Loïc Nottet - Candy

02 Wholune // Hey Violet - Clean

03 Lotunia // Tiffany Young - Magnetic Moon

04 Jadakissnia // OTHERLiiNE - Chimes

05 East Rukahavian // LEO - Kultaa

06 FSR Rontvia // Spinifex Gum & Marliya Choir - Sisters

07 Niceland // DJ Outlaw - Bahrain Unite (feat. Flipperachi, May Alqasim, Mohammed Janahi, Rashid Hanthal & The Mystro)

08 United States of Jack // M.O - Ex At The Party

09 République d'Áskorza // Incognet - Back For

10 FARC // shades. - dance when I'm 72.

11 Vülkyria // Capital Cities - Gatekeeper Julie (feat. Jim Svejda)

12 Trifoski // Big Black Delta - Side Of The Road

13 The Actual Republic of Bellamia // Conan Gray - Maniac

14 Cor Lupus // Alok & Zafrir - Vale Vale

15 Oslol // Alyssa Reid - Satisfaction Guaranteed

16 Arcodesia // Sebastien - Escape (feat. Satellite Empire)

17 Harmonica // Voice Of The Beehive - Scary Kisses

18 New Lexico // Lea Rue - Watching You (Gaillard Remix)

19 Espen // Claire Laffut & Yseult - Nudes

20 Greenfroze // Perfume - Everyday

21 Budtar // Hardwell & Mike Williams - I'm Not Sorry

22 Séyetana // YUI - Again

23 Tartford // Alides Hidding - Hollywood Seven

24 Taahino // UPSAHL - Stressed

25 Beaverdonia // GHOSTEMANE - Mercury: Retrograde

26 Scherzland // Kah-Lo - Exit Sign

 

I’m probably only hesitant about beaverdonia’s chances bc I have a feeling it could get swallowed by the poppiness of this semi but I think it might be niche enough to get through. Gonna place that as a borderline in

 

next in line: budtar, flynnonda, east rukh, rontvia, maybe me?

things that work against beaverdonia: it’s in a poppy semi

things that work in beaver’s favor: it’s in a meh semi, only 8 DNQ slots (most of which are predicted to be locked in already)

 

UPDATE: i think wholune can be borderline too

things that work against it: deduction, which could send it into DNQ status if points are low enough (so early Rejects contender?)

things that work in its favor: it’s in a poppy semi so it probably got enough points to qualify anyway

  • Author

Odds for the final from RontBet:

 

3/1 Fljótavík // The Subs vs. Tsar B - Flesh & Bones

5/1 Ultraviolenceland // Sabrina Carpenter - Thumbs

5/1 Aeroche // Shygirl - BB

7/1 New Lexico // Lea Rue - Watching You (Gaillard Remix)

8/1 Scherzland // Kah-Lo - Exit Sign

--------------

10/1 Jadakissnia // OTHERLiiNE - Chimes

10/1 Ojnoj // SONIKKU - Sweat (feat. LIZ)

10/1 Dobago // Cam - Diane

10/1 FARC // shades. - dance when I'm 72.

12/1 Danæviia // CloudNone & Laura Brehm - Changed

14/1 Harmonica // Voice Of The Beehive - Scary Kisses

14/1 Unovia // LEDGER - Not Dead Yet

15/1 Altyr Muunilinst // Winona Oak - Let Me Know

16/1 Oslol // Alyssa Reid - Satisfaction Guaranteed

16/1 Taahino // UPSAHL - Stressed

16/1 République d'Áskorza // Incognet - Back For

16/1 Summericia // Marnik & SMACK - Gam Gam

18/1 United States of Jack // M.O - Ex At The Party

20/1 Holland-Oats // Thelma Plum - Clumsy Love

20/1 Singerpurear // Army Of Lovers - Crucified

20/1 Thelonia // Big Gigantic - Where I Wanna Be

22/1 Wholune // Hey Violet - Clean

22/1 Deandria // Rubio - Fábula

22/1 Jupiterdonia // SSION - At Least The Sky Is Blue (feat. Ariel Pink)

24/1 Terra Avium // Efisio Cross - Can I Keep You

24/1 The Actual Republic of Bellamia // Conan Gray - Maniac

24/1 Espen // Claire Laffut & Yseult - Nudes

24/1 Arcodesia // Sebastien - Escape (feat. Satellite Empire)

25/1 Persephonia // Vegyn - Debold

25/1 Hushkanukia // Genelle - Told You So

25/1 Trifoski // Big Black Delta - Side Of The Road

25/1 Rolloland // After The Fire - Der Kommissar

25/1 FSR Rontvia // Spinifex Gum & Marliya Choir - Sisters

28/1 Land of DW // Cortney Dixon - Summer's Eyes

28/1 Greenfroze // Perfume - Everyday

30/1 Budtar // Hardwell & Mike Williams - I'm Not Sorry

35/1 Sandénia // Elliot Jones - i'm in love

38/1 Tartford // Alides Hidding - Hollywood Seven

 

I mean it's relatively open but I wouldn't expect the winner to come from outside those above the line. I feel like New Lexico is definitely one to watch but Fljótavík does sound like a winner, and so do Ultraviolenceland and Aeroche. Hopeful my entry will be higher up the table, but these are odds to win not odds for where I think things will finish.

I think Scherzland should be right up with Fljotavik and UVland, they seem more likely to me than Aeroche/NewLexico

Those are pleasing odds for me too, hopefully after our 11th last time we can get on the right side of the top 10.

I am just going to bask in the rare great FLJ odds while they last! :lol:

 

I really wasn't expecting it to be so well received (by the couple of people who do odds!) and it wouldn't surprise me if it underperforms, I'm expecting a fair amount of low to middle points scores as I can't imagine many people hating it but I also can't see it being many people's favourite song in the final either. I think it's a pretty strong field this time.

Predictions:

 

Altyr surprise winner, UVLand second

Oslol top 5

Aeroche to get 39+ points more than FARC to get YTD #1

Dobago finishes 19th

Tartford avoids bottom 10

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