@1575736360824340481

 

Another 20 point lead poll

An election one might want to begin studying if figures like this hold:

 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1993_Canadian_federal_election

 

result: governing Progressive Conservatives reduced from governing with 156 to 2 (!) seats (interestingly, with a PM with less than 6 months in office, also in a great moment for women's rights in Canada, their only female PM to date), have to disband their party and rebrand after merging with a slightly more successful UKIP equivalent.

 

Bloc Québecois became the official opposition. Obvious parallels there too with the models that have been going around after that poll.

 

(do think the models are underrating Lib Dems and Tories even in the event of complete Tory collapse to about those figures, some true blue rural areas would still vote Tory by default and Lib Dems are second in enough of the south that they'd be the anti-Tory party and not Labour, but SNP would still be of a comparable size to either on those figures and that's incredible)

 

I can't see the Tories splitting in this country as the brand is so strong, but it is clear right now that the politics Truss will be offering is not true Conservatism for the moderates. I think she will backtrack on a few bits, but this will finish her career off. She is lucky Parliment is not sitting as she would get a grilling.

 

I'm sure someone mentioned Major earlier - I have only read bits and pieces over the last week, but at the time didn't her see this coming and backed himself in to an internal power grab? Truss and her team did not see this coming which is why it is a car crash and will continue to be.

Ugh I wish there was a general election in the near future. Dizzy Liz and her Tory ghouls need to be booted out ASAP!!!

Remember when Common Sense was gloating, saying Blojo would wlak the next three elections?! Lol x

Also, Corbyn would have been 30 points ahead, offering an ACTUAL alternative!

Also, Corbyn would have been 30 points ahead, offering an ACTUAL alternative!

 

Only 30 points?

 

One poll has Labour at 33 points ahead

@1575871773140099073

 

Another 30+ point lead

@1575874214170484737

Only 30 points?

 

One poll has Labour at 33 points ahead

 

Michael finally admitting Starmer is better than Corbyn.. hell has frozen over!!

HA!!+ Corbyn is 10X better than Starmer!! Put Corbyn vs Truss now and he wouñd be slaying. Put Starmer vs the Brexshit buoyed Blojo vote in 2019 and he would ahve been steamrollered.

@1575874214170484737

 

Important not to be too complacent about these recent polls, but that's a VERY significant shift in public opinion and I think it'll be incredibly difficult for the government to find a way back from this point. Once you reach a tipping point like this, then there's almost an inevitable momentum and shift that feels unstoppable.

 

Just a shame that this probably means Truss will delay holding the next GE as much as possible until January 2025. :(

She should go all out and let scotland have indyref and then blame starmer for killing the Union to reenergise her base

Highest ever lead (25%) for Labour at Savanta ComRes today, that's since it was founded 19 years ago in 2003.

 

 

@1576963829753430016

Excellent to see the massive Labour lead continuing :D

 

 

@1579502016027508738

Let's face it - Truss is a turkey. And she's U turning and getting into rows all over the place! Despite the carnage this is quite beautiful to watch.

@1580648504510148609

 

19%

 

When was the last time they were in the teens?

Summer 2019, though that was rather exceptional 'Brexit voters betrayed' circumstances and the Brexit Party was basically shadow acting as the rest of the Conservative vote.

 

This... I don't know off the top of my head if they went lower than that over the 1992-97 period but it's certainly the first time since then that the whole right-wing vote has been that low.

 

edit: this is the first one I can find, that 9 Jan is 1995(!!):

 

9 Jan Gallup/Telegraph Con: 18.5% Lab: 62% Lib: 14%

This is why I wanted her to win over Sunak :lol:

 

However, she isn't even as bad as Blojo the Clown!!!

@1581750877865807872

 

A poll by Opinium for the Trades Union Congress using the MRP method to estimate constituency-level results, projected a 1997-style landslide for Labour, with the party winning 411 seats.

 

It suggests the Conservatives would lose 219 seats to end up on 137, with the Liberal Democrats on 39 seats and SNP on 37, with 10 cabinet ministers including Jeremy Hunt, Jacob Rees-Mogg, and Thérèse Coffey losing their seats in a general election, along with former prime minister Boris Johnson.

 

Love to see it!

 

@1581759635308314625

 

Priti fucking useless losing her seat as well. I mean, that would be a moment!