I think I'd usually have said based off their last two albums that Kylie had it in the bag. However, BBC's The Search is going to make it a bit closer, as well as the fact Little Mix (presumably) will have had 3 hits off the album this time rather than one. I'm going to wait to see how many physical bundles and variants Little Mix have on Friday before voting.

 

An exciting battle though - it could end up being very close.

Edited September 16, 20204 yr by 365

I'm remembering LM5 was number 3 with over 50k sales? If there is competition like that again then I don't see either of them going #1. I'm predicting 40k for Kylie and 50k for LM but the performance of the third single will be important for LM.

Edited September 16, 20204 yr by Zak

Little Mix’s next single is crucial. They could be in with a shot if the next single they release is an instant smash and if promo is strong.

 

Kylie’s album will sell regardless in week one but hopefully she has a killer second single too what can at least have a “Dancing” style run.

 

At the minute I’m thinking Kylie but she does have the advantage for the time being.

 

What’s more interesting as well is what album will hold up better in week 2?

Kylie.

big win for Little Mix

It will be close though it always seems that when Kylie is “expected” to do well she never really does. Like Body Language semi-flopped at no 6 after Fever was a global phenomenon, X underperformed when there was such immense goodwill and hype for her comeback and Kiss Me Once flopped during her stint on the Voice.

 

She seems to perform best when she’s the underdog, like for Golden and Light Years.

Kylie has sold 15k in pre-orders at the moment which is very strong. However, most of an artists' pre-orders come in the first week. (In comparison Steps have done 8k)

Edited September 17, 20204 yr by 365

Probably Kylie due to the amount of formats she'll have.

 

It's worth noting Little Mix probably won't be allowed perform or plug the album on The Search given BBC's restrictions.

I think LM may be able to get it over Kylie.

 

I don't think they can plug the album but they can defo perform their songs on the show as Jesy confirmed that they were performing on every show.

I might end up being way off, but I think The Search is going to do a lot of heavy lifting for Little Mix- I think they probably need a bit of a refresh in the public eyes, so it's coming at the perfect time.

 

Even if the show doesn't get huge 5+ million a show ratings, the time slot is big enough in itself so it'll be pulling in a couple of million regardless. Even before they get to the live shows where they'll be performing, the series is basically going to be a weekly prime time advertisement for them as a band, as personalities and their success in the industry (Given the show's blueprint is basically finding the next Little Mix). It's going to be like having one of those one off BBC specials that Adele/Ariana etc have had, but like instead being on every weekend during Q4.

I think Kylie will score the number 1 but little mix will have better longevity and "sales" overall.

It’s a bit frustrating that Kylie could have been no 1 in the last couple of weeks (and the next few weeks looking at the release schedule bar any surprise releases) pretty much on those presales alone, but she may have to settle for no 2 or lower in November. I guess they’re more interested in total sales leading up to Christmas.

The other #1s after Kylie or LM will likely be McFly, Gary Barlow (release not confirmed yet but it'll likely be Nov 20th) and Steps.

McFly haven't had a #1 album since 2005 and their last album peaked at #20, I'd be pretty shocked if their new album got to #1? The singles haven't exactly generated much interest.

I might end up being way off, but I think The Search is going to do a lot of heavy lifting for Little Mix- I think they probably need a bit of a refresh in the public eyes, so it's coming at the perfect time.

 

Even if the show doesn't get huge 5+ million a show ratings, the time slot is big enough in itself so it'll be pulling in a couple of million regardless. Even before they get to the live shows where they'll be performing, the series is basically going to be a weekly prime time advertisement for them as a band, as personalities and their success in the industry (Given the show's blueprint is basically finding the next Little Mix). It's going to be like having one of those one off BBC specials that Adele/Ariana etc have had, but like instead being on every weekend during Q4.

As it’s on the BBC they can’t be seen to overly promote one artist. Just the same when Let It Shine was looking for the next Take That. It didn’t have Take That on apart from I think one performance and it was a classic not a new single from their album at the time. The show will help the album slightly but not much. Wouldn’t be surprised if Kylie pops up for a performance during the final or something.

As it’s on the BBC they can’t be seen to overly promote one artist. Just the same when Let It Shine was looking for the next Take That. It didn’t have Take That on apart from I think one performance and it was a classic not a new single from their album at the time. The show will help the album slightly but not much. Wouldn’t be surprised if Kylie pops up for a performance during the final or something.

 

They've already confirmed that they will be performing a new song every week on the lives.

McFly haven't had a #1 album since 2005 and their last album peaked at #20, I'd be pretty shocked if their new album got to #1? The singles haven't exactly generated much interest.

Yeah, as much as I'd love McFly to get another #1 album, I'd have to agree with this.

I suppose it's quite hard to predict McFly's sales given it's 10 years since their last. But they sold out their tour extremely quickly, and Busted's second album since their reunion sold 17k. So I think this could push for 25k+,

I think Kylie will do it easily to be honest, however I would love it to be Little Mix!

 

 

I hate that both are clashing as id be happy for both to have a week at number 1 but i want the number 1 more for Kylie. I think kylie will open on higher numbers but Little mix will sell more long term.