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Sunday Chart Predictions

Predicting the 25/05 to 31/05 chart

 

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Some extraordinary sales for Coldplay!

Critics' Choice seemed to get it right this year as following his #1 solo success with 'Money On My Mind' earlier this year, Sam Smith is looking to debut at that position again with the pop-soul ballad 'Stay With Me'. Also new to the Top 10 is, for me, one of the most bizarre acts to be successful - Fuse ODG, teaming with Sean Paul this time with 'Dangerous Love' - and Clean Bandit's follow-up to 'Rather Be', 'Extraordinary'. New entries elsewhere will be Afrojack's 'Ten Feet Tall' and, after being excluded from the chart due to being 'instant grats', Coldplay's 'A Sky Full of Stars' and 'Midnight'.

 

Speaking of which, Coldplay's sixth studio album Ghost Stories is released this week and is poised to become the fastest selling album of 2014. All their previous studio albums have reached #1 and managed to sell more than 1m copies each. Key new entries to the Top 10 should be collaborative album of The Beautiful South members Paul Heaton and Jacqui Abbott and the 20th anniversary release of Oasis' debut album Definitely Maybe, whilst R.E.M, California Breed, Bob Blakeley, Cherry Ghost and Cara Dillon among others should also make debuts.

 

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Please note new changes to the Sunday Chart Predictions thread topic:

 

Tuesday/Thursday - There will be no mids from MW for Tuesday and Thursday. Use Twitter and other social media to search for midweeks please provide a source and links to back up your post. You can still post your own predictions for the week to generate chat to the topic.

 

Wednesday - Radio 1 Chart Top 40 mid update will be posted with links to Radio 1 and any other chart info from MW and OCC from 3:30pm to 4pm

 

Friday - Final Mid update from MW from 11am onwards.

 

To keep everyone in the loop of all chart action please refer to the iTunes thread topic.

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Wednesday Update Top 40 Only

Source: Radio 1/OCC

 

Top 40 Singles

 

1 Sam Smith - Stay With Me (59.9k) *

2 Fuse ODG feat. Sean Paul - Dangerous Love (30.9k) *

3 Mr Probz - Waves (25.9k)

4 Rita Ora - I Will Never Let You Down (24.7k)

5 Clean Bandit feat. Sharna Bass - Extraordinary (22.3k) *

 

11-20

12 Ed Sheeran - One

13 Afrojack feat. Wrabel - Ten Feet Tall *

14 Coldplay - A Sky Full Of Stars *

 

21-30

21 Clean Bandit feat. Jess Glynne - Rather Be

24 Katy Perry - Birthday

25 Duke Dumont feat. Jax Jones - I Got U

28 Route 94 feat. Jess Glynne - My Love

29 Pharrell - Marilyn Monroe

 

31-40

34 Sam Smith - Money On My Mind

35 Coldplay - Midnight *

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio1/chart/updatesingles/print

 

http://www.officialcharts.com/chart-news/s...-number-1-3030/

 

===================================================

 

Top 40 Albums

 

1 Coldplay - Ghost Stories (105.8k) *

2 Paul Heaton and Jacqui Abbott - What Have We Become (13.4k) *

3 Oasis - Definitely Maybe (11.4k) ^

4 Michael Jackson - Xscape (10.5k)

5 Paloma Faith - A Perfect Contradiction (6k)

 

11-20

11 R.E.M. - Unplugged 1991 & 2001 - The Complete Sessions *

12 Arctic Monkeys - AM

13 Katy Perry - PRISM

16 California Breed - California Breed *

18 Bob Blakeley - Performance *

19 Cherry Ghost - Herd Runners *

 

21-30

21 Cara Dillon - A Thousand Hearts *

24 Bastille - Bad Blood

25 Sabaton - Heroes *

28 Deep Purple - Made In Japan ^

30 The Sunshine Underground - The Sunshine Underground *

 

31-40

31 Gregory Porter - Liquid Spirit

33 Conor Oberst - Upside Down Mountain *

39 Roy Orbison - Mystery Girl ^

40 Afrojack - Forget The World *

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio1/chart/updatealbums/print

 

http://www.officialcharts.com/chart-news/c...-48-hours-3029/

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Thursday Update Top 40 Only

 

Singles

 

1 Sam Smith - Stay With Me (71.4k) *

2 Fuse ODG feat. Sean Paul - Dangerous Love (37.7k) *

3 Mr Probz - Waves (33.3k)

4 Rita Ora - I Will Never Let You Down (31.1k)

5 Clean Bandit feat. Sharna Bass - Extraordinary (26.7k) *

 

11-20

12 Ed Sheeran - One

14 Coldplay - A Sky Full Of Stars *

15 Afrojack feat. Wrabel - Ten Feet Tall *

 

21-30

21 Clean Bandit feat. Jess Glynne - Rather Be

23 Katy Perry - Birthday

28 Route 94 feat. Jess Glynne - My Love

29 Pharrell - Marilyn Monroe

 

31-40

33 Sam Smith - Money On My Mind

37 Kristen Bell, Agatha Lee Monn and Katie Lopez - Do You Want To Build A Snowman?

38 Zedd feat. Foxes - Clarity ^

39 Coldplay - Midnight *

 

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 

Albums

 

1 Coldplay - Ghost Stories (121.8k) *

2 Paul Heaton and Jacqui Abbott - What Have We Become (15.1k) *

3 Michael Jackson - Xscape (14k)

4 Oasis - Definitely Maybe (13.9k) ^

5 Paloma Faith - A Perfect Contradiction (8.4k)

 

6-10

10 Arctic Monkeys - AM

 

11-20

12 Katy Perry - PRISM

15 R.E.M. - Unplugged 1991 & 2001 - The Complete Sessions *

17 California Breed - California Breed *

20 Bob Blakeley - Performance *

 

21-30

21 Cherry Ghost - Herd Runners *

23 Bastille - Bad Blood

24 Jeff Buckley - Grace *

25 Cara Dillon - A Thousand Hearts *

 

31-40

31 One Direction - Midnight Memories

32 Casualties Of Cool - Casualties Of Cool *

33 Gregory Porter - Liquid Spirit

35 Sabaton - Heroes *

38 Conor Oberst - Upside Down Mountain *

39 Deep Purple - Made In Japan ^

40 Jake Bugg - Shangri La ^

Friday Update Top 40 Only

 

Singles

 

1 Sam Smith - Stay With Me *

2 Fuse ODG feat. Sean Paul - Dangerous Love *

3 Mr Probz - Waves

4 Rita Ora - I Will Never Let You Down

5 Clean Bandit feat. Sharna Bass - Extraordinary *

 

11-20

13 Coldplay - A Sky Full Of Stars *

14 Ed Sheeran - One

17 Afrojack feat. Wrabel - Ten Feet Tall *

 

21-30

21 Clean Bandit feat. Jess Glynne - Rather Be

22 Katy Perry - Birthday

27 Route 94 feat. Jess Glynne - My Love

29 Pharrell - Marilyn Monroe

 

31-40

33 Sam Smith - Money On My Mind

37 Zedd feat. Foxes - Clarity ^

38 Little Mix - Salute *

 

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 

Albums

 

1 Coldplay - Ghost Stories *

2 Michael Jackson - Xscape

3 Paul Heaton and Jacqui Abbott - What Have We Become *

4 Oasis - Definitely Maybe ^

5 Paloma Faith - A Perfect Contradiction

 

6-10

9 Arctic Monkeys - AM

 

11-20

12 Katy Perry - PRISM

16 R.E.M. - Unplugged 1991 & 2001 - The Complete Sessions *

19 California Breed - California Breed *

20 Bastille - Bad Blood

 

21-30

22 George Michael - Symphonica

23 London Grammar - If You Wait

24 James Blunt - Moon Landing

26 Jeff Buckley - Grace *

27 Bob Blakeley - Performance *

28 Cherry Ghost - Herd Runners *

29 One Direction - Midnight Memories

 

31-40

31 Cara Dillon - A Thousand Hearts *

33 Jake Bugg - Shangri La ^

35 Gregory Porter - Liquid Spirit

38 Kings Of Leon - Mechanical Bull ^

39 Paloma Faith - Do You Want The Truth Or Something Beautiful? ^

40 Casualties Of Cool - Casualties Of Cool *

 

NO SALES INFO

https://twitter.com/DavinaOG

Just looked on iTunes, he seems to be creeping up very slowly, I think the highest he will get is #2, I can't see him challenging for #1.

I think they will fall down to #4 by Sunday.

I think they will fall down to #4 by Sunday.

 

I'm not so sure, Fuse is up to #2 on iTunes now so if he holds up, he can definitely take #2 officially. Fingers crossed!

I'm not so sure, Fuse is up to #2 on iTunes now so if he holds up, he can definitely take #2 officially. Fingers crossed!

Mr Probz will gain from Thursday on, not sure about Rita tbh.

 

Fingers crossed it won't. Fuse sadly is not really a creative artist imo :(

82k for Coldplay!

 

Coldplay's new album, Ghost Stories, is on course for the UK market's 2014 sales speed record after recording the biggest opening day of the year.

 

Ghost Stories, which was released yesterday (May 19), has racked up in excess of 82,000 sales on its opening day, overtaking previous record holder, Paolo Nutini’s Caustic Love, which had sold 44,000 at this early stage.

 

The rapid start puts the UK band well on course for their sixth Official Albums Chart Number 1 album this coming weekend following; Parachutes (2000), A Rush Of Blood To The Head (2002), X&Y (2006), Viva La Vida Or Death And All His Friends (2008) and Mylo Xyloto (2011) – which between them have sold more than 11.1 million copies in the UK alone. Coldplay have also scored two Official Singles Chart Number 1 singles in the UK, Viva la Vida (2008) and Paradise (2011).

 

Official Charts Company chief executive Martin Talbot says, "The arrival of any Coldplay album is always an event and Ghost Stories is no exception. To so comfortably achieve the biggest first day of any album is remarkable, especially after a three–year wait since their last album. Every one of Coldplay’s studio albums has achieved Number 1 status and Ghost Stories is on course to maintain that perfect record."

 

Chairman of Parlophone and Warner Bros. Records UK Miles Leonard, who has worked with Coldplay for more than 15 years since they first signed to Parlophone in 1999, says, "This is another incredible album from a band at the top of their game. There is always huge anticipation ahead of a new Coldplay release so we wanted to be innovative and creative to make sure their fans all over the world are as excited about Ghost Stories as we are. We couldn’t be happier with the early response we’re seeing."

 

Sunday's Official Albums Chart Top 5 also looks likely to include the new album by former Beautiful South mainstays Paul Heaton and Jacqui Abbott, What Have We Become, Oasis's Definitely Maybe reissue and Michael Jackson's current Official Albums Chart Number 1, Xscape.

 

In related news, former The Voice contestant, Bob Blakeley, who failed to make it past the blind audition stage of the competition, looks set to enter the Official Albums Chart Top 20 this weekend, with his debut album, Performance.

 

http://www.officialcharts.com/chart-news/c...m-of-2014-3027/

Wow :o, that's fantastic. It'll surely do at least 170k then but considering its massive pre-orders, I'm not sure it'll break 200k. Still, much better than I (along with most here, I think) was expecting!
Wow :o, that's fantastic. It'll surely do at least 170k then but considering its massive pre-orders, I'm not sure it'll break 200k. Still, much better than I (along with most here, I think) was expecting!

 

I think that sounds a bit too high, I expect its sales to be pretty massively frontloaded but it should hopefully at least do 150k maybe. Hope I'm wrong of course :P We'll see how much it sells tomorrow and that should give a better idea.

In related news, former The Voice contestant, Bob Blakeley, who failed to make it past the blind audition stage of the competition, looks set to enter the Official Albums Chart Top 20 this weekend, with his debut album, Performance.

 

I feel sorry for Leanne but HA if his album manages to go Top 40 when she couldn't break the Top 100. :kink:

I think that sounds a bit too high, I expect its sales to be pretty massively frontloaded but it should hopefully at least do 150k maybe. Hope I'm wrong of course :P We'll see how much it sells tomorrow and that should give a better idea.

 

Yeah, possibly. I was factoring in their Big Weekend show without realising that's actually on the Saturday night :D. Just found that Mylo Xyloto sold 95k on its first day, so they had a 2.19 multiplier there. A similar one would give them 179k but I'd imagine it'd be a bit lower this time.

Wow... amazing sales for Coldplay, I didn't really expect that.

Impressive debut day for Coldplay!!!! I predict at 140k by Sunday, but higher is extremely possible.

 

Looking at kworb, the album is pretty much number 1 across the board. I wonder what the worldwide sales would be like in the first week?

Wow :o, that's fantastic. It'll surely do at least 170k then but considering its massive pre-orders, I'm not sure it'll break 200k. Still, much better than I (along with most here, I think) was expecting!

 

After 82k on day 1, 200k seems very possible to me.

After 82k on day 1, 200k seems very possible to me.

 

It would need to multiply sales by a factor of 2.44, which generally wouldn't be a ridiculous concept but I think pre-orders were exceptionally high so it's highly unlikely IMO. I still hope it can do 170k though.

Edited by Noahspike

170K in these days it's insane! with 350K+/- in the US it's more than enough these days!

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