I concur with Maestro - I also think “Don’t Look Back In Anger” surely can’t be miles off as it streams pretty well under normal circumstances.

When will Calm Down drop out the top 100

When will Calm Down drop out the top 100

It’s dropping quite slowly but down to #98 now, so should be gone in the next few weeks. ;)

This will be the end of year top 10 I think

 

Stick Season

Espresso

Beautiful Things

Lose Control

Too Sweet

A Bar Song (Tipsy)

Please Please Please

Birds Of A Feather

Austin

Good Luck Babe

Edited September 21, 2024Sep 21 by eman

This will be the end of year top 10 I think

 

Stick Season

Espresso

Beautiful Things

Lose Control

Too Sweet

A Bar Song (Tipsy)

Please Please Please

Birds Of A Feather

Austin

Good Luck Babe

 

That looks about right to me. Though I think Good Luck Babe will overtake Austin.

Chappell should have four in the top 100 at minimum I reckon. Hot to go has to be close right now then pink pony club can’t be too far behind either then there is a few others that might get there too. I wonder if Charli will get one?

 

I agree roughly with that too 10 prediction list but current trends favour good luck babe to be the highest of that group under shaboozy

I will be shocked if “Hot To Go” isn’t in when I get this week’s chart on Tuesday. “Red Wine Supernova” went silver only a week after “Hot To Go” so could appear before long if it keeps streaming well. “Pink Pony Club” only went silver this week so is a long way off at the moment.

 

Also looking set to have at least 3 in the year end chart are Sabrina, Taylor, Billie, Dua and… Chase & Status!

 

I think “Guess” might eventually make it now that it’s stopped freefalling.

 

 

I'd imagine a fair bit of those sales for 'Pink Pony Club' aren't from this year with it being 4 years old!

 

 

Week 38:

 

1 1 1,692,000 Noah Kahan - Stick Season (2.22m)

2 2 1,413,000 Benson Boone - Beautiful Things

3 3 1,389,000 Teddy Swims - Lose Control (1.50m)

4 4 1,331,000 Sabrina Carpenter - Espresso

5 5 1,161,000 Hozier - Too Sweet

6 6 1,002,000 Shaboozey - A Bar Song (Tipsy)

7 8 883,000 Dasha - Austin

8 7 873,000 Beyoncé - Texas Hold ‘Em

9 9 853,000 Taylor Swift - Cruel Summer (2.04m)

10 10 815,000 Cassö with Raye & D Block Europe - Prada (1.42m)

 

11 11 799,000 Sabrina Carpenter - Please Please

12 12 786,000 Billie Eilish - Birds Of A Feather

13 14 760,000 Chappell Roan - Good Luck, Babe!

14 13 757,000 Sophie Ellis-Bextor - Murder On The Dancefloor (1.76m)

15 15 700,000 Tate McRae - Greedy (1.16m)

16 18 693,000 Myles Smith - Stargazing

17 16 690,000 Artemas - I Like The Way You Kiss Me

18 17 685,000 Taylor Swift featuring Post Malone - Fortnight

19 20 673,000 Post Malone featuring Morgan Wallen - I Had Some Help

20 19 661,000 Djo - End Of Beginning

 

21 21 651,000 Michael Marcagi - Scared To Start

22 22 641,000 Jack Harlow - Lovin On Me (960k)

23 23 613,000 Ariana Grande - We Can’t Be Friends (Wait For Your Love)

24 24 607,000 Natasha Bedingfield - Unwritten (1.79m)

25 25 598,000 Eminem - Houdini

26 26 595,000 The Killers - Mr Brightside (5.89m)

27 27 580,000 Mark Ambor - Belong Together

28 28 573,000 Tommy Richman - Million Dollar Baby

29 29 562,000 Ella Henderson featuring Rudimental - Alibi

30 30 554,000 Ariana Grande - Yes, And?

 

31 31 536,000 Dua Lipa - Houdini (690k)

32 33 506,000 Olivia Rodrigo- Vampire (1.28m)

33 32 505,000 Tyler - Water (870k)

34 35 500,000 Zach Bryan featuring Kacy Musgraves - I Remember Everything (690k)

35 34 497,000 Kenya Grace - Strangers (1.02m)

36 36 492,000 Kendrick Lamar - Not Like Us

37 39 489,000 Benson Boone - Slow It Down

38 38 488,000 Fleetwood Mac - Everywhere (3.44m)

39 40 487,000 Taylor Swift - I Can Do It With A Broken Heart

40 37 486,000 Sonny Fodera and MK featuring Clementine Douglas - Asking (850k)

 

53 416,000 Central Cee featuring Lil Baby - Band4band

55 414,000 David Guetta and OneRepublic - I Don’t Wanna Wait

68 380,000 Teddy Swims - The Door

77 356,000 Bl3ss & CamrinWatsin featuring Bbyclose - Kisses

89 344,000 Chappell Roan - Hot To Go!

“Hot To Go!” And “Don’t Look Back In Anger” replaced “Daylight” and “Hell N Back” this week.

 

Alan Jones helpfully confirmed that “Brown Eyed Girl” is the YTD #105 with 319,903 sales this year and doing around 10k per week. I have the bar for the Top 100 at 327k right now and going up at about 8k per week, meaning that BEG should enter in a few weeks.

 

I can’t see beyond #100 but I’d have thought “Daylight”, “Hell N Back”, “Down Bad” and maybe “Redrum” are ahead of that “Brown Eyed Girl” total, so that potentially implies that there aren’t any other oldies knocking on the door of the Top 100 just now. If I’m wrong and “Redrum” is behind “Brown Eyed Girl” that likely means an oldie is lurking in the #101 to #104 zone.

Do you have any estimates for KEHLANI, CHIHIRO and WILDFLOWER.

 

I would’ve thought KEHLANI especially is close to entering.

Do you have any estimates for KEHLANI, CHIHIRO and WILDFLOWER.

 

I would’ve thought KEHLANI especially is close to entering.

Very wild (no pun intended) guesses:

 

Chihiro 310k (not doing that much anymore so probably missed the boat without a boost?)

Kehlani 290k (does this over perform on Spotify - not sure why you’d have it so close?)

Wildflower 280k (a way to go but seems to be on the rise again so could get there)

I was of the impression that KEHLANI actually underperformed on Spotify but that’s clearly not the case.

 

Thank you.

Where is on my love? Surprised it's still here

Yeah I think wildflower will eventually creep in too. Taste is at 250k so can’t be too long for that one. Hopefully Espresso edges out Beautiful things but will be close

Where is on my love? Surprised it's still here

#98 - will be out very soon.

 

What is the reason for the recent resurgence in appeal for Brown Eyed Girl? Or it just like another "Everywhere " by Fleetwood Mac in that Gen Z have discovered and decided to embrace it?

What is the reason for the recent resurgence in appeal for Brown Eyed Girl? Or it just like another "Everywhere " by Fleetwood Mac in that Gen Z have discovered and decided to embrace it?

As far as I know it’s just the latter. Alan Jones said its 27 highest chart sales weeks have been the last 27, which sounds more like a long term trend than going viral.

I think there’s some Spotify funny business going on in terms of playlisting/auto-play boost. I don’t think I’ve ever seen it in the top 200 on Apple but it regularly appears in the top 50 on Spotify.

I think there’s some Spotify funny business going on in terms of playlisting/auto-play boost. I don’t think I’ve ever seen it in the top 200 on Apple but it regularly appears in the top 50 on Spotify.

 

Spotify and Apple Music can be quite different. Yesterday in the US, future occupied the top 7 spots on Apple music and 17 in the top 27. Only 5 of those songs are in the top 200 on Spotify. I know US and UK are different but it shows some songs can be incredibly popular on one service and nonexistent on another