October 15, 2024Oct 15 ^ Looks like we’ll be getting 11, which is the most since 2019, but that year had a whopping 16. Interesting, I'd have guessed there would be 12 but do you not think Stargazing will make it? It only needs about 20k/week and is still well above that. It does look like Texas Hold 'Em will just miss out though. Great to see Murder on the Dancefloor looking safe for top 20! Stick Season might be my favourite year-end #1 ever so not complaining about it holding on at the top :D
October 15, 2024Oct 15 I'm glad Murder on the Dancefloor did so well this year, but at one point it looked certain for year-end top 10. Of course I couldn't forsee at the time that it would be taken off TikTok (it fell quick-ish after that and didn't really recover), and we had those couple of months of insanely high streams on Spotify which allowed a lot of new releases to get higher on the year-end chart this year, had those things not happened it was looking to be top 10 imo.
October 15, 2024Oct 15 I'm glad Murder on the Dancefloor did so well this year, but at one point it looked certain for year-end top 10. Of course I couldn't forsee at the time that it would be taken off TikTok (it fell quick-ish after that and didn't really recover), and we had those couple of months of insanely high streams on Spotify which allowed a lot of new releases to get higher on the year-end chart this year, had those things not happened it was looking to be top 10 imo. Why did it get deleted?
October 15, 2024Oct 15 Why did it get deleted? I'm assuming it's a UMG song, UMG and tiktok had a conflict that saw UMG pull all music off til it got resolved
October 21, 2024Oct 21 I've done some calculations and I think there's 8 (or more realistically 9) songs not currently in the YTD top 100 that will almost certainly make the year-end, these are: BACKBONE (probably in this week) Last Christmas All I Want for Christmas is You Die with a Smile Sailor Song Somedays Guess I Love You, I'm Sorry (+ Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree) I'd also give KEHLANI, WILDFLOWER and Fairytale of New York decent outside chances. Barring for some weird surprise or something that I've missed, the only other song I could see possibly showing up is Someone Like You. I'd estimate the cut off this year is likely to be around 450,000 as opposed to ~400,000 like the last few years
October 21, 2024Oct 21 I have 360 on around 345k do we think that has an outside shot too? I've got it on 330k - I would say little to no chance tbh, the remix boost has basically gone already. I think it'll end the year on around 410k Edited October 21, 2024Oct 21 by Maestro
October 21, 2024Oct 21 Author I was thinking “Backbone” this week, “Guess” next week and “Die With A Smile” and “Wildflower” the week after maybe. I see the latter as pretty much nailed on to make it now. “Rocking Around The Christmas Tree” seems to get more popular every year with Americanisation so I’d be very surprised if that missed.
October 21, 2024Oct 21 I’ll be surprised if one if red wine me or pink pony don’t make it No way is pink pony making it, it's done 260k total and I'd assume about 200k are from this year max. Its now down to 18k a week which isn't enough for the end of the year Edited October 21, 2024Oct 21 by gasman449
October 21, 2024Oct 21 I'm not convinced Red Wine Supernova will make it either tbh. It's pretty difficult to guess an actual figure for it's YTD sales but I'd guess around 300k, which would mean it would need to average 15k a week to make it, which is not going to happen.
October 21, 2024Oct 21 Author If the bar for #100 goes up by around 8k per week for the rest of the year it will finish at 435-440k.
October 22, 2024Oct 22 Author Week 42: 1 1 1,783,000 Noah Kahan - Stick Season (2.32m) 2 2 1,527,000 Benson Boone - Beautiful Things 3 3 1,494,000 Teddy Swims - Lose Control (1.60m) 4 4 1,480,000 Sabrina Carpenter - Espresso 5 5 1,261,000 Hozier - Too Sweet 6 6 1,116,000 Shaboozey - A Bar Song (Tipsy) 7 7 973,000 Dasha - Austin 8 8 932,000 Sabrina Carpenter - Please Please Please 9 11 929,000 Billie Eilish - Birds Of A Feather 10 12 919,000 Chappell Roan - Good Luck, Babe 11 9 918,000 Taylor Swift - Cruel Summer (2.10m) 12 10 905,000 Beyoncé - Texas Hold ‘Em 13 13 859,000 Cassö with Raye & D Block Europe - Prada (1.46m) 14 14 800,000 Myles Smith - Stargazing 15 15 782,000 Sophie Ellis-Bextor - Murder On The Dancefloor (1.78m) 16 16 754,000 Post Malone featuring Morgan Wallen - I Had Some Help 17 17 743,000 Artemas - I Like The Way You Kiss Me 18 18 733,000 Tate McRae - Greedy (1.19m) 19 19 729,000 Taylor Swift featuring Post Malone - Fortnight 20 20 700,000 Michael Marcagi - Scared To Start 21 21 690,000 Djo - End Of Beginning 22 23 662,000 Ariana Grande - We Can’t Be Friends (Wait For Your Love) 23 22 661,000 Jack Harlow - Lovin On Me (980k) 24 25 653,000 The Killers - Mr Brightside (5.95m) 25 24 652,000 Natasha Bedingfield - Unwritten (1.84m) 26 26 645,000 Eminem - Houdini 27 27 632,000 Mark Ambor - Belong Together 28 28 609,000 Tommy Richman - Million Dollar Baby 29 29 595,000 Ella Henderson featuring Rudimental - Alibi 30 30 568,000 Ariana Grande - Yes, And? 31 31 562,000 Dua Lipa - Houdini (720k) 32 32 553,000 Benson Boone - Slow It Down 33 33 543,000 Olivia Rodrigo - Vampire (1.32m) 34 35 542,000 Taylor Swift - I Can Do It With A Broken Heart 35 34 540,000 Tyler - Water (900k) 36 36 539,000 Zach Bryan featuring Kacy Musgraves - I Remember Everything (730k) 37 37 533,000 Kendrick Lamar - Not Like Us 38 38 529,000 Fleetwood Mac - Everywhere (3.48m) 39 41 522,000 Vance Joy - Riptide (4.11m) 40 39 520,000 Kenya Grace - Strangers (1.04m) 51 466,000 Bl3ss & CamrinWatsin featuring Bbyclose - Kisses 52 465,000 Teddy Swims - The Door 54 457,000 Sabrina Carpenter - Taste 55 452,000 Chappell Roan - Hot To Go! 87 375,000 Disturbed - The Sound Of Silence (1.54m) 92 370,000 Chase & Status and Stormzy - Backbone 100 360,000 Charli XCX & Billie Eilish - Guess “Backbone” and “Guess” replacing “Paint The Town Red” and “Brown Eyed Girl”
October 22, 2024Oct 22 Sabrina coming for number 2 but it's not gonna be by much she only just gonna get it
October 22, 2024Oct 22 Wonder when there was last a YTD top 10 made up entirely of songs which first peaked that same year!
October 22, 2024Oct 22 Surprised to see Guess in this week and Brown Eyed Girl out. Lots of songs holding up better than I imagined. Where abouts is Praise Jah In The Moonlight please?
October 22, 2024Oct 22 Author Surprised to see Guess in this week and Brown Eyed Girl out. Lots of songs holding up better than I imagined. Where abouts is Praise Jah In The Moonlight please? Yeah “Guess” must have done a bit more than I thought before the remix was released - 30k or so. “Praise Jah In The Moonlight” is #56, just below that clump of current hits. Doing 3k per week if that now, but it’s done enough to secure its year end spot. “Brown Eyes Girl” could be back although it’s dropped off a little bit so might hover on the edge in the coming weeks.
October 22, 2024Oct 22 Wonder when there was last a YTD top 10 made up entirely of songs which first peaked that same year! It's the freshest top 10 since 2019.
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