November 12, 2024Nov 12 Author Would've thought KEHLANI would enter by now even with the huge drop in streams. How is Exes holding up please? “Kehlani” must be very close - wonder if it will sneak in next week as there aren’t any other obvious candidates for entering. “Exes” has been holding up much better since “It’s OK I’m OK” came out though it did drop 85-88 this week. I have it on 400k doing about 6k per week, so it could still hold on.
November 12, 2024Nov 12 Also do you have a YTD estimate for FE!N? It's one I seriously think could show up as its been a consistent streamer all year
November 12, 2024Nov 12 Author Also do you have a YTD estimate for FE!N? It's one I seriously think could show up as its been a consistent streamer all year I don’t sorry. I suspect Maestro will have a Spotify YTD position for it. One thing to bear in mind is that kind of song always has poor premium / free ratios and ends up with slightly lower chart sales than you think.
November 12, 2024Nov 12 I don’t sorry. I suspect Maestro will have a Spotify YTD position for it. One thing to bear in mind is that kind of song always has poor premium / free ratios and ends up with slightly lower chart sales than you think. Ah OK thanks. Just done some maths myself and based on the hip hop charts it's probably around 300,000 so well away from entering anyway :D
November 12, 2024Nov 12 Author What are the chances of Gaga and Bruno ending up in the top 40? Not out of the question but assuming it drops off a bit between now and Week 52 it probably won’t. By the way I THINK it’s a 52 week year - if the chart revealed on 3 January counted to this year Gaga & Bruno would have a much better chance.
November 12, 2024Nov 12 Regarding FE!N, it is #68 on the Spotify YTD, but as Julian said, its not uncommon for these kind of songs to do well on Spotify but have terrible ratios so get nowhere near the OCC list (for example The Color Violet was #48 on Spotify last year). I'd guess KEHLANI is currently on ~380k and has recovered slightly on Spotify this week, so it could possibly jump Never Lose Me or Popular next week (not sure which one is actually lower now. I also have 360 on around ~375k and Move on ~365k. Someone Like You also must be above 350k for the year now, but I don't have a particularly accurate estimate for that currently.
November 12, 2024Nov 12 I’m sure Maestro and gasman will notice that I’ve had to do some retrospective downward adjustments on “Yes, And?” which was stuck at #30 for so long despite having long left all charts that it was impossible to know how much it was really doing. Not a lot it turns out - looks like it will barely reach platinum by the end of the year and be thrown out of this Top 40. Fantastic news
November 12, 2024Nov 12 Obviously it’s difficult to predict its numbers compared to last year in December due to Shane’s death, but based on its strong start and improved playlist positioning on Spotify, I think the Pogues should sneak in again this year.
November 12, 2024Nov 12 I’m sure Maestro and gasman will notice that I’ve had to do some retrospective downward adjustments on “Yes, And?” which was stuck at #30 for so long despite having long left all charts that it was impossible to know how much it was really doing. Not a lot it turns out - looks like it will barely reach platinum by the end of the year and be thrown out of this Top 40. I've been following Taste's climb, so I was also curious about that
November 12, 2024Nov 12 2 or 3 more weeks until 'Mr. Brightside' becomes the second song to be certified 10x Platinum in the UK.
November 12, 2024Nov 12 Author Where is Summer of '69 please? #78 down from 75 - this isn’t its best time of year obviously. Interestingly “Evergreen” overtook it again: those two have flip flopped several times during the year. I don’t know if “Evergreen” had a 17th wind on Spotify.
November 14, 2024Nov 14 What's noticeable is that, usually, I can go through and work out the Best British Single nominees from the YTD Singles chart, but if I'm not mistaken, there isn't even 10 British led songs from this year in the top 100, is there? And last year, they upped it to 15 noms :lol: (Just seen this was discussed on like Page 16, oops!)
November 19, 2024Nov 19 Author Week 46: 1 1 1,866,000 Noah Kahan - Stick Season (2.39m) 2 2 1,638,000 Benson Boone - Beautiful Things 3 3 1,602,000 Sabrina Carpenter - Espresso 4 4 1,591,000 Teddy Swims - Lose Control (1.70m) 5 5 1,346,000 Hozier - Too Sweet 6 6 1,213,000 Shaboozey - A Bar Song (Tipsy) 7 8 1057,000 Billie Eilish - Birds Of A Feather 8 7 1,050,000 Dasha - Austin 9 9 1,049,000 Chappell Roan - Good Luck, Babe 10 10 1,030,000 Sabrina Carpenter - Please Please Please 11 11 973,000 Taylor Swift - Cruel Summer (2.16m) 12 12 930,000 Beyoncé - Texas Hold ‘Em 13 13 906,000 Cassö with Raye & D Block Europe - Prada (1.51m) 14 14 894,000 Myles Smith - Stargazing 15 16 822,000 Post Malone featuring Morgan Wallen - I Had Some Help 16 15 813,000 Sophie Ellis-Bextor - Murder On The Dancefloor (1.81m) 17 17 790,000 Artemas - I Like The Way You Kiss Me 18 18 765,000 Taylor Swift featuring Post Malone - Fortnight 19 19 762,000 Tate McRae - Greedy (1.22m) 20 20 748,000 Michael Marcagi - Scared To Start 21 21 719,009 Djo - End Of Beginning 22 22 704,000 The Killers - Mr Brightside (5.99m) 23 23 699,000 Ariana Grande - We Can’t Be Friends (Wait For Your Love) 24 24 691,000 Natasha Bedingfield - Unwritten (1.88m) 25 25 685,000 Eminem - Houdini 26 26 680,000 Jack Harlow - Lovin On Me (1.00m) 27 27 679,000 Mark Ambor - Belong Together 28 28 641,000 Tommy Richman - Million Dollar Baby 29 29 622,000 Ella Henderson featuring Rudimental - Alibi 30 31 620,000 Sabrina Carpenter - Taste 31 30 610,000 Benson Boone - Slow It Down 32 32 586,000 Dua Lipa - Houdini (740k) 33 33 582,000 Ariana Grande - Yes, And? 34 34 580,000 Taylor Swift - I Can Do It With A Broken Heart 35 35 579,000 Olivia Rodrigo - Vampire (1.36m) 36 36 577,000 Zach Bryan featuring Kacy Musgraves - I Remember Everything (760k) 37 37 576,000 Vance Joy - Riptide (4.17m) 38 38 571,000 Fleetwood Mac - Everywhere (3.52m) 39 39 569,000 Kendrick Lamar - Not Like Us 40 40 567,000 Tyler - Water (930k) 41 553,000 Bl3ss & CamrinWatsin featuring Bbyclose - Kisses 42 549,000 Chappell Roan - Hot To Go! 43 547,000 Teddy Swims - The Door 71 444,000 Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars - Die With A Smile 72 443,000 Chase & Status and Stormzy - Backbone 80 422,000 Charli XCX & Billie Eilish - Guess 87 410,000 Billie Eilish - Wildflower 99 389,000 Jordan Adetunji - Kehlani “Never Lose Me” has been lost.
November 19, 2024Nov 19 Author The danger zone: 90 (86) Dance The Night 407k 91 (88) Exes 406k 92 (91) The Sound Of Silence 406k 93 (92) Dog Days Are Over 401k 94 (93) Linger 400k 95 (94) Take On Me 397k 96 (96) My Love Mine All Mine 396k 97 (97) Don’t Look Back In Anger 396k 98 (98) Brown Eyed Girl 393k 99 (-) Kehlani 389k 100 (99) Popular 388k Still to enter: Sailor Song Move Somedays I Love You, I’m Sorry That’s So True (if it keeps up its current level) Up to 4 Christmas songs In other words the majority of the above will bite the dust. I’m really hoping “The Sound Of Silence” can hang on.
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