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Sunday Chart Predictions

Predicting the 04/01 to 10/01 chart

 

http://i57.tinypic.com/4h9sav.jpg

 

The effect of the iTunes gift cards is set to dominate the chart again this week. The only new release to trouble the Top 10 and indeed the Top 40 will probably just come from Philip George's 'Wish You Were Mine', however Mark and Bruno's hold at #1 with 'Uptown Funk' should remain theirs for a third non-consecutive week.

 

The album chart will be even more sparse for new entries, with Ed Sheeran probably remaining at #1 unless Sam Smith or George Ezra can return there. Expect big climbs from albums old and recent to shoot back up the chart due to sale discounts.

 

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Some minor adjustments this week due to lack of chart info and sales content

 

Unfortunately MW will probably not publish anything this week due to the Christmas & New Year's break, we are also not expecting any chart info from other sources. OCC could publish the odd report Tues/mid week, for now please follow the iTunes thread topic for the latest chart info.

 

http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=172974

 

Chart update on Radio 1 is not transmitted this Wednesday. :(

 

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Top 40 Friday Update Only

 

Singles

 

1 Mark Ronson feat. Bruno Mars - Uptown Funk

2 Philip George - Wish You Were Mine *

3 Ed Sheeran - Thinking Out Loud

4 Ben Haenow - Something I Need

5 Taylor Swift - Blank Space

 

11-20

13 Hozier - Take Me To Church

14 Clean Bandit and Jess Glynne - Real Love

17 George Ezra - Budapest

19 George Ezra - Blame It On Me

 

21-30

22 David Guetta feat. Sam Martin - Dangerous

25 Sia - Chandelier

28 Ella Henderson - Ghost

29 Calvin Harris feat. John Newman - Blame

30 Clean Bandit feat. Jess Glynne - Rather Be ^

 

31-40

31 Blonde feat. Melissa Steel - I Loved You

32 Mr Probz - Waves

33 Pharrell - Happy ^

34 Sigma feat. Paloma Faith - Changing ^

37 John Legend - All Of Me ^

39 The Script - Superheroes ^

 

==========================

 

Albums

 

1 Ed Sheeran - x

2 George Ezra - Wanted On Voyage

3 Sam Smith - In The Lonely Hour

4 Taylor Swift - 1989

5 Paloma Faith - A Perfect Contradiction

 

6-10

7 Calvin Harris - Motion

9 The Script - No Sound Without Silence

10 Foo Fighters - Sonic Highways

 

11-20

13 Paolo Nutini - Caustic Love

14 Royal Blood - Royal Blood

16 Hozier - Hozier

17 Bastille - Bad Blood ^

20 John Legend - Love In The Future

 

21-30

21 OneRepublic - Native

22 Lana Del Rey - Ultraviolence ^

23 AC/DC - Back In Black ^

26 Ben Howard - I Forget Where We Were

28 Arctic Monkeys - AM

 

31-40

33 Kasabian - 48:13 ^

34 Catfish And The Bottlemen - The Balcony ^

35 The Vamps - Meet The Vamps ^

38 5 Seconds Of Summer - 5 Seconds Of Summer ^

40 Oasis - Time Flies... 1994-2009 ^

 

NO SALES

Music Week did publish a midweeks update on the Friday after the New Year at the start of this year and if I recall also did so for the previous two years on the first Friday of the year. So whether we get an update from Music Week on Friday 2 January 2015 will depend on whether someone is in the Music Week office on Friday and if so whether the member of staff gets around to publishing the midweeks. Fingers crossed...
Music Week did publish a midweeks update on the Friday after the New Year at the start of this year and if I recall also did so for the previous two years on the first Friday of the year. So whether we get an update from Music Week on Friday 2 January 2015 will depend on whether someone is in the Music Week office on Friday and if so whether the member of staff gets around to publishing the midweeks. Fingers crossed...

 

 

Yeah we got one last year, towards the end of the week

 

Here is the link

 

http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=161235

 

Mind you Paul Williams is longer with MW, and since he left no one has written further reports, and usually Friday's MW data section goes ga ga, so I'm not entirely sure we get anything.

Hope Mark/Bruno can break 100k again this week :)

 

I would think it should clear 100K again quite easily this week as iTunes Giftcard/Hits of The Year/NYE party sales contribute as well as it's Streaming dominance - next week might tell a different story though

Some facts and figures for 2014 from OCC

 

http://www.officialcharts.com/chart-news/2...s-of-2014-3383/

 

12 other tracks joined the million-sellers club this year:

 

Pharrell Williams’ Happy

Adele’s Rolling In The Deep

Rihanna’s Diamonds

Pitbull’s Give Me Everything FT Ne-Yo, Afrojack and Nayer

Katy Perry’s Firework

Naughty Boy’s La La La FT Sam Smith

UB40’s Red Red Wine

Journey’s Don’t Stop Believin’

Take That’s Rule The World

OneRepublic’s Counting Stars

Kylie Minogue & Jason Donovan’s Especially For You

Lou Bega’s Mambo No. 5 (A Little Bit Of…)

I think it'll have at least another 2 weeks above 100K. Streaming is certainly going to be adding around 20K/week for a while now.

 

I'm hoping 2015 will have less #1 singles, having Mark Ronson staying put for a couple of weeks, seems to be heading in the right direction :funky: when at the beginning of the year it changed every week until Clean Bandit released Rather Be.

 

I'm hoping 2015 will have less #1 singles, having Mark Ronson staying put for a couple of weeks, seems to be heading in the right direction :funky: when at the beginning of the year it changed every week until Clean Bandit released Rather Be.

 

I think that's a given, no doubt it won't be long before the streaming #1 'sells' 25-30k a week on average. I'm sure we'll see loads of sales #1's miss out officially in 2015 and I wouldn't be at all surprised if we get a long running #1 next year of the 6+ weeks variety.

Wow at Kylie having 2 million sellers. Now joining Rihanna and Adele for having multiple million sellers for a female!

 

And Olivia Newton John too.

Edited by Ne Plus Ultra

Some facts and figures for 2014 from OCC

 

http://www.officialcharts.com/chart-news/2...s-of-2014-3383/

 

12 other tracks joined the million-sellers club this year:

 

Pharrell Williams’ Happy

Adele’s Rolling In The Deep

Rihanna’s Diamonds

Pitbull’s Give Me Everything FT Ne-Yo, Afrojack and Nayer

Katy Perry’s Firework

Naughty Boy’s La La La FT Sam Smith

UB40’s Red Red Wine

Journey’s Don’t Stop Believin’

Take That’s Rule The World

OneRepublic’s Counting Stars

Kylie Minogue & Jason Donovan’s Especially For You

Lou Bega’s Mambo No. 5 (A Little Bit Of…)

 

They haven't mentioned John Legend and Mr Probz

They haven't mentioned John Legend and Mr Probz

They only announce songs as million sellers when they've sold one million copies (without streaming)

If we don't get something from Music Week then I'm hoping Mint Royale will slip us something, even if it's just the sales of the #1s.
They haven't mentioned John Legend and Mr Probz

Thats because they aren't official million sellers yet :D

I wasn't sure where to look but while I'm here does anyone know how close Happy is to 2 million yet? IIRC it was about 1.5m a few months ago :thinking:

 

And I think it will be the first 2m seller of 21st century! (still overrated as hell though <_<)

 

The Million Sellers thread says 1,955,000 including streaming but if it's possible I'd like to know the physical sales and how old that update was :D

I wasn't sure where to look but while I'm here does anyone know how close Happy is to 2 million yet? IIRC it was about 1.5m a few months ago :thinking:

 

And I think it will be the first 2m seller of 21st century! (still overrated as hell though <_<)

 

The Million Sellers thread says 1,955,000 including streaming but if it's possible I'd like to know the physical sales and how old that update was :D

 

We'll have to wait till Thursday when they publish the 2014 EOY chart where they will reveal how many copies "Happy" sold in 2014 and in total

I wasn't sure where to look but while I'm here does anyone know how close Happy is to 2 million yet? IIRC it was about 1.5m a few months ago :thinking:

 

And I think it will be the first 2m seller of 21st century! (still overrated as hell though <_<)

 

The Million Sellers thread says 1,955,000 including streaming but if it's possible I'd like to know the physical sales and how old that update was :D

 

This probably isn't the best thread to ask this question - however, since the OCC will be giving us pretty much nothing this week we may as well discuss this here.

 

The last OCC figure we have is 2,054,862 up to 7 December, however that includes streams. The streams are ~27 million so using a bit of rough maths gives a total download/physical sale of about 1.784 million. It has likely sold a few hundred physical copies within that total, there was a 12" vinyl released earlier this year which I saw in HMV recently too.

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