Odds to win from Bwci-Fyrddin:

 

3/1 Syndare - SoSo - Who's gonna love me

 

:heart: Nice to have a bit of attention back having slipped down everyone else's odds! :o :P

BotaBet odds for XLI.

 

 

2/1 Numayania - The Storm - My crown

5/2 Ramrynia - Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe

5/2 Ashton - Tone Damli - Look back

3/1 Fljótavík - Foxes - Youth

--------------------------------------------------

 

5/1 Caerfyrddia – Marigold – You and I know

11/2 Syndare - SoSo - Who's gonna love me

6/1 FSR Rontvia - Prance Faris - Flares

7/1 Unovia - Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid

12/1 Botanikka - Ria Ritchie - Only one

14/1 Batidas - Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer

16/1 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold - Le Kid - Human behaviour

18/1 Kopečka - Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix)

20/1 Séyetana - Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids

22/1 Sangria - Moonlight Breakfast - Still

24/1 N-Lazone - Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia

26/1 Budtar – Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon – Take me away

28/1 Hendinia - DJ Tatana feat Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head (if you don't get in my bed)

30/1 ChrIseland - Donkeyboy - City boy

32/1 Mdiče - MNDR - #1 in heaven

35/1 Espen - Moa Lignell - When I held ya

35/1 Tinnmark - Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on

38/1 Greenfroze - Belanova - Mariposas

40/1 Lievant - Mollyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar

44/1 Kluminican Republic - Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night

45/1 Daehun – moumoon – Sunshine girl

45/1 Allecian - Mercedes and I - Wintersnow

50/1 Bignia-Zaragovina - Britt Daley - One and only

50/1 B.a.N.G - Lydia Caesar - Lottery

52/1 Scherzland - Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal

110/2 Kylienips - School of Seven Bells - The night

60/1 Hogan-Burg Republic - Emily Osment - All the way up

 

We believe that one of the top 4 odds will have the crown :kink: of XLI

5/1 :o Wow!

I'm struggling to see past an Ashton victory now as it just seems to be in contention for about 10 people's 12 points slot, if I were to do odds then their entry would be pretty much evens.

 

To be honest I'm kind of disappointed too, primarily as at the beginning this looked like the first contest in a while where there were genuinely about 10 contenders... although at least there's still about 9 tracks in contention for 2nd. :D

Off topic but I thought Tone Damli was Ashley Tisdale in Phil's avatar, only to realize now it isn't. Should've known better :drama:

 

Also, is it just me or a part of the song sounds like David Guetta's When Love Takes Over starting at 2:26.

Edited February 7, 201213 yr by Oricon

I'm struggling to see past an Ashton victory now as it just seems to be in contention for about 10 people's 12 points slot, if I were to do odds then their entry would be pretty much evens.

 

To be honest I'm kind of disappointed too, primarily as at the beginning this looked like the first contest in a while where there were genuinely about 10 contenders... although at least there's still about 9 tracks in contention for 2nd. :D

 

This is why I think they're walking it. How often do people venture purposely into somebody's national thread to say how great their entry is during the voting stage. Very rarely, and they're clearly all handing it a 12 on a plate along with the people who said similar things about it in a number of other threads...Looks like it's on course to comfortably be our most successful winner in a while. Although we differ in that I'd be quite happy with that outcome!

 

The other songs that are at the top of people's odds don't even have a tenth of the buzz surrounding them or general vocal support, so I just don't see how they can overcome Look Back, unless their supporters are all keeping deathly silent! Odds are so much easier to call the closer we get to the results, we're not allowed to give away our exact points but most people basically reveal their 12 in a roundabout way, either during the semi results or by waltzing into somebody's national thread to gush over their entry!

:ph34r:

I bet it's weird seeing all of our speculation whilst knowing the semi results and how the final voting has gone so far. :D

I bet it's weird seeing all of our speculation whilst knowing the semi results and how the final voting has gone so far. :D

 

It is weird, indeed :o But it's also quite fun! ^_^

This is why I think they're walking it. How often do people venture purposely into somebody's national thread to say how great their entry is during the voting stage. Very rarely, and they're clearly all handing it a 12 on a plate along with the people who said similar things about it in a number of other threads...Looks like it's on course to comfortably be our most successful winner in a while. Although we differ in that I'd be quite happy with that outcome!

 

The other songs that are at the top of people's odds don't even have a tenth of the buzz surrounding them or general vocal support, so I just don't see how they can overcome Look Back, unless their supporters are all keeping deathly silent! Odds are so much easier to call the closer we get to the results, we're not allowed to give away our exact points but most people basically reveal their 12 in a roundabout way, either during the semi results or by waltzing into somebody's national thread to gush over their entry!

Oh I'm not specifically against an Ashton victory (although the track isn't totally to my taste, I guess that much would be obvious to all!), it's more that I was hoping for a close and exciting results thread.

 

I agree with you, it would take all the silent voters (like me!) to all love the same track for anything to stand a chance - and that's clearly very unlikely indeed.

Oh I'm not specifically against an Ashton victory (although the track isn't totally to my taste, I guess that much would be obvious to all!), it's more that I was hoping for a close and exciting results thread.

 

I agree with you, it would take all the silent voters (like me!) to all love the same track for anything to stand a chance - and that's clearly very unlikely indeed.

 

And there's nothing to say that the silent voters won't all be loving Look Back too :lol: I'm seeing a Sheelah situation here, The Last Time won exactly a year ago by basically appealing massively to those that loved it. Most of the people that voted for it (which was around two thirds of the voters, so a clear majority) placed it in their top three, it picked up very few 1's and 2's in comparisons to 18's, 15's and 12's, which was the voting system at the time.

 

Based on the overwhelming vocal support that it's attracted thus far, I can see Look Back appearing in the top three or thereabouts of nearly everyone that decides to vote for it - which by the sounds of it could be most people here!

BotaBet odds for XLI.

2/1 Numayania - The Storm - My crown

 

We believe that one of the top 4 odds will have the crown :kink: of XLI

 

OMG :o Falënderim :D I still think this is a three horse race between Syndare, Ramryina and Ashton though. I might do more odds later, if I can be bothered :lol:

I bet it's weird seeing all of our speculation whilst knowing the semi results and how the final voting has gone so far. :D

 

It was interesting when I hosted BJSC and most people made an early prediction for Le Kid 'America' to dominate the entire contest yet it didn't come anywhere near close.

 

I do wonder if all this hype around 'Look Back' will lead to an anti climax and it actually does end up coming 2nd behind another track that hasn't had as much vocal support but is generally popular with the vast majority of voters. :o

OMG :o Falënderim :D I still think this is a three horse race between Syndare, Ramryina and Ashton though. I might do more odds later, if I can be bothered :lol:

 

A THREE horse race? Here's how I see it;

 

http://i164.photobucket.com/albums/u11/gooddelta/bjscrace.jpg

 

 

I'd rather stall into 3rd thank you! I already have a 2nd and I need a 3rd to complete my top5 set :heehee:

 

 

I'm still not expecting to win at all. The only reason it's at 1/3 in my odds is that it does have a large amount of vocal support (far more than any of my 40 previous entries, quite possibly combined) and the momentum its gained thanks to people falling in love with a track I adore and sheer speculation that it won SF1. That alone seems to be driving most of the songs momentum.

A THREE horse race? Here's how I see it;

 

http://i164.photobucket.com/albums/u11/gooddelta/bjscrace.jpg

 

:rofl: That's great!! Hopefully Ramrynia can find a last minute speed boost :heehee:

Edited February 7, 201213 yr by Ryan741

If you zoom in 400% in that picture you can just about make out an arrow with the word "Batidas" written above it. :D

Finally listened to 'Look Back' to see what the hype was all about. Very overrated. 'Call Me Maybe' is far superior in terms of fempop in this contest. I think it's because the earlier odds had it at/near the top and people have been influenced by those odds.

 

I'm not going to do a set of odds, but I think it will be inbetween Fljotavik, FSR Rontvia, Ramyrnia and Syndare for the win! :D

A THREE horse race? Here's how I see it;

 

http://i164.photobucket.com/albums/u11/gooddelta/bjscrace.jpg

HA!

 

 

That's epic.

 

 

I personally see it as Ashton, FSR Rontvia, Ramrynia and Fljótavík as the contenders. Me for the obvious reasons, You because Flares is incredible, Ramrynia for being the early favourite and the sheer number of people that wanted the song and Fljótavík for entering a great track that actually has cross over appeal to the pure pop fans (and we all know that indiepop does well).

Finally listened to 'Look Back' to see what the hype was all about. Very overrated. 'Call Me Maybe' is far superior in terms of fempop in this contest. I think it's because the earlier odds had it at/near the top and people have been influenced by those odds.

 

I'm not going to do a set of odds, but I think it will be inbetween Fljotavik, FSR Rontvia, Ramyrnia and Syndare for the win! :D

 

I've not been influenced by anybody's odds when estimating how well Look Back will do, moreso the 15 or so people who like it so much that they've been screaming it from the rooftops across the forum. 150+ points potentially bagged right there without even taking the other 30 odd voting countries into account.