Gonna sit here with my delusional belief that the Lib Dems will officially become the Opposition.

 

If not I'm still predicting around 70 seats for them.

 

I hope so! That’s the most exciting aspect of tonight - bar Tories being wiped out and Labour beating them.

I totally believed that Labour would have sneaked it in 2019, as that's what the mood seemed to be.

 

Granted, the mood is even stronger in their favour this time round but I still have that little bit of worry.

I totally believed that Labour would have sneaked it in 2019, as that's what the mood seemed to be.

 

Granted, the mood is even stronger in their favour this time round but I still have that little bit of worry.

 

Labour had very little chance in 2019 - the polling was consistently in Boris's and the tories favour on the back of Get Brexit Done.

 

I thought Labour might have won in 2017 but sadly we all know how that ended.

Voted, fingers crossed we get the monsters OUT! 🤞

I have voted, tactically ofc - hoping that it is enough as the MRPs had it as a 'toss up'. x

there's an Independent candidate in my constituency (Akhmed Yakoob, for those interested) with some pretty horrific views on women and the LGBTQ+ community who's been polling at 20-30% over the last few weeks - practically all of his voters are from the communities just outside the city centre of with particularly conservative religious views (little none of my neighbours or co-workers are voting for him), but it's still immensely depressing that in this day and age such a candidate can still garner such popularity :(

Will be interesting if any independent corbyn Galloway whoever wins because the political consensus is that in a general election independents rarely win. I know in Islington they have been campaigning crazy for corbyn but the odds suggest it’s still not enough

there's an Independent candidate in my constituency (Akhmed Yakoob, for those interested) with some pretty horrific views on women and the LGBTQ+ community who's been polling at 20-30% over the last few weeks - practically all of his voters are from the communities just outside the city centre of with particularly conservative religious views (little none of my neighbours or co-workers are voting for him), but it's still immensely depressing that in this day and age such a candidate can still garner such popularity :(

I'm also based in Birmingham but he's not in my constituency. I'm aware of him though and the thing I don't understand is why the situation in Gaza is part of his manifesto.

I'm also based in Birmingham but he's not in my constituency. I'm aware of him though and the thing I don't understand is why the situation in Gaza is part of his manifesto.

:hi: fellow Brummie

 

he's basically a single issue candidate - even though he would obviously have zero impact on the Gaza situation if he was voted in he's using it as a ploy to garner support, as those with lesser political literacy would assume that 1) he will make an impact on the Gaza situation & 2) he's the only candidate running that supports Gaza (which is obviously false, but he's done a very good job of framing it on social media as if he is).

 

pretty sure he's just running to boost his own ego, he's got no regard for the city of Birmingham (I've seen pictures on Twitter of him parking his £100,000 car on both double yellow lines & accessible/disabled parking spots in the city centre :rolleyes:)

Voted Labour in Fareham and Waterlooville both because they most closely represent my views AND I think they're best placed to beat my current MP and human manifestation of all known evil, Suella Braverman.

Voted Labour.

 

I've only had a leaflet this time round from the Conservatives surprisingly. :lol: I'm in one of Labour's safest seats, Islington South and Finsbury. I'm quite interested how well the Lib Dems do here. They came very close in the 2005 election but every election since then their vote share has fallen. Given the current political situation I wouldn't be surprised if they were to get a larger vote share this election than last.

 

I also wonder how accurate the exit poll will be this time round? We've had constituency boundary changes and a lot of seats are 3-4 way splits between Labour/Lib Dems/Conservatives/Reform with the greens also being comepetitve in some seats. I wouldn't be surprised if the exit poll is off by a bit more than usual?

 

My ideal result would be:

 

Labour majority - 400+ seats.

Lib Dem Opposition - 80+ seats.

Conservatives - less than 80 seats.

Green Party - 2-6 seats

 

 

For anyone who can't wait until 21:55 for their election night programme - Sky's youtube stream is going live at 9pm.

I’ll check in from 11 though will catch the exit poll obviously. From the markets and the noise I’ve heard nothing unexpected really happening. Some whispers of reform doing well in terms of winning seats but that’s hardly a massive interest overall.

For anyone who can't wait until 21:55 for their election night programme - Sky's youtube stream is going live at 9pm.

They still can't announce the exit poll until 22:00.

In a perverse way, it could be a good thing if Reform win a handful of seats. Their MPs are likely to be utter loons who discredit the party / limited company, scuppering their chances of any further advances.

Somebody just tweeted

 

Tories drifting on pretty much all at least mildly liquid markets on the exchange. Lib Dems moving significantly in the meantime. Market indicates they’ll have over 70 MPs. If they are not official opposition tomorrow then they’ll be very close.

 

:cheeseblock:

Ok I'm pretty sure Katie Waissel from X Factor 2010 was just in the audience on Question Time asking a question to the panel. How random. :lol:

I’m sorry to clinch in, but i find absolutely bonkers the discrepancy between the share of the party votes and the share of the seats…?

 

@1809117996264087579

 

I mean I comprehend why did it happen, having a majority system. I get the Labour landslide despite them having 34% of the votes. But the fact that LibDems obtained 10 times more seats than Reform while having a smaller share of the votes is crazy to me!

I’m sorry to clinch in, but i find absolutely bonkers the discrepancy between the share of the party votes and the share of the seats…?

 

@1809117996264087579

 

I mean I comprehend why did it happen, having a majority system. I get the Labour landslide despite them having 34% of the votes. But the fact that LibDems obtained 10 times more seats than Reform while having a smaller share of the votes is crazy to me!

 

I assume LD just focused on the seats they could win, hence their general vote share suffering.

the FPTP system makes perfect sense to me: the UK split into ~650 similar sized areas, each area elects an individual from a particular party, meaning every individual area of the country has an equal say in who makes up parliament.

 

reform only got 5 seats because in only 5 areas of the country did the people decide that the reform candidate was more worthy of being in parliament than any other party’s representative. by FAR the most democratic and public-based way of forming parliament