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YTD singles with sales estimates:

 

1 1 1,606,000 Miley Cyrus - Flowers

2 2 1,144,000 Dave & Central Cee - Sprinter

3 3 1,106,000 Raye Featuring 070 Shake - Escapism (1.34m)

4 4 1,078,000 Calvin Harris & Ellie Goulding - Miracle

5 5 1,076,000 Taylor Swift - Anti-Hero (1.55m)

6 6 1,061,000 Rema - Calm Down (1.43m)

7 7 1,035,000 SZA - Kill Bill (1.12m)

8 8 941,000 PinkPantheress - Boy’s A Liar

9 9 916,000 Harry Styles - As It Was (2.49m)

10 10 883,000 Libianca - People

11 12 775,000 Taylor Swift - Cruel Summer (1.11m)

12 11 773,000 Miguel - Sure Thing (1.24m)

13 13 757,000 David Guetta & Bebe Rexha - I’m Good (Blue) (1.42m)

14 14 742,000 Venbee & Goddard - Messy In Heaven (1.07m)

15 15 720,000 The Weeknd - Die For You (1.25m)

16 16 713,000 David Kushner - Daylight

17 17 703,000 Olivia Rodrigo - Vampire

18 18 669,000 Switch Disco With Ella Henderson - React

19 19 657,000 Dua Lipa - Dance The Night

20 20 636,000 Metro Boomin’, The Weeknd & 21 Savage - Creepin’ (720k)

 

21 21 635,000 Tom Odell - Another Love (2.80m)

22 22 627,000 Lewis Capaldi - Forget Me (1.18m)

23 23 624,000 OneRepublic - I Ain’t Worried (1.35m)

24 24 613,000 The Killers - Mr Brightside (5.25m)

25 26 601,000 Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved (5.23m)

26 25 598,000 Ed Sheeran - Eyes Closed

27 28 594,000 Jazzy - Giving Me

28 27 593,000 George Ezra - Green Green Grass (1.37m)

29 30 586,000 Ed Sheeran - Bad Habits (3.49m)

30 29 585,000 Sam Smith featuring Kim Petras - Unholy (1.21m)

 

31 32 578,000 Doja Cat - Paint The Town Red

32 31 566,000 Lizzy McAlpine - Ceilings

33 33 562,000 Meghan Trainor - Made You Look (830k)

34 34 543,000 Tiesto & Tate McRae - 10:35 (610k)

35 35 532,000 Ed Sheeran - Shivers (2.49m)

36 36 530,000 LF System - Afraid To Feel (1.51m)

37 37 526,000 Stephen Sanchez - Until I Found You (710k)

38 38 524,000 Beyoncé - Cuff It (930k)

39 39 520,000 Lewis Capaldi - Pointless (590k)

40 40 519,000 Eliza Rose & Interplanetary Criminal - B.O.T.A. (Baddest Of Them All) (1.20m)

 

Bonus:

 

43 505,000 Peggy Gou - (It Goes Like) Nanana

49 492,000 Billie Eilish - What Was I Made o For?

50 491,000 Cassö with Raye & D Block Europe - Prada

69 427,000 Kenya Grace - Strangers

 

70 420,000 Becky Hill & Chase & Status - Disconnect

75 407,000 Gunna - Fukumean

91 387,000 Taylor Swift - Karma

93 386,000 Sza - Snooze

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Pre 2022 releases in the 41-100 range:

 

41 Riptide 513k

Heat waves

Everywhere

Viva la vida

Everybody wants to rule the world

Dreams

Save your tears

Under the influence

Seventeen going under

Blinding lights

Iris

Dog days are over

Do I wanna know?

Take me to church

Cold heart

Perfect

Go

Wonderwall

505

Yellow

Sweater weather

Someone like you

I wanna be yours

Go your own way

Summertime sadness

Starboy

I’m still standing

Summer of ‘69

Style

Remember

 

Left the Top 100 in November:

 

Lavender haze

Rush

 

  • Author

I expect the following to enter the Top 100 in December:

 

Baddadan

Greedy

Last Christmas

All I want for Christmas is you

Rocking around the Christmas tree

 

And Fairytale of New York could make it this year.

 

Everything currently in the Top 100 should survive apart from

the following which are looking vulnerable:

 

87 I’ll be waiting

89 Whistle

95 Style

96 Late night talking

97 Trustfall

98 If we ever broke up

99 Remember

100 0800 heaven

 

Cuff it, Pointless and BOTA will be replaced in the Top 40 by Prada, Last Christmas and AIWFCIY, and I think #40 could be close between Riptide and Until I found you.

Would be a shame if 'Until I Found You' gets knocked out the top 40 when it's been staying around the low 30's for the majority of the year :(

 

Another low top 10 hit in '0800..' not going to make it. Not that that's a huge loss necessarily for me but should still be represented in some way!

  • Author

0800 Heaven could still make it as it’s currently out-streaming all of #95-99 ahead. Of the ones I listed that has one of the better chances of holding on.

 

Estimated total / last week sales:

I’ll be waiting 390k +3.5k

Whistle 389k +3.5k

Style 386k +5.5k

Late night talking 385k +4.5k

Trustfall 384k +4k

If we ever broke up 384k +3k

Remember 382k +6k

0800 heaven 381k +7k

 

So in 4 weeks 0800 heaven could have overtaken all the others even though it will have been overtaken by a bunch of songs itself.

Edited by Jingle Jules

Second time in a few years then that Pink drops out due to catalogue streams. These EOY charts are such a redundant joke.

Trustfall actually doesn’t as big to me as some of these that look likely to drop out (or already have) - Padam Padam, 0800 Heaven, If We Ever Broke Up etc which all felt unavoidable at a point.

 

I do agree that it’s depressing looking at that number of older songs in the top 100 though and doesn’t feel representative of the year.

Shame that 'What I Was Made For?' not going to make EOY top 40 but great that the similar style 'Ceilings' will hang on especially as it's very much been out of the weekly top 100 for months.

has The Night We Met bubbled under for long enough to make it?

 

or just some random catalogue Eminem, Kanye or Arctics song

  • Author
Nothing suggested so far. It’s an 00s song. I don’t recall seeing it in the Audio Streaming chart recently so it really does feel random to me. I don’t think it’s been in a streaming era year end Too 100 before.
  • Author
Sex on Fire?

Yep. I see it took less than 2 years to go from 4x Platinum to 5x Platinum so it obviously always streams well but that really wasn’t on my radar at all.

 

That and Baddadan have replaced Remember and 0800 Heaven this week.

 

 

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