Sunday Chart Predictions

Predicting the 19/10 to 25/10 chart

 

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No amount of sweet talking will steal Ella's glow

The last single to spend more than two weeks at #1 was back in February when Clean Bandit & Jess Glynne's 'Rather Be' spent four weeks on top. However this week is looking to see Meghan Trainor remain at number one for a third week with 'All About That Bass', meaning new single 'Steal My Girl' from One Direction is likely to become their third #2 rather than their fourth solo #1. Soundtrack to The Equalizer and lead single from his upcoming greatest hits/studio album(?) Shady XV, Eminem's 'Guts Over Fears' (featuring vocals from Sia) is set to become his 27th Top 10 single overall, whilst other new entries in the chart should include 'Bullit' by Watermät, 'Dirty Love' by Wilkinson/Talay Riley, 'Oh Cecilia' by The Vamps, 'Drunk and Incapable' by Krishane/Melissa Steal, 'Break the Rules' by Charli XCX and 'XIX' by Slipknot.

 

Sales in the Top 10 albums should pick up a bit after last week's number one only selling 25k, with former X Factor contestant Ella Henderson looking set to debut at number one with Chapter One. Jessie Ware and Jessie J's albums are predicted to be good sellers this week too with their new albums - titled Tough Love and Sweet Talker respectively - whilst collaborative album rose ave. from P!nk and Dallas Green and, after being sent to all iTunes members for free for a month and now being available to buy physically, Songs of Innocence by U2 should also make the Top 10. Other new entries will come from Spandau Ballet, MKTO and Jonathan Antoine, whilst Pharrell Williams' latest album should climb back up the chart following his X Factor performance.

 

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Please note new changes to the Sunday Chart Predictions thread topic:

 

Tuesday/Thursday - There will be no mids from MW for Tuesday and Thursday, however they may come from other sources - this is not always guaranteed. You can still post your own predictions for the week to generate chat to the topic.

 

Wednesday - Radio 1 Chart Top 40 mid update will be posted with links to Radio 1 and any other chart info from MW and OCC from 3:30pm to 4pm

 

Friday - Final Mid update from MW from 11am onwards. Sales info is a separate issue will be available from 2pm onwards if available.

 

To keep everyone in the loop of all chart action please refer to the iTunes thread topic.

Tuesday Update Top 40 Only

 

Singles

 

1 Meghan Trainor - All About That Bass (35.4k)

2 One Direction - Steal My Girl (26.9k) *

3 Taylor Swift - Shake It Off (15k)

4 Eminem feat. Sia - Guts Over Fear (14.6k) *

5 Jessie J, Ariana Grande and Nicki Minaj - Bang Bang (13.6k)

 

6-10

6 Watermät - Bullit *

7 Ed Sheeran - Thinking Out Loud

10 Wilkinson feat. Talay Riley - Dirty Love *

 

11-20

15 Ella Henderson - Ghost

18 Krishane feat. Melissa Steel - Drunk And Incapable *

19 Charli XCX - Break The Rules *

 

31-40

31 Pharrell - Happy

34 The Vamps feat. Shawn Mendes - Oh Cecilia (Breaking My Heart) * (missing sales)

 

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 

Albums

 

1 Ella Henderson - Chapter One (21.2k) *

2 Jessie J - Sweet Talker (8.9k) *

3 U2 - Songs Of Innocence (8.2k) *

4 Ed Sheeran - x (7.2k)

5 Jessie Ware - Tough Love (5.7k) *

 

6-10

8 You+Me - rose ave. *

10 Spandau Ballet - The Story - The Very Best Of *

 

11-20

11 Jonathan Antoine - Tenore *

12 Pharrell - G I R L ^

14 Slash Featuring Myles Kennedy And The Conspirators - World On Fire ^

15 The Stone Roses - The Stone Roses ^ (99p on Google Play)

19 Si Cranstoun - Modern Life *

20 Leonard Cohen - Popular Problems

 

21-30

21 Madness - One Step Beyond... ^

25 Ozzy Osbourne - Memoirs Of A Madman *

26 The Vamps - Meet The Vamps

28 5 Seconds Of Summer - 5 Seconds Of Summer

 

31-40

34 The 2 Bears - The Night Is Young *

35 Ben Howard - Every Kingdom ^

39 Iron Maiden - The Complete Albums Collection 1980-1988 *

40 Ed Sheeran - + ^

Wednesday Update Top 40 Only

Source: Radio 1/OCC

 

Top 40 Singles

 

1 Meghan Trainor - All About That Bass (48.8k)

2 One Direction - Steal My Girl (31.9k) *

3 Taylor Swift - Shake It Off (22.2k)

4 Jessie J, Ariana Grande and Nicki Minaj - Bang Bang (19.4k - 1 copy ahead)

5 The Vamps feat. Shawn Mendes - Oh Cecilia (Breaking My Heart) (19.4k) *

 

6-10

6 Eminem feat. Sia - Guts Over Fear *

7 Ed Sheeran - Thinking Out Loud

9 Watermät - Bullit *

 

11-20

13 Wilkinson feat. Talay Riley - Dirty Love *

16 Ella Henderson - Ghost

19 Krishane feat. Melissa Steel - Drunk And Incapable *

 

21-30

22 Ariana Grande feat. Zedd - Break Free

24 Charli XCX - Break The Rules *

 

31-40

34 Ed Sheeran - Sing

37 Pharrell - Happy

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio1/chart/updatesingles/print

 

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Top 40 Albums

 

1 Ella Henderson - Chapter One (26.3k) *

2 Jessie J - Sweet Talker (11.2k) *

3 Ed Sheeran - x (10.3k)

4 U2 - Songs Of Innocence (10.2k) *

5 George Ezra - Wanted On Voyage (7k)

 

6-10

6 Jessie Ware - Tough Love *

8 You+Me - rose ave. *

10 Spandau Ballet - The Story - The Very Best Of *

 

11-20

11 Jonathan Antoine - Tenore *

12 Pharrell - G I R L ^

14 Slash Featuring Myles Kennedy And The Conspirators - World On Fire ^

19 Leonard Cohen - Popular Problems

 

21-30

23 Si Cranstoun - Modern Life *

24 Ozzy Osbourne - Memoirs Of A Madman *

25 Madness - One Step Beyond... ^

27 5 Seconds Of Summer - 5 Seconds Of Summer

28 The Vamps - Meet The Vamps

29 Ben Howard - Every Kingdom ^

 

31-40

35 The 2 Bears - The Night Is Young *

37 Hoodie Allen - All About It *

38 Ed Sheeran - + ^

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio1/chart/updatealbums/print

No Thursday Update

Friday Update Top 40 Only

 

Singles

 

1 Meghan Trainor - All About That Bass (72.6k)

2 One Direction - Steal My Girl (41.4k) *

3 Taylor Swift - Shake It Off (35.4k)

4 Ed Sheeran - Thinking Out Loud (29.5k)

5 Jessie J, Ariana Grande and Nicki Minaj - Bang Bang (29.3k)

 

6-10

6 The Vamps feat. Shawn Mendes - Oh Cecilia (Breaking My Heart) *

8 Eminem feat. Sia - Guts Over Fear *

 

11-20

11 Watermät - Bullit *

16 Wilkinson feat. Talay Riley - Dirty Love *

18 Ella Henderson - Ghost

20 Ariana Grande feat. Zedd - Break Free

 

21-30

23 Krishane feat. Melissa Steel - Drunk And Incapable *

26 Sam Smith - Stay With Me

28 Charli XCX - Break The Rules *

29 Ed Sheeran - Don't

 

31-40

31 Hozier - Take Me To Church

34 Ed Sheeran - Sing

38 Pharrell - Happy

 

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 

Albums

 

1 Ella Henderson - Chapter One (34.1k) *

2 Ed Sheeran - x (17.7k)

3 Jessie J - Sweet Talker (13.9k) *

4 U2 - Songs Of Innocence (12.6k) *

5 George Ezra - Wanted On Voyage (11.3k)

 

6-10

7 Jessie Ware - Tough Love *

9 Spandau Ballet - The Story - The Very Best Of *

10 You+Me - rose ave. *

 

11-20

11 Jonathan Antoine - Tenore *

12 Pharrell - G I R L ^

15 Paolo Nutini - Caustic Love

17 Slash Featuring Myles Kennedy And The Conspirators - World On Fire ^

18 Royal Blood - Royal Blood

19 Paloma Faith - A Perfect Contradiction

 

21-30

22 Leonard Cohen - Popular Problems

23 Ozzy Osbourne - Memoirs Of A Madman *

24 Si Cranstoun - Modern Life *

26 5 Seconds Of Summer - 5 Seconds Of Summer

28 The Vamps - Meet The Vamps

29 Ben Howard - Every Kingdom ^

 

31-40

31 Coldplay - Ghost Stories

34 London Grammar - If You Wait

38 Ed Sheeran - + ^

40 Madness - One Step Beyond... ^

hope Jessie Ware can at least match Devotion's peak (will sell considerably more than that did 1st week, but this'll be a pretty competitive week with Ella/Ed/George/the other Jessie all surely in the top 5)

 

I'm guessing Ozzy Osborne and Julian Casablancas will also chart on the album charts

I'm guessing that 1D will be inexplicably #1 in the first set of midweeks like Nicki was last week (despite having zero streams, and not getting to #1 on iTunes).

 

I saw copies of "God Only Knows" (CD single) for sale in Morrisons earlier, so I wonder if that might get a physical boost this week. Who am I kidding, that'll amount to about 230 copies!

I'm guessing that 1D will be inexplicably #1 in the first set of midweeks like Nicki was last week (despite having zero streams, and not getting to #1 on iTunes).

 

Not sure if the bracketed part refers to 1D or Nicki (or both) but Steal My Girl debuted at #50 on Spotify today which is a pretty decent start and definitely not 0 streams.

 

Reaally hoping The Vamps can make the top 10 with Oh Cecilia :(

It wasn't on Spotify earlier. Which GENIUS decided to release it the same week as the digital release? Or was it another iTunes deal (don't stream it or else we won't advertise you on our front page?)

Really? Slipknot to chart? I would actually love that to see how they react. I'm glad 1D won't be hitting #1. Would like to see Eminem & The Vamps both miss top ten but would very much welcome Watermat and Wilkinson.

Think 1D & The Vamps will be 1-2 in the first mids!

Slipknot's song is an ineligible instant grat so won't be charting :P

the one direction song was showing up grey on spotify but if you clicked on the track it showed up as playable

Are the X-Factor tracks going to be eligible like the Voice ones were?

Are the X-Factor tracks going to be eligible like the Voice ones were?

 

I don't think anyone knows for sure. We'll find out in the mids I guess.

I don't see why they wouldn't allow the x-factor songs to chart tbh, especially as The Voice songs were able to chart. I'm expecting One Direction to be #01 in the first midweeks tomorrow but I'm expecting it to be incredibly close.

 

It will be interesting to see if 'Shake It Off' will repeak at #03 or manage to get a new peak at #02 this week. She's 7% behind One Direction on iTunes (who are falling at a fast speed) and streaming could help her come the end of the week.

 

I'm not sure where The Vamps will finish come Sunday tbh. I'm expecting it to peak around #08-12 but it should be #04 in the first midweeks.

Well if they are then we could be looking at potentially 9 new entries on the first update!

Shame Taylor's X Factor effect hasn't been as big as I was hoping for.

Meghan will definitely hold the top spot by far.

https://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?stor...819883558029746

 

Can someone tell them that is not a midweek chart :lol: -_- http://www.sherv.net/cm/emoticons/hand-gestures/doh-smiley-emoticon.gif