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How big do you think 30’s first week sales will be? 217 members have voted

  1. 1. How big do you think 30?s first week sales will be?

    • 50,000 to 99,999
      4
    • 100,000 to 149,999
      4
    • 150,000 to 199,999
      3
    • 200,000 to 249,999
      16
    • 250,000 to 299,999
      18
    • 300,000 to 349,999
      17
    • 350,000 to 399,999
      19
    • 400,000 to 449,999
      24
    • 450,000 to 499,999
      20
    • 500,000 to 549,999
      20
    • 500,000 to 599,999
      12
    • 600,000 to 649,999
      11
    • 650,000 to 699,999
      7
    • 700,000 to 749,999
      4
    • 750,000 to 799,999
      3
    • 800,000 to 849,999
      3
    • 850,000 to 899,999
      1
    • 900,000 to 949,999
      0
    • 950,000 to 999,999
      1
    • 1,000,000 or higher
      4

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The ITV special for Adele tomorrow is great promo and should help especially as it’s on directly before I’m A Celebs launch show.

 

I think Adele will sell steadily through the week I’m assuming she’ll be less front loaded than ABBA were anyways but she’s a better streaming act for sure. There may also be some people (like me for instance) who’s sales haven’t counted yet as mine hasn’t been shipped so there’ll be sales like that still to come plus casual sales from through the week and then the big factor what hasn’t been added yet is streaming as I’m sure she’s done very well on there.

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Your then forgetting apple music streams which we have no idea on the numbers for, and she occupies the top 12 on Apple Music, so could add another 14k to your 14k that’s 28k then there is the YouTube streams as well that needed to be included and it’s all estimates really, but I would say she has done 30 to 40k on streaming yesterday and her total is around 150k first day

 

I imagine the itv special Sunday will do some amazing numbers too

Bjork already accounted for Apple Music in his calculations - 7k was for Spotify and doubling that brings it to 14k, allowing for Apple, Amazon and others.

If 30 can hold similar streaming numbers over the weekend (very unlikely) then she could have a decent shot at beating Ed’s record for streaming sales. I think 50k as previously suggested though could be a likely outcome though, the ITV special could potentially give the album another kick on Monday.

 

I can see 30 breaking Ariana's record amongst females here!

 

thank u, next holds that record here doesn’t it for biggest female streaming week here? It’s also probably a better comparasion than Ed’s divide as well as 30 and thank u, next are both 12 track albums.

That's amazing first day sales for Adele, especially if you take into account streaming figures. She'll likely sell quite well daily/over the weekend and with the ITV special tomorrow giving her a big boost most likely! I can see her getting close to 300k. Maybe more if the ITV special gives a really big boost!
Adele will do 300k she will sell consistently through the week
Some people who laugh at flops will be having a field day now, calling her Aflopele, Flopele, Rolling in the Flops, Flopping in the Deep, Flop In The Rain, Set Fire to the Flops, Flop In The Dark, Go Easy On My Flop, Homeflop Glory, Send My Flop to Your New Flopper, and Chasing Flopments, and on and on, etc, etc! :cheeseblock: Fortunately I am not one of them, as I am an Adele fan!
I can see 30 breaking Ariana's record amongst females here!

 

thank u, next holds that record here doesn’t it for biggest female streaming week here? It’s also probably a better comparasion than Ed’s divide as well as 30 and thank u, next are both 12 track albums.

I'd agree, that seems like the race to watch as thank u, next did around 44k streaming in its first week iirc, which seems like a more achievable target than 79k given these first day streams. Although, them both being 12 track albums doesn't matter at all in the UK, since only the streams of the 12 most streamed tracks on the album actually count to the albums chart (then the top 2 are weighted down to the average of the other 10), so those extra 4 tracks on ÷ didn't actually count towards its streaming total.

On Adele, if the TV special leads to huge streaming increases next week do we think we might finally see ITV prioritising music programming again with TV specials. Doing them with artists like Olivia Rodrigo, Ed Sheeran, Sam Fender, Ariana Grande etc who are known outside the teen bopping demographic could be great for ITV and the labels, could also do them with older names (like the Noel Gallagher one but on ITV instead of ITV2). Could be a really good strategy for them and the labels.

I really doubt it, all of the BBC's ones bombed a few years ago (Ariana Grande, Harry Styles, Sam Smith U2). Even Ariana's only got 1.4m.

I really hope this does do over 300k - I think the music (album) industry needs a very healthy sales week. I hate how hard it is for artists to sell albums these days. In the last couple of months we’ve had 3 albums sell over 100,000k, only 1 over 200,000k and it would be good to have an album sell over 250 or even over 300k.
Is there a way you can check what you predicted in this poll? I’ve completely forgotten what my prediction was!

Here's the current top 6 weekly streaming points so far for albums - Adele has a shot at 3rd place and 2nd highest opening week:

 

78,944 | Ed Sheeran - ÷ (w/e 16/03/2017)

58,280 | Ed Sheeran - ÷ (23/03/2017)

49,858 | Ed Sheeran - No. 6 Collaborations Project (25/07/2019)

49,715 | Drake - Scorpion (12/07/2018)

43,811 | Ariana Grande - thank u, next (21/02/2019)

43,623 | Drake - Certified Lover Boy (16/09/2021)

You go educate yourself, how old are you? 6?

 

on Adele's website there is 1 vinyl, 1 CD and 1 cassette. HMV also has a clear vinyl.

That's not playing the multiformat game.

You "forgot" to mention that Amazon carries an exclusive white vinyl: https://www.amazon.co.uk/Amazon-Exclusive-W.../dp/B09HVTKLPQ/

 

So yes, she has multiple formats, far more than she had for '25'. B-)

I think Adele will get 2nd place. She might have a small chance at #1 spot if her Apple Music numbers are massive. The tracks seem to be doing fairly well on YouTube so far too, although only a small fraction of that will be from the UK.

 

Also do we know how the album is doing on Amazon? "Easy On Me" did exceptional there. Amazon and Apple combined could actually be more than Spotify for her this week.

the saddest part is that it shows the physical market is dead

 

so to put it into perspective, she's on 112K, ABBA was on 102K at the same point...

how much had Ed sold at the same point? anyone knows? cos I only remember the Monday figure of 80K

 

so this is not an underperformance of the same magnitude as Ed... in 1 day she's done 50% more than Ed did in 3 days

 

 

:w00t:

Are we 100% sure that all website sales are in?

 

They're usually added through the week. Don't forget that Ed number was missing MHV sales for the first days and so on....

 

To Early to Call. What we only know so far is that she has one of the biggest debut of the year in one day only!

Edited by sprock-93

Was Sheeran the last artist to have the entire album in the top spots on Spotify on album release day?

Edited by chartfridays

A lot of pre orders from Adele’s website have not been shipped yet either, so there are missing sales in that 112k number

 

And not all the hmv pre orders have been shipped yet either

Are we 100% sure that all website sales are in?

 

They're usually added through the week. Don't forget that Ed number was missing MHV sales for the first days and so on....

 

That's very true. We'll have a better idea Monday as we'll know what missing data there is for the figure.

 

Also do we know how the album is doing on Amazon? "Easy On Me" did exceptional there. Amazon and Apple combined could actually be more than Spotify for her this week.

The whole album was top 30 there yesterday except Love Is A Game which was #35, but with the 3rd highest track at #10, so will probably only equate to about 2k sales - although that's a lot more than normal for Amazon and if it holds up could mean 10k more sales by the end of the week than, say, Drake would have got.

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