The one somewhat hopeful outworking of the last few weeks is that I don’t think Trump will be physically or mentally capable of running again in 2028, so when he loses this will FINALLY, hopefully, be the end of Trump.

 

I don’t think Trumpism will go anywhere, but as shown with the primaries and many dozens of other elections, few others get the same near total lack of media scrutiny as Trump himself and have rarely proven such an electoral threat.

 

I’m choosing to be positive and hope that Kamala learns from the mistakes of Biden and goes BIG with the necessary changes (mainly ending the filibuster and expanding the Supreme Court).

He def will, hes 76 now like.

I'm pessimistic but I'm hoping it'll end up working out

He def will, hes 76 now like.

 

He’s 78.

 

However, aside from his age he is quite evidently and obviously both physically and mentally unwell. The most likely diagnosis being Alzheimer’s. If the media were in any way willing to treat Trump with the same approach as Biden (and Democrats) it would be dominating the dialogue.

 

Of course the people behind Trump know this, which is why JD Vance is the VP pick.

The polls today are good for Harris the momentum is good for Harris the odds are now closing too so the indications are not great for Trump but technically he’s still ahead according to everything but I’m not so sure. If Trump is going to win he has to win Michigan its that simple. That’s where Kennedy and Stein are getting 6% he needs to take those votes by being anti-war and highlighting Kamala as pro-war otherwise I think he loses

Those odds for Trump were totally fake. It was the first time betrign was legal for elections, and they were sandbagged by the rich. Unfortunately it is still 50/50, so we'll see

Have y'all seen thr photo where he looks like he dressed as a sex doll for Halloween? Or heard about his only fans-style anticd with the microphone? He is vile.

Would anyone like to guess when (UK time) Trump will declare himself the winner?

Trump's speaking live now in Gastonia, North Carolina, live on Youtube, and he looks very well indeed. 10 times better than senile Joe.

 

I think Trump will be declared the winner, over 270, by 9am our time.

 

Would anyone like to guess when (UK time) Trump will declare himself the winner?

 

Thought he already did that back in 2020, so 4 years ago. :lol:

I would in all serious be worried if he just lost like 2020, will he bring his supporters on to the streets?

He’s already planning for it - rallies in New York and California, states he won’t even come close to winning are designed to rouse as many people as possible in advance of next week.

 

Every legal case they’ve brought in the last 3/6 months is also part of the plan. With the nakedly partisan Supreme Court in play, who knows what could happen.

 

My hope is Kamala wins a convincing enough victory in enough states that it’s impossible to concoct any kind of realistic argument election interference “stole it”.

He’s already planning for it - rallies in New York and California, states he won’t even come close to winning are designed to rouse as many people as possible in advance of next week.

well that's already concerning considering that the part of California I live in is this weird area of red and blue but mostly red

 

Trump's speaking live now in Gastonia, North Carolina, live on Youtube, and he looks very well indeed. 10 times better than senile Joe.

 

I think Trump will be declared the winner, over 270, by 9am our time.

 

He's got a large amount of rallies in NC, the single state he's running defense in, for someone who's supposedly the favourite.

 

He's an old man who needs put up to rest, tired and stumbling all over the place, campaigning taking its toll. In contrast, Biden is looking chipper in every public appearance now he's been freed from the burdens of running. Really been an excellent president.

Well NC has a lot of votes. You can lose AZ and still win but you can’t lose NC so it makes sense. Ultimately Nevada looks good if he keeps NC and gets Georgia then just needs Michigan or PA or Arizona and Wisconsin so it opens the map. I’m thinking Trump might just lose but it all depends on final day turnout. From the people I know in Michigan Kamala won’t win there but the polls say she will so we shall see

I don’t think the Republican showing in early voting in Nevada is truly reflective of the outcome, for a number of reasons. Chief among them the majority of registered voters are now NPA. Yes they need to break decisively for Kamala for her to win, but all polling suggests they will.

I don’t think the Republican showing in early voting in Nevada is truly reflective of the outcome, for a number of reasons. Chief among them the majority of registered voters are now NPA. Yes they need to break decisively for Kamala for her to win, but all polling suggests they will.

 

Nevada is a state where 80% of the votes will be in before election day so at this point unless something unprecedented happens with indies she needs a miracle

New poll in Iowa has Kamala 3% up if this is accurate Kamala is winning independents and women by huge margins and will win in a blowout if it’s not accurate then it calls into question a lot as Trump is expected to win Iowa by 10 points https://eu.desmoinesregister.com/story/news...ce/75354033007/

In other news, Ann Selzer has released her final poll of Iowa and Kamala is up 3. Of course that could be entirely wrong, but she has an excellent track record.

 

It certainly tracks with several of the other pollsters who have chosen not to here to a tie (Ohio Trump +3 today too, for example) and aligns with my overall view of where the results will land - something between the 2 Obama victories.

The final Selzer polls of Iowa in 2016 and 2020 were both extremely accurate iirc and were early warning signs of Trump winning and then coming closer to being re-elected than expected respectively - unless they're extremely and uncharacteristically off base this year, I can't see how that's not an excellent sign that Kamala is winning and it's not even going to be close. I'm sure people were eagerly awaiting this poll just in the hopes that Trump might 'only' be winning by 5 or 6 points, Kamala actually being up is a shock. (Iowa by itself obviously barely moves the needle but it's the implication of her performance in more important demographically similar states)

 

(I've still been feeling reasonably confident despite the polls moving in a more doomy direction the last couple of weeks, although also still preparing myself for the worst for Tuesday)