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Week 25:

 

1 1 1,347,000 Noah Kahan - Stick Season (1.88m)

2 2 997,000 Teddy Swims - Lose Control (1.11m)

3 3 965,000 Benson Boone - Beautiful Things

4 4 726,000 Beyoncé - Texas Hold ‘Em

5 5 704,000 Hozier - Too Sweet

6 8 690,000 Sabrina Carpenter - Espresso

7 7 642,000 Cassö with Raye & D Block Europe - Prada (1.25m)

8 6 637,000 Sophie Ellis-Bextor - Murder On The Dancefloor (1.64m)

9 10 578,000 Taylor Swift - Cruel Summer (1.77m)

10 9 575,000 Tate McRae - Greedy (1.03m)

 

11 11 548,000 Jack Harlow - Lovin On Me (870k)

12 12 523,000 Djo - End Of Beginning

13 14 487,000 Dasha - Austin

14 13 486,000 Ariana Grande - Yes, And?

15 15 477,000 Artemas - I Like The Way You Kiss Me

16 20 460,000 Shaboozey - A Bar Song (Tipsy)

17 16 444,000 Ariana Grande - We Can’t Be Friends (Wait For Your Love)

18 18 441,000 Michael Marcagi - Scared To Start

19 17 437,000 Natasha Bedingfield - Unwritten (1.62m)

20 21 430,000 Taylor Swift featuring Post Malone - Fortnight

 

21 19 426,000 Ella Henderson featuring Rudimental - Alibi

22 22 405,000 Dua Lipa - Houdini (570k)

23 23 399,000 Tyler - Water (760k)

24 24 394,000 Kenya Grace - Strangers (910k)

25 25 392,000 Olivia Rodrigo - Vampire (1.15m)

26 27 384,000 The Killers - Mr Brightside (5.68m)

27 26 383,000 YG Marley - Praise Jah In The Moonlight

28 28 351,000 Zach Bryan featuring Kacy Musgraves - I Remember Everything (540k)

29 29 349,000 Sonny Fodera and MK featuring Clementine Douglas - Asking (710k)

30 30 346,000 Dua Lipa - Training Season

 

31 31 337,000 Billy Gillies featuring Hannah Boleyn - DNA (580k)

32 35 331,000 Mark Ambor - Belong Together

33 41 328,000 Tommy Richman - Million Dollar Baby

34 33 327,000 Vance Joy - Riptide (3.92m)

35 32 327,000 Miley Cyrus - Flowers (1.98m)

36 34 321,000 Kygo & Ava Max - Whatever

37 36 319,000 Fleetwood Mac - Everywhere (3.32m)

38 37 318,000 Taylor Swift - Anti-Hero (1.92m)

39 39 314,000 Billie Eilish - What Was I Made For? (850k)

40 38 313,000 Fred Again… and Baby Keem - Leavemealone (350k)

 

44 296,000 NewEra - Birds In The Sky

47 293,000 Post Malone featuring Morgan Wallen - I Had Some Help

57 272,000 The Blessed Madonna featuring Clementine Douglas - Happier

62 269,000 Taylor Swift - I Can Do It With A Broken Heart

71 251,000 Billie Eilish - Birds Of A Feather

 

72 250,000 Eminem - Houdini

81 237,000 Benson Boone - Slow It Down

86 232,000 Billie Eilish - Lunch

89 229,000 Myles Smith - Stargazing

97 220,000 Kendrick Lamar - Not Like Us

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New to the Top 100:

 

Birds Of A Feather

Houdini

Lunch

Stargazing

Not Like Us

 

Leaving the Top 100:

 

Blinding Lights

Adore U

Seventeen Going Under

Valerie

I Ain’t Worried

 

Down Bad must be extremely close: I’m expecting to see that, Good Luck, Babe! and Please Please Please in the half year chart next week.

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Where’s Snooze by SZA by the way? I’m surprised it’s still in

#95, now back to back with Saturn at #96. It has held up incredibly well - long outlasted Kill Bill and Saturn is already barely out-streaming it.

Looks like Cruel Summer is gonna be certified 3x Platinum by this or next Friday.
Will Espresso catch Stick Season? Should be a close one

 

It'd need to be an average of 24.3k ahead (of both songs' SCR total) every week for the rest of the year, that seems like a tall order.

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It is a tall order but not impossible as the gap is more than 40k per week at the moment and Espresso has been incredibly stable. Stick Season has actually dropped off a bit faster than I would have expected for a monster hit over the last couple of months.

 

Great to have a battle on our hands after all anyway.

But you'd also expect that as we move into autumn and winter months that would favour 'Stick Season' a lot more, I wouldn't be surprised if it is back ahead of 'Espresso' on a weekly basis by the end of the year - agreed though that it is at least interesting that the EOY #1 isn't a 100% foregone conclusion as I initially thought it would have been.
But you'd also expect that as we move into autumn and winter months that would favour 'Stick Season' a lot more, I wouldn't be surprised if it is back ahead of 'Espresso' on a weekly basis by the end of the year - agreed though that it is at least interesting that the EOY #1 isn't a 100% foregone conclusion as I initially thought it would have been,

 

Well remember her album is released in August

Well remember her album is released in August

 

Which is famously not part of autumn or winter :kink:

Which is famously not part of autumn or winter :kink:

 

Autumn is considered September and the album is released August 23 so I’m sure it will be boosted into autumn thanks to the album, stick season was great but there is no reason it’ll get some major resurgence. My money is on espresso

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Sales for the Top 3 could easily be a few k out by now but hopefully we’ll get some accurate numbers from the OCC shortly which I’ll edit in.

 

Week 26:

 

1 1 1,378,000 Noah Kahan - Stick Season (1.91m)

2 2 1,031,000 Teddy Swims - Lose Control (1.14m)

3 3 1,008,000 Benson Boone - Beautiful Things

4 6 763,000 Sabrina Carpenter - Espresso

5 5 750,000 Hozier - Too Sweet

6 4 742,000 Beyoncé - Texas Hold ‘Em

7 7 662,000 Cassö with Raye & D Block Europe - Prada (1.27m)

8 8 648,000 Sophie Ellis-Bextor - Murder On The Dancefloor (1.65m)

9 9 607,000 Taylor Swift - Cruel Summer (1.79m)

10 10 587,000 Tate McRae - Greedy (1.05m)

 

11 11 557,000 Jack Harlow - Lovin On Me (880k)

12 12 537,000 Djo - End Of Beginning

13 13 524,000 Dasha - Austin

14 16 516,000 Shaboozey - A Bar Song (Tipsy)

15 15 500,000 Artemas - I Like The Way You Kiss Me

16 14 492,000 Ariana Grande - Yes, And?

17 20 459,000 Taylor Swift featuring Post Malone - Fortnight

18 18 459,000 Michael Marcagi - Scared To Start

19 17 459,000 Ariana Grande - We Can’t Be Friends (Wait For Your Love)

20 19 450,000 Natasha Bedingfield - Unwritten (1.63m)

 

21 21 441,000 Ella Henderson featuring Rudimental - Alibi

22 22 413,000 Dua Lipa - Houdini (570k)

23 23 409,000 Tyler - Water (770k)

24 24 403,000 Kenya Grace - Strangers (920k)

25 25 402,000 Olivia Rodrigo - Vampire (1.16m)

26 26 401,000 The Killers - Mr Brightside (5.69m)

27 27 390,000 YG Marley - Praise Jah In The Moonlight

28 28 364,000 Zach Bryan featuring Kacy Musgraves - I Remember Everything (560k)

29 29 362,000 Sonny Fodera and MK featuring Clementine Douglas - Asking (720k)

30 33 359,000 Tommy Richman - Million Dollar Baby

 

31 30 357,000 Dua Lipa - Training Season

32 32 355,000 Mark Ambor - Belong Together

33 34 343,000 Vance Joy - Riptide (3.94m)

34 31 342,000 Billy Gillies featuring Hannah Boleyn - DNA (580k)

35 35 339,000 Miley Cyrus - Flowers (1.99m)

36 47 333,000 Post Malone featuring Morgan Wallen - I Had Some Help

37 36 332,000 Kygo & Ava Max - Whatever

38 37 333,000 Fleetwood Mac - Everywhere (3.33m)

39 38 331,000 Taylor Swift - Anti-Hero (1.93m)

40 39 323,000 Billie Eilish - What Was I Made For? (860k)

 

41 41 322,000 Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved (5.60m)

42 40 319,000 Fred Again… and Baby Keem - Leavemealone (360k)

43 44 311,000 NewEra - Birds In The Sky

44 46 309,000 Sabrina Carpenter - Feather (410k)

45 42 308,000 Dave & Central Cee - Sprinter (1.53m)

46 43 305,000 The Weeknd featuring Playboi Carti & Madonna - Popular (700k)

47 45 301,000 Kanye West & Ty Dollar Sign - Carnival

48 48 301,000 Chase & Status and Bou featuring Irah, Flowdan, Trigga and Takura - Baddadan (740k)

49 71 299,000 Billie Eilish - Birds Of A Feather

50 72 299,000 Eminem - Houdini

 

53 291,000 The Blessed Madonna featuring Clementine Douglas - Happier

54 290,000 Taylor Swift - I Can Do It With A Broken Heart

68 271,000 Myles Smith - Stargazing

73 261,000 Benson Boone - Slow It Down

75 257,000 Billie Eilish - Lunch

76 255,000 Chappell Roan - Good Lick, Babe!

82 246,000 Kendrick Lamar - Not Like Us

90 243,000 Sabrina Carpenter - Please Please Please

99 229,000 Taylor Swift - Down Bad

  • Author

Entered the Top 100 this week:

 

Good Luck, Babe!

Please Please Please

Down Bad

 

Left this week:

 

Save Your Tears

Take On Me

One Dance

 

For a change here are the post 1/1/2023 releases in the 51-100 zone. As usual I haven’t bothered to check every release date so could be wrong about some!

 

Never Lose Me

Disconnect

Happier

I Can Do It With A Broken Heart

Dance The Night

Exes

Homesick

Rich Baby Daddy

My Love Mine All Mine

Back On 74

On My Love

Paint The Town Red

Stargazing

Dial Drunk

Redrum

Slow It Down

Home

Lunch

Good Luck, Babe!

Nothing Matters

Whatever She Wants

Not Like Us

Daylight

One Of The Girls

Is It Over Now?

Lovers In A Past Life

Please Please Please

Like That

Lil Boo Thang

Down Bad

Saturn

 

Hoping "My Love Mine All Mine" can somehow hold on til the year's end but feel it's somewhat unlikely at this point.

 

Any idea how close "BAND4BAND" and "I Don't Wanna Wait" are, I'd estimate they can't be far off?

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Hoping "My Love Mine All Mine" can somehow hold on til the year's end but feel it's somewhat unlikely at this point.

 

Any idea how close "BAND4BAND" and "I Don't Wanna Wait" are, I'd estimate they can't be far off?

 

Yeah “My Love Mine All Mine” is only doing about 6k per week now so probably won’t hold on sadly.

 

“Band4Band” I have on 221k so definitely coming next week. “I Don’t Wanna Wait” I have 210k so probably coming in 2-3 weeks.

I thought Dua's Houdini was much closer to 600k (I know it's not that far) and was hoping this week would get Platinum Certification!!!
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I thought Dua's Houdini was much closer to 600k (I know it's not that far) and was hoping this week would get Platinum Certification!!!

I had another look and I think 570k is a reasonable estimate for “Houdini” so I’ll be surprised if it goes platinum this week. “Illusion” should go silver though (and “Dance The Night” will reach 1 million).

100k difference between being top 40 and not even top 100 isn't that big of a gap

 

 

Wonder how close WAOLOM is and whether it could manage a few weeks

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