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I don't believe we can dislodge this cabal of landed gentŕy chancers, ever, but there is a glimmet of hope here.
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Maddening how after everything the headline is he’s down to 40%!
It'll be interesting to see how the polling goes over the next few weeks. A number of events are happening which could further disapproval on the tories. The comment Boris made about bodies piling high, more info from Cummings and Boris has just said any donations for his flat renovation will be revealed.

New polling analysis and projection, Survation 20th - 22nd of April 2021

 

Holyrood seats projection:

SNP ~ 67

Labour ~ 25

Conservative ~ 21

Green ~ 10

Lib Dem ~ 6

Indeed, imagine of the accusations by the Tories against Sturgeon hadnt have happened!
Oh wow plus the combined score of LAB,LD,GREEN and SNP is huge.
The polls seem a bit all over the place at the moment - hard to tell if there difference is one of the extremes (1% or 11%) or somewhere in the middle. Guess we might know a little more next week.

I think Survation and Ipsos tend to be the safest bets to take seriously based on their track record comparing their polls to the GE results in the 2010s? I'm sure it was Survation who had the closest final poll for the last three GEs.

 

If it was anyone other than Ipsos and Survation showing the smallest leads of Con +3 and Con +1 respectively, I'd probably think those polls were more likely to be outliers. The wide range certainly makes next week's local elections more interesting to see who is currently in the right range!

  • 2 weeks later...
Tories 15 points ahead!

 

The Yougov poll:

 

@1393119361536335876

 

Not surprising given the local election results and the reshuffling of the cabinet. Greens 3rd largest party with 8% in that poll!

 

Yeh glad the Greens are the third largest party now although a lot of that support will be concentrated in certain areas in a GE whereas the Liberal vote is more spread and so gain more seats.
1labour shedding its left voters. Its core support is still suppressed due to Starmer not standing for anything.
@1396057366265843721

 

I would not be surprised to see Labour go lower at this point.

 

Interested to see how high the conservatives will go. I have a feeling they may hit 50% when all restrictions are relaxed in June. I wouldn't be surprised if they call an early election for this year to try and get an even bigger majority...

It's a one party state with Tory control over the media, or media control over the Tories, but whichever way, they're in bed together. You have the righr wing trolls EVERYWHERE, too, laughing at the elft and shouting ill-informed things about socialism ... even when Labour is now neoliberal. If they are going to claim you're socialist, you may as well BE socialist! Look at the USA. Bernie was a democratic socialist and Biden really right wing, but the election was fought on him being a "socialist"!!!!
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