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That’s a few thousand higher than I thought 360 was. Maybe it can make it after all.

Wham! next week for sure, I think Mariah might not make it until the last week tbh.

Also I’m amazed that I Remember Everything hasn’t been able to repass I Can Do It with a Broken Heart.

 

Wasn't there a bit of Zach Byran drama recently that would put people off listening to him?

 

In other news hooray for 360, hopefully clings on.

 

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Yeah he split up with his gf/fiancé (idk which one it was lol) and apparently he got her to sign an nda about their split or something like that

 

Though clearly drama hasn’t put people off that much if he sold out Hyde park so fast he added a 2nd date :kink:

 

Personally as strange as that is, the whole nda thing, to me doesn’t feel like something worth not listening to him over in comparison to someone like Nicki Minaj lol I’ve been put off her after that gross diss song (if you can even call it that) against Megan, plus the left her husband is a sex offender lmso and I imagine a lot of people have that same outlook

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“The Sound Of Silence” has put itself out of danger with its wrapped boost and even re-overtaken “Linger”:

 

94 The Sound Of Silence

95 Linger

96 Dog Days Are Over

97 Exes

98 Kehlani

99 360

100 Dance The Night

 

Assuming we’re getting 3 Christmas songs my current guess is we’ll lose “Dance The Night”, “Exes” and “Kehlani”.

Oh damn was hoping Dog Days would be knocked out instead of Kehlani. Just properly sat down and looked at sales, I have A LOT of shuffling to do between 50-65 :lol:

 

 

Though clearly drama hasn’t put people off that much if he sold out Hyde park so fast he added a 2nd date :kink:

Frankly I'm amazed that Zach Bryan is popular enough that he sold out Hyde Park and added a second date :o he's had one fairly well known hit and one minor hit. I guess chart positions these days isn't a true reflection of popularity in the way it used to be even 10 years ago.

Frankly I'm amazed that Zach Bryan is popular enough that he sold out Hyde Park and added a second date :o he's had one fairly well known hit and one minor hit. I guess chart positions these days isn't a true reflection of popularity in the way it used to be even 10 years ago.

 

"Something in the Orange" has also become an absolutely massive sleeper hit which would've hit the top 40 earlier this year if not for ACR. It's still here in the top 100 of the year. He's got a fair few silver certifications too so he definitely has a big audience

 

On the Spotify YTD, Stick Season already has the second highest ever total (only behind Shape of You, which it won't catch), so interesting to see it's gonna end up well behind Blinding Lights and Someone You Loved's Official YE totals.

Not sure how you've come to the conclusion Move did 14k this week, I assume you'd underestimated last week.

 

Anyway, here's my estimations with two weeks (I think) to go:

 

41 Not Like Us Kendrick Lamar 604,000

42 Iris The Goo Goo Dolls 599,000

43 yes, and? Ariana Grande 598,000

44 Water Tyla 587,000

45 Asking Sonny Fodera & MK feat. Clementine Douglas 570,000

46 Dreams Fleetwood Mac 568,000

47 Strangers Kenya Grace 568,000

48 Happier The Blessed Madonna feat. Clementine Douglas 564,000

49 Die with a Smile Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars 563,000

50 Someone You Loved Lewis Capaldi 556,000

51 Flowers Miley Cyrus 553,000

52 Training Season Dua Lipa 545,000

53 Anti-Hero Taylor Swift 533,000

54 Sailor Song Gigi Perez 532,000

55 LUNCH Billie Eilish 530,000

56 I Don't Wanna Wait David Guetta & OneRepublic 523,000

57 Birds in the Sky NewEra 520,000

58 Viva la Vida Coldplay 520,000

59 The Night We Met Lord Huron 514,000

60 Another Love Tom Odell 511,000

61 Take Me to Church Hozier 507,000

62 What Was I Made For? Billie Eilish 497,000

63 BACKBONE Chase & Status and Stormzy 496,000

64 As It Was Harry Styles 496,000

65 Yellow Coldplay 493,500

66 Feather Sabrina Carpenter 491,500

67 BAND4BAND Central Cee feat. Lil Baby 486,000

68 Baddadan Chase & Status & Bou feat. IRAH, Flowdan, Trigga & Takura 486,000

69 Sex on Fire Kings of Leon 484,000

70 WILDFLOWER Billie Eilish 482,000

71 Praise Jah in the Moonlight YG Marley 475,000

72 Guess Charli xcx feat. Billie Eilish 473,000

73 Sprinter Dave & Central Cee 473,000

74 Wonderwall Oasis 471,000

75 Whatever Kygo & Ava Max 469,000

76 Don't Stop Believin' Journey 463,000

77 DNA (Loving You) Billy Gillies feat. Hannah Boleyn 461,500

78 Disconnect Becky Hill and Chase & Status 459,500

79 Back on 74 Jungle 456,000

80 Everybody Wants to Rule the World Tears for Fears 452,000

81 Evergreen Richy Mitch & The Coal Miners 449,500

82 Shut Up and Dance WALK THE MOON 449,000

83 Escapism. RAYE feat. 070 Shake 447,000

84 Dancing in the Dark Bruce Springsteen 445,500

85 Summer of '69 Bryan Adams 445,000

86 Move Adam Port, Stryv, Keinemusik, Orso & Malachiii 444,000

87 Valerie Mark Ronson feat. Amy Winehouse 444,000

88 leavemealone Fred again.. & Baby Keem 442,000

89 I Love You, I'm Sorry Gracie Abrams 442,000

90 Dial Drunk Noah Kahan & Post Malone 441,000

91 Naïve The Kooks 439,000

92 Something in the Orange Zach Bryan 438,500

93 Somedays Sonny Fodera, Jazzy & D.O.D 438,000

94 The Sound of Silence [CYRIL Remix] Disturbed 435,000

95 Linger The Cranberries 435,000

96 Dog Days Are Over Florence + the Machine 431,000

97 exes Tate McRae 430,000

98 KEHLANI Jordan Adetunji 424,000

99 360 Charli xcx 423,000

100 Dance the Night Dua Lipa 422,000

101 Don't Look Back in Anger Oasis 422,000

102 My Love Mine All Mine Mitski 420,000

103 Brown Eyed Girl Van Morrison 420,000

104 Take on Me a-ha 418,000

xxx Last Christmas Wham! ~380,000

xxx All I Want for Christmas is You Mariah Carey ~340,000

xxx That's So True Gracie Abrams 336,670

xxx Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree Brenda Lee ~270,000

 

Honestly not too far apart with mine. Think I've underestimated Leavemealone as it looks like it's having a bit of a revival on the dance chart but wasn't sure if it was down to lack of competition or increase in sales. Overestimated Summer of 69 but other than those I'm only about 2 places off with the other tracks :dance:

 

EDIT: also overestimated Feather and As It Was

Edited by gasman449

Honestly not too far apart with mine. Think I've underestimated Leavemealone as it looks like it's having a bit of a revival on the dance chart but wasn't sure if it was down to lack of competition or increase in sales. Overestimated Summer of 69 but other than those I'm only about 2 places off with the other tracks :dance:

 

EDIT: also overestimated Feather and As It Was

 

Summer of '69 and As It Was are very hard to estimate so I could be off on them.

It's also possible that Dial Drunk is above ILYIS and leavemealone is below, Dial Drunk is another one that's tricky.

Feather I was helped out with as its total sales were in a report the other week.

Edited by Maestro

Could actually be pretty close between 360 and Kehlani for the final slot given there's no more surprise oldies, I have both projected to finish on similar sales. Really wish we knew how well Bye Bye Bye was doing before Deadpool but it probably won't be close anyway

I agree that KEHLANI vs. 360 could go either way.

 

I attempted to work out an estimate for Bye Bye Bye a while ago and I’d guess it’s somewhere between 350k and 380k for the year.

I agree that KEHLANI vs. 360 could go either way.

 

I attempted to work out an estimate for Bye Bye Bye a while ago and I’d guess it’s somewhere between 350k and 380k for the year.

 

Ah thanks, noticed it was sticking around for quite a while and got curious. Obviously wasn't being streamed as much as I thought before August :)

I agree that KEHLANI vs. 360 could go either way.

 

 

I think that Kehlani thing might be one of the worst things I've ever heard in my life, come through 360! 🤞

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Excellent effort as ever Maestro - “Sonething In The Orange” is the furthest out (actually #88)! Nothing else is out by more than 2 places.
Thanks Julian, and as ever for this information every week. Something in the Orange must not have dropped off as much as I thought based on Spotify.
Gracie likely to miss out by a couple thousand, is that the only number 1 this year not to make top 100 list
Must be those low first-week at number one sales that did it, in every other sense since then its been a big hit, shame it's likely to miss out

Edited by Boymetworld91

Bit late but yeah, Zach Bryan has a huge fanbase here even if he hasn't had loads of "official" hits. It's the same with Morgan Wallen & Luke Combs.

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