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Lol at the Ed stans, that's a bullshit comparison if there ever was one, maybe look at album sales instead lol

ah yes, because when talking about Adele's new single and speculating about how it will perform on the singles chart, and comparing it to Ed Sheeran's singles and how they've performed on the singles chart, it clearly makes more sense to look at the album sales of the respective artists. lol

 

anyway, the bottom line here is that both artists are ridiculously successful, Ed tends to have more success overall on the singles chart, Adele tends to have more success overall on the albums chart, Adele's new single will do insane numbers when it releases and '=' and '30' will almost certainly end up as the 2 best selling albums of 2021 in the UK, despite only releasing in the final months.

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Looking forward to seeing what they both sell by year end!

Anyway moving on…what does everyone think for album cover art?

 

I’m assuming she will be following suit with a facial shot, Jamaican Adele would be a good one lmao.

Adele has been away for quite some time so interested to see how this will perform. There will be a lot of hype but I have a feeling she won’t do as well as a lot of people are expecting.
Adele has been away for quite some time so interested to see how this will perform. There will be a lot of hype but I have a feeling she won’t do as well as a lot of people are expecting.

 

By todays standards the single and album will both be massive. Not quite 'Hello' and '25' massive though. The market has dipped so much in the last six years! Wouldnt shock me if the single passes 200k first week and album 400k in a week- which would still be massive

 

The single doing 200k in a week definitely would be a shock! Even the very biggest streaming hits don't do much over 100k in any particular week, of course Adele will likely have better pure sales than most big streaming hits but I don't exactly see her shifting 100k downloads, that's nearly LadBaby numbers.

I think she'll easily do at least 150k combined chart sales in the first week. I'm expecting in the upper bracket of 150-200k though.

 

I'll eat my words if she doesn't.

I think with a combination of strong streaming and paid for sales it could beat the last LadBaby single. It's Adele so all bets are off.

 

I'll say 175k, enough to make it the biggest weekly sale since Shape Of You.

I'm gonna stick my neck out and predict a debut of 110k (and I think it is more likely to be under that than over). Maybe I'll look silly in a couple of weeks - my track record of predictions is spotty to put it kindly :lol: - but I'm just not sure I can see these most fanciful predictions in light of how much the market has changed. x
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So the number one on Spotify only doing around 450k max this week, can’t see Adele not beating that next week even if it falls from a first few days huge figure!

5,286,231 - 21

3,700,705 - 25

2,499,675 - 19

 

3,062,099 - Someone Like You

2,068,803 - Rolling in the Deep

1,999,751 - Make You Feel My Love

1,444,681 - When We Were Young

1,245,047 - Send My Love (To Your New Lover)

160,207 - Love in the Dark

I'm gonna stick my neck out and predict a debut of 110k (and I think it is more likely to be under that than over). Maybe I'll look silly in a couple of weeks - my track record of predictions is spotty to put it kindly :lol: - but I'm just not sure I can see these most fanciful predictions in light of how much the market has changed. x

 

I agree with you. This is not 2015 anymore.

Situation 5 days before...

The hype is real.

... 9 songs in the top 200 and no Hello.

 

#57. When We Were Young (+4)

#61. Love In The Dark (+4)

#65. Rolling In The Deep (+12)

#66. Someone Like You (+7)

#120. Chasing Pavements (+14)

#129. Set Fire to the Rain (+2)

#130. Make You Feel My Love (+3)

#135. Send My Love (-6)

#197. Rumour Has It (RE)

Situation 5 days before...

The hype is real.

... 9 songs in the top 200 and no Hello.

 

#57. When We Were Young (+4)

#61. Love In The Dark (+4)

#65. Rolling In The Deep (+12)

#66. Someone Like You (+7)

#120. Chasing Pavements (+14)

#129. Set Fire to the Rain (+2)

#130. Make You Feel My Love (+3)

#135. Send My Love (-6)

#197. Rumour Has It (RE)

 

The GP are ready for the return, streams will be huge for the new single.

25 is already up to 12 in the midweek chart! This is just a single announcement, imagine what will happen when her new album actually drops!
25 is already up to 12 in the midweek chart! This is just a single announcement, imagine what will happen when her new album actually drops!

 

It'll be interesting to see next week when the lead single drops Friday! Adele mania will likely take place. :lol:

The GP are ready for the return, streams will be huge for the new single.

 

A day after.

 

37 (+20) When We Were Young

 

38 (+23) Love In the Dark

 

47 (+19) Someone Like You

 

50 (+15) Rolling in the Deep

 

74 (+46) Chasing Pavements

 

87 (+34) Set Fire To The Rain

 

92 (+38) Make You Feel My Love

 

95 (+40) Send My Love (To Your New Lover)

 

135 (+62) Rumour Has It

 

141 (RE) Skyfall

 

The good part is that on AM and Amazon she has the same amount of song in the top 100/ so it's not even Spotify or support heavy. It's just the demend.

The GP are ready for the return, streams will be huge for the new single.

 

A day after.

 

37 (+20) When We Were Young

 

38 (+23) Love In the Dark

 

47 (+19) Someone Like You

 

50 (+15) Rolling in the Deep

 

74 (+46) Chasing Pavements

 

87 (+34) Set Fire To The Rain

 

92 (+38) Make You Feel My Love

 

95 (+40) Send My Love (To Your New Lover)

 

135 (+62) Rumour Has It

 

141 (RE) Skyfall

 

The good part is that on AM and Amazon she has the same amount of song in the top 100/200 so it's not even Spotify or support heavy. It's just the demend.

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