Man I need should be top 10 in the next couple of weeks. Amazing.

Chrystal clinging on to the top 10 - Billie could get back there for 1 week before Olivia rightfully gets there for year end. Billie could still do 1m for a second year though.

Hope Dakota can re-enter!

“What It Sounds Like” entering

Can't see any obvious new entries next week - Dakota back for Burning Down me thinks

3 minutes ago, gasman449 said:

Hope Dakota can re-enter!

It will surely be back temporarily at least. I now think “Mutt” might fend it off to the year end though.

Sapphire jumping to #58 surprises me a bit. Am clearly overestimating one of “Austin” or “All the Stars”, which one is at #57 please

Also, no new peak for DAISIES?

Edited December 2, 2025Dec 2 by Maestro

6 minutes ago, Maestro said:

Sapphire jumping to #58 surprises me a bit. Am clearly overestimating one of “Austin” or “All the Stars”, which one is at #57 please

All The Stars - #57

Austin now dying - #61

having a proper look at sales now, think the estimate for Golden is a little high?

20 minutes ago, gasman449 said:

having a proper look at sales now, think the estimate for Golden is a little high?

Just this week’s or also previously? I estimated 44.5k this week.

Just now, Julian_ said:

Just this week’s or also previously? I estimated 44.5k this week.

Nevermind I messed up when making my estimates sorry! 😆 Feeling like it has a better chance of overtaking APT now

"Mr Brightside" and "Shape of You" must be very close to each other now? Based on the number of days since their last certification, and the number of days taken to reach their last certification, and assuming that their consumption has not slowed down or sped up during that time, I had Mr Brightside at 6,740,000 and Shape of You at 6,756,000 this week.

Full calculations as follows

Shape of You 175/672 * 600,000 = 156,000

Mr Brightside 70/301 * 600,000 = 140,000

It's logical to assume that Shape of You might have slowed slightly, thus making them even closer?

2 minutes ago, Matt63 said:

It's logical to assume that Shape of You might have slowed slightly, thus making them even closer?

Hard to say on that. In the very long term “Shape Of You” is declining but not necessarily over a shorter period. Ed’s back catalogue had quite a big spike up in the middle 6 months of this year due to his new material. It’s fallen back a bit again now but might still be higher than at the beginning of this year.

Update on Ed Sheeran v The Killers v Wham! for all-time best seller:

I feel Wham! are marginally ahead on Spotify today of where I expected them to be - and today is probably the first day where we can do a clear comparison - so it still looks likely that The Killers will overtake/have overtaken Ed Sheeran last week, this week or next week, and Wham! will climb into first place on Christmas Day - with the usual caveat of how the OCC estimates Christmas Day streams.

Think Dakota will be back this week with either Cruel Summer or Burning Down out. I have a feeling that those 3 plus Mutt will be the only songs left on the list that won't make it to the YE unless Dive is doing better than I think/Brenda does enough on Christmas week

Really hope Dakota can make it

Week 49:

1	1	Alex Warren	Ordinary	2,073,000
2	2	Lola Young	Messy	1,400,000	1,580,000
3	3	Chappell Roan	Pink Pony Club	1,348,000	1,790,000
4	4	Rosé and Bruno Mars	APT.	1,295,000	1,650,000
5	5	Huntr/x, Ejae, Audrey Nuna, Rei Ami & KPop Demon Hunters Cast	Golden	1,211,000
6	6	Gracie Abrams	That's So True	1,139,000	1,580,000
7	7	Benson Boone	Beautiful Things	1,101,000	2,890,000
8	8	Ravyn Lenae	Love Me Not	1,082,000	1,090,000
9	9	Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars	Die With A Smile	1,065,000	1,700,000
10	10	Billie Eilish	Birds Of A Feather	972,000	2,190,000
11	11	Chrystal	The Days	971,000	1,140,000
12	12	Chappell Roan	Good Luck, Babe!	946,000	2,150,000
13	14	Olivia Dean	Man I Need	945,000
14	13	Teddy Swims	Lose Control	933,000	2,770,000
15	15	Sombr	Back To Friends	857,000
16	16	Sabrina Carpenter	Espresso	838,000	2,590,000
17	17	Gigi Perez	Sailor Song	832,000	1,430,000
18	18	Sombr	Undressed	832,000
19	19	Sabrina Carpenter	Taste	814,000	1,610,000
20	20	Teddy Swims	Bad Dreams	814,000	1,050,000
21	21	Teddy Swims	The Door	796,000	1,460,000
22	22	Tate McRae	Sports Car	791,000
23	23	Myles Smith	Nice To Meet You	780,000	890,000
24	24	Myles Smith	Stargazing	766,000	1,780,000
25	25	Sabrina Carpenter	Manchild	761,000
26	26	Shaboozey	A Bar Song (Tipsy)	740,000	2,080,000
27	27	WizTheMc & Bees & Honey	Show Me Love	719,000
28	28	Alex Warren	Carry You Home	714,000	1,010,000
29	29	Goo Goo Dolls	Iris	712,000	4,520,000
30	33	Olivia Dean	Nice To Each Other	706,000
31	31	Noah Kahan	Stick Season	700,000	3,220,000
32	30	Hozier	Too Sweet	699,000	2,160,000
33	32	The Killers	Mr Brightside	696,000	6,760,000
34	34	Fleetwood Mac	Dreams	679,000	3,900,000
35	35	Ed Sheeran	Azizam	664,000
36	36	Saja Boys, Andrew Choi Neckwav, Danny Chung, Kevin Woo, samUIL Lee & KPop Demon Hunters Cast	Soda Pop	662,000
37	37	Disco Lines & Tinashe	No Broke Boys	659,000
38	38	MK featuring Chrystal	Dior	630,000
39	39	Sonny Fodera, Jazzy & D.O.D.	Somedays	620,000	1,090,000
40	45	Taylor Swift	The Fate Of Ophelia	618,000
42	44	Sam Fender & Olivia Dean	Rein Me In	608,000
57	58	Ed Sheeran	Sapphire	533,000
70	82	Raye	Where Is My Husband!	493,000
72	74	Huntr/x, Ejae, Audrey Nuna, Rei Ami & KPop Demon Hunters Cast	How It's Done	491,000
83	88	Sombr	12 To 12	464,000
95	97	Huntr/x, Ejae, Audrey Nuna, Rei Ami & KPop Demon Hunters Cast	What It Sounds Like	436,000
99	-	Tom Odell	Another Love	425,000	3,790,000
-	100	Taylor Swift	Cruel Summer	424,000	2,650,00

Hoping 'Man I Need' can finish the year top 10. Looks possible!

Thought Another Love had lost its chance, not looking good for Dakota in that case even though I am very confident Brenda is going to miss now

2 minutes ago, Maestro said:

Thought Another Love had lost its chance, not looking good for Dakota in that case even though I am very confident Brenda is going to miss now

Yeah think it’s between “Another Love” and “Mutt” for #100 - most likely Tom will hold.