Posted December 17, 2025Dec 17 The shortlists are out! A horror film leading the pack so far beside Wicked 2 is fantastic to see
December 18, 2025Dec 18 I've been following along earlier and more closely this year. Great to see 'Wicked: For Good' make the shortlists in technical categories, might not be as dead as thought from it missing a couple of major categories at precursors (Cynthia not in at Critics Choice, not in at Motion Picture - Comedy/Musical at the Globes)What I'm hearing is that the supporting categories are pretty open this year, but Timothee looks like a safe bet for his first Oscar in Best Actor, and Jessie Buckley has had Best Actress sewn up for a while for 'Hamnet' ( @Tafty to confirm)
December 18, 2025Dec 18 4 hours ago, J❄️hq said:I've been following along earlier and more closely this year. Great to see 'Wicked: For Good' make the shortlists in technical categories, might not be as dead as thought from it missing a couple of major categories at precursors (Cynthia not in at Critics Choice, not in at Motion Picture - Comedy/Musical at the Globes)What I'm hearing is that the supporting categories are pretty open this year, but Timothee looks like a safe bet for his first Oscar in Best Actor, and Jessie Buckley has had Best Actress sewn up for a while for 'Hamnet' ( @Tafty to confirm)It feels like Jesse has had Actress sewn up for a while now. I assume Timothee is indeed the safe bet for Best Actor but for some reason, I feel that there could be some kind of upset in this, Idk why...
December 20, 2025Dec 20 On 18/12/2025 at 15:18, J❄️hq said:I've been following along earlier and more closely this year. Great to see 'Wicked: For Good' make the shortlists in technical categories, might not be as dead as thought from it missing a couple of major categories at precursors (Cynthia not in at Critics Choice, not in at Motion Picture - Comedy/Musical at the Globes)What I'm hearing is that the supporting categories are pretty open this year, but Timothee looks like a safe bet for his first Oscar in Best Actor, and Jessie Buckley has had Best Actress sewn up for a while for 'Hamnet' ( @Tafty to confirm)He deserves it fot Wonka tbh!Frozen 2 has been a damp swuid, so don't expect it to pick up anything.Black Phone 2 is atrocious, so it won't win anython either
December 21, 2025Dec 21 Robert Aramayo needs to be nominated for best actor award for his role as Tourette’s sufferer John Davidson in I Swear
January 22Jan 22 Amazing for Sinners, and a horror film as well! Still seems like One Battle After Another will likely take the Best Picture. I've seen all but F1 and The Secret Agent, the former definitely sticks out a bit. I really wasn't expecting Bugonia to get on, nice to see but I wouldn't put it amongst his best.Amy Madigan is a real surprise to me, but wonderful to see some representation for Weapons as well as I was sure it would get nothing.Hamnet is one I'm really not getting the hype with, it felt rather empty and emotionally manipulative outside of the great cinematography and acting, hoping that doesn't sneak up.
January 22Jan 22 I’ve only seen the brilliant One Battle After Another from the Best Picture noms so time for the annual catch-up on as many of the rest as possible.Oops at the complete shut out for Wicked: For Good! I didn’t get into it as much as the first one, but do feel a bit bad for Ari, who turned in a great performance and was nominated for others, eg. Golden Globes.
January 22Jan 22 Loads still to watch but YES at the horror recognition this year. Love the shifting tide for that genre over the past few years.
January 23Jan 23 Full Noms:Best PictureBugoniaF1FrankensteinHamnetMarty SupremeOne Battle After AnotherThe Secret AgentSentimental ValueSinnersTrain DreamsActress in a Leading RoleJessie Buckley HamnetRose Byrne If I Had Legs I'd Kick YouKate Hudson Song Sung BlueRenate Reinsve Sentimental ValueEmma Stone BugoniaActress in a Supporting RoleElle Fanning Sentimental ValueInga Ibsdotter Lilleaas Sentimental ValueAmy Madigan WeaponsWunmi Mosaku SinnersTeyana Taylor One Battle After AnotherActor in a Leading RoleTimothée Chalamet Marty SupremeLeonardo DiCaprio One Battle After AnotherEthan Hawke Blue MoonMichael B. Jordan SinnersWagna Moura The Secret AgentActor in a Supporting RoleBenicio Del Toro One Battle After AnotherJacob Elordi FrankensteinDelroy Lindo SinnersSean Penn One Battle After AnotherStellan Skarsgård Sentimental ValueDirectingChloé Zhao HamnetJosh Safdie Marty SupremePaul Thomas Anderson One Battle After AnotherJoachim Trier Sentimental ValueRyan Coogler SinnersInternational Feature FilmThe Secret Agent BrazilIt Was Just An Accident FranceSentimental Value NorwaySirāt SpainThe Voice of Hind Rajab TunisiaOriginal ScreenplayRobert Kaplow Blue MoonJafar Panahi; Script collaborators - Nader Saïvar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian It Was Just An AccidentRonald Bronstein & Josh Safdie Marty SupremeEskil Vogt & Joachim Trier Sentimental ValueRyan Coogler SinnersAdapted ScreenplayWill Tracy BugoniaGuillermo del Toro FrankensteinChloé Zhao & Maggie O'Farrell HamnetPaul Thomas Anderson One Battle After AnotherClint Bentley & Greg Kwedar Train DreamsOriginal ScoreJerskin Fendrix BugoniaAlexandre Desplat FrankensteinMax Richter HamnetJonny Greenwood One Battle After AnotherLudwig Goransson SinnersOriginal SongDear Me Diane Warren: RelentlessGolden K-Pop Demon HuntersI Lied To You SinnersSweet Dreams of Joy Viva Verdi!Train Dreams Train DreamsAnimated Feature FilmArcoElioK-Pop Demon HuntersLittle Amélie or the Character of RainZootopia 2Animated Short FilmButterflyForevergreenThe Girl Who Cried PearlsRetirement PlanThe Three SistersLive Action Short FilmButcher's StainA Friend of DorothyJane Austen's Period DramaThe SingersTwo People Exchanging SalivaDocumentary Feature FilmThe Alabama SolutionCome See Me In The Good LightCutting Through RocksMr. Nobody Against PutinThe Perfect NeighborDocumentary Short FilmAll The Empty RoomsArmed Only With A Camera: The Life And Death Of Brent RenaudChildren No More: "Were and Are Gone"The Devil Is BusyPerfectly A Strangeness*NEW CATEGORY* CastingNina Gold HamnetJennifer Venditti Marty SupremeCassandra Kulukundis One Battle After AnotherGabriel Domingues The Secret AgentFrancine Maisler SistersCinematographyDan Lausten FrankensteinDarius Khondji Marty SupremeMichael Bauman One Battle After AnotherAutumn Durald Arkapaw SinnersAdolpho Veloso Train DreamsEditingStephen Mirrione F1Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie Marty SupremeAndy Jurgensen One Battle After AnotherOlivier Bugge Coutté Sentimental ValueMichael P. Shawver SinnersVisual EffectsAvatar: Fire & AshF1Jurassic World: RebirthThe Lost BusSinnersSoundGareth John, Al Nelson, Gwendolyn Yates Whittle, Gary A. Rizzo and Juan Peralta F1Greg Chapman, Nathan Robitaille, Nelson Ferreira, Christian Cooke and Brad Zoern FrankensteinJosé Antonio García, Christopher Scarabosio and Tony Villaflor One Battle After AnotherChris Welcker, Benjamin A. Burtt, Felipe Pacheco, Brandon Proctor and Steve Boeddeker SinnersAmanda Villavieja, Laia Casanovas and Yasmina Praderas SirātProduction DesignProduction Design: Tamara Deverell; Set Decoration: Shane Vieau FrankensteinProduction Design: Fiona Crombie; Set Decoration: Alice Felton HamnetProduction Design: Jack Fisk; Set Decoration: Adam Willis Marty SupremeProduction Design: Florencia Martin; Set Decoration: Anthony Carlino One Battle After AnotherProduction Design: Hannah Beachler; Set Decoration: Monique Champagne SinnersCostume DesignDeborah L. Scott Avatar: Fire & AshKate Hawley FrankensteinMalgosia Turzanska HamnetMiyaki Bellizzi Marty SupremeRuth E. Carter SinnersCostume DesignMike Hill, Jordan Samuel and Cliona Furey FrankensteinKyoko Toyokawa, Naomi Hibino and Tadashi Nishimatsu KokuhoKen Diaz, Mike Fontaine and Shunika Terry SinnersKazu Hiro, Glen Griffin and Bjoern Rehbein The Smashing MachineThomas Foldberg and Anne Cathrine Sauerberg The Ugly Stepsister
January 25Jan 25 it's kinda frustrating to see non-Ghibli anime movies keep being snubbed every year (especially with 100 METERS), and not to mention good donghuas like Ne Zha 2 and Legend of Hei 2, so hopefully either Arco or Little Amélie wins the Best Animation category.But that's pretty unlikely since it's definitely KDH vs Zootopia 2
January 25Jan 25 2 minutes ago, CowTzy said:it's kinda frustrating to see non-Ghibli anime movies keep being snubbed every year (especially with 100 METERS), and not to mention good donghuas like Ne Zha 2 and Legend of Hei 2, so hopefully either Arco or Little Amélie wins the Best Animation category.But that's pretty unlikely since it's definitely KDH vs Zootopia 2'Ne Zha 2' was never going to get a look in. I just know that those who are in Hollywood HAAAATE that NZ2 is one of the highest grossing films of all time and only a small portion of that total was from US territories --I got around to watching 'Song Sung Blue' the other day.. it was alright. Not sure I'd have chosen Kate over Chase Infiniti for 'One Battle After Another' though... so that was a choice... (but Kate was good - just not worthy of it over Chase, imo)
January 25Jan 25 Author Apparently Kate Hudson has a lot of friends in the voting body. Kinda like the Diane Warren thing. On top of the whole legacy narrative. Chase as a relatively new actress unfortunately lost to Hudson.
February 23Feb 23 Wunmi won the BAFTA! Interesting races for both of the Supporting categories - nobody is sweeping! But she is my first choice! So I APPROVE!Robert Aramayo winning Best Actor for I Swear, too. Still need to see it but I did think BAFTAs might swerve in that direction!
February 23Feb 23 Author I love that's its turning into a unpredictable race at least for the acting roles (with the exception of Best Actress which is a lock) and Sinners is winning what it needs to challenge One Battle After Another so thats exciting. Edited February 23Feb 23 by Henessy Lake
March 15Mar 15 Author My Oscar Predictions:Best Picture: Sinners 51% (Could Win at 49% -OBAA as the others are not even in the BP race at this point) This one was tough but I'm gonna go with my hope that the Oscars don't go the predictable route and it feels like momentum is shifting Sinners way.Best Actor: Michael B. Jordan 75% (Could Win- Timothee Chalamet)Best Actress: Jessie Buckley 100%Best Supporting Actress: Amy Madigan 51% (Could Win-Wunmi Mosaku)Best Supporting Actor: Sean Penn 85% (Could Win- Delroy Lindo)Best Casting: Sinners 90%Best Director: Paul Thomas Anderson 85% (Could Win-Ryan Coogler)Best Original Screenplay: Sinners 99%Best Adapted Screenplay: OBAA 99%Best Editing: OBAA 95%Best Animated Feature: K-Pop Demon Hunters 95%Best International: Sentimential Value 60% (Could Win- The Secret Agent)Best Documentary: Mr. Nobody Against Putin 55% (Could Win- The Perfect Neighbour)Best Live Action Short: Two People Exchanging SalivaBest Animated Short: Butterfly Best Documentary Short: All The Empty Rooms Best Production Design: Frankenstein 95%Best Cinematography: OBAA 80% (Could Win-Sinners)Best Makeup & Hairstyling: Frankenstein 90%Best Costume Design: Frankenstein 85% (Could Win-Sinners)Best Visual Effects: Avatar: Fire And Ash 85% (Could Win-The Lost Bus)Best Original Score: Ludwig Goransson 100%Best Original Song: Golden 90%Best Sound: F1 85% (Could Win- Sinners)
March 16Mar 16 Author Warner Bros is the studio with the highest Oscar wins of the night with 11. First woman + first black person to ever win Cinematography.Amy is the 1st actress to ever win supporting actress while being the sole nominee for her film.Horror wins 8 awards, most its ever won in a single night and for 3 different films and I would argue that K-Pop Demon Hunters is gateway horror for kids so technically horror got 10 awards across 4 films. A great night for genre films as well. With OBAA being a thriller, F1 an action film and Avatar a fantasy. The Oscars has changed for the better. Hamnet was the only drama win of the night in motion picture films.Despite the Oscars not giving Best Picture to Sinners which to me is the far superior film, I can't be too mad considering how much they have awarded horror finally!
March 16Mar 16 Full list of winners here: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c33jkvmzl4koSeriously amazing for Amy Madigan, that was an outside pick to begin with, incredible that Weapons is now an Oscar winning film *.My predictions were a bit off as I thought a Sinners takeover would happen, but actually it secondary to One Battle After Another. I did really like both but I did ever so slightly prefer the latter so I'm pleased to see this, but an amazing achievement for Sinners nonetheless and always amazing to see a horror film get so much recognition. The cynic in me did think the awful BAFTAs drama might have drummed up a sympathy vote amongst the academy, I hope we can now all forget that xI am pleased for Jessie Buckley as she's a phenomental actress even if the film was really subpar for me, but I definitely would've given that to Rose Byrne, that was a breathtakingly great performance. Glad that Timothee didn't win Main Actor being honest, as much as I liked the film, the desperation wasn't a great look.
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